NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd910ac227a8e7d8da07f9d7ded30f03497cf7ce736596dbfd7310fff4f8f32b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Magic, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $405,063
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $409,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $405,063 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ec3…3cdcbacked Hawks | 49c | 45,236$22,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,070.36 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…d2d0backed Hawks | 49c | 25,000$12,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,750 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7d…7765backed Magic | 51c | 17,262$8,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,803.62 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1922…3f90backed Hawks | 48c | 14,005$6,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,282.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b37…4e5abacked Magic | 51c | 13,069$6,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,665.19 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e0…88e3backed Hawks | 48c | 13,017$6,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,768.84 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe608…749cbacked Magic | 51c | 12,508$6,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,379.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92c…2e48backed Magic | 51c | 12,188$6,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,215.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcb…1941backed Hawks | 48c | 11,806$5,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,139.12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a6…7538backed Magic | 52c | 11,000$5,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,720 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…2e85backed Hawks | 48c | 10,058$4,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,230.16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x590f…5b28backed Hawks | 48c | 9,017$4,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,688.84 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe509…96adbacked Hawks | 48c | 8,915$4,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,635.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ad…c966backed Magic | 51c | 8,512$4,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,341.12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecb…3b01backed Magic | 51c | 7,990$4,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,074.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5af…7683backed Magic | 51c | 7,940$4,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,049.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af7…a0a3backed Magic | 51c | 7,907$4,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,032.57 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b2…318cbacked Magic | 51c | 7,682$3,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,917.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5094…a296backed Hawks | 48c | 7,505$3,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,902.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf34…d146backed Magic | 51c | 7,277$3,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,711.27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…63adbacked Magic | 51c | 7,276$3,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,710.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed8…42e1backed Magic | 51c | 7,013$3,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,576.63 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d8…5a80backed Magic | 51c | 6,890$3,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,513.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc943…7626backed Magic | 51c | 6,368$3,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,247.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…d5b0backed Magic | 51c | 6,205$3,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,164.55 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81b…a52bbacked Magic | 51c | 6,055$3,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,088.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…61f6backed Magic | 51c | 5,981$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050.31 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cad…48fdbacked Hawks | 48c | 5,888$2,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,061.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc744…c412backed Magic | 51c | 5,743$2,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,928.93 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x807b…ea2fbacked Hawks | 48c | 5,189$2,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,698.28 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +55%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8162…426abacked Hawks | 48c | 4,973$2,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,585.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb7…5f51backed Hawks | 48c | 4,869$2,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,531.88 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb61…9488backed Hawks | 48c | 4,812$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,502.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9c…d5c5backed Hawks | 51c | 4,753$2,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,313.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…6982backed Magic | 51c | 4,363$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225.13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb32…3c6cbacked Magic | 51c | 4,351$2,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.01 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddd5…1974backed Magic | 51c | 4,333$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209.83 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4af…1fa6backed Hawks | 48c | 4,082$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,122.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d5…db36backed Hawks | 48c | 3,994$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6087…26b3backed Hawks | 48c | 3,933$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.16 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b6…4c57backed Hawks | 48c | 3,610$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,877.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8329…e118backed Magic | 51c | 3,550$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5671…6e56backed Hawks | 48c | 3,548$1,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.96 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 49cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Magic | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf458…c988backed Hawks | 48c | 3,309$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.68 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…ce49backed Hawks | 48c | 2,987$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e7…0e78backed Magic | 51c | 2,896$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b18…afacbacked Magic | 51c | 2,880$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f60…e360backed Hawks | 48c | 2,873$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.96 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe81…6c33backed Magic | 51c | 2,789$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x464c…5b77backed Hawks | 48c | 2,687$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21fc…fa60backed Magic | 51c | 2,608$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b0…5146backed Hawks | 48c | 2,522$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03fd…809abacked Hawks | 48c | 2,378$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…1e60backed Magic | 51c | 2,356$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.56 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77ee…2a7dbacked Hawks | 48c | 2,349$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.48 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb49a…066cbacked Hawks | 48c | 2,313$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.76 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x531e…db38backed Hawks | 48c | 2,290$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…c9a5backed Magic | 51c | 2,280$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.8 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -4.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7331…2923backed Hawks | 48c | 2,254$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Hawks | 45c | 2,142$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.1 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…01f1backed Magic | 51c | 2,043$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.93 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe153…e415backed Magic | 52c | 2,002$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.04 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…cc39backed Magic | 51c | 1,965$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Magic | 53c | 1,944$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.93 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb33e…26bdbacked Magic | 51c | 1,928$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Magic | 53c | 1,888$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.64 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…5437backed Magic | 51c | 1,854$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c5…d305backed Hawks | 48c | 1,853$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f28…ce03backed Magic | 51c | 1,774$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3aa…5044backed Hawks | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.84 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5b…5323backed Magic | 51c | 1,605$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hawks | 45c | 1,501$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.76 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e43…e366backed Magic | 51c | 1,428$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a7…5a3bbacked Magic | 51c | 1,408$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.08 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Hawks | 45c | 1,250$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.5 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…b7debacked Hawks | 48c | 1,233$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4d…aea0backed Magic | 51c | 1,201$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f90…6469backed Magic | 51c | 1,194$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.94 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c2…40d5backed Magic | 51c | 1,169$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…8c39backed Magic | 51c | 1,167$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.17 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…91c7backed Magic | 51c | 1,138$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…2e51backed Hawks | 48c | 1,102$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x367f…5ee8backed Magic | 51c | 1,052$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc5…7d2ebacked Magic | 51c | 1,043$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.93 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda8…bf52backed Magic | 51c | 1,007$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.57 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Magic | 48c | 1,005$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.4 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Magic | 55c | 921.4$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.82 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…f826backed Hawks | 48c | 911$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c71…6351backed Hawks | 48c | 911$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.72 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…69d5backed Hawks | 48c | 909$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.68 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x377d…1bd5backed Hawks | 48c | 874$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc410…be3bbacked Hawks | 48c | 858$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f1…ef5dbacked Magic | 51c | 854$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb14…b95ebacked Magic | 51c | 853$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25b2…6703backed Magic | 51c | 839$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.89 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8c…5939backed Magic | 51c | 805$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70e3…5bfdbacked Magic | 51c | 798$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.98 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x094b…c415backed Hawks | 48c | 774$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.48 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3263…2f28backed Magic | 51c | 772$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.72 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.28per pick | 49cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)this page
- Hawks vs. MagicHawks won
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 228.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 229.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 230.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 231.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 232.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 233.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 234.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 235.5Under won
- Spread: Magic (-5.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.