TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x900c…1d7a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,576
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NFL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 53 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST71052.1%370 W · 340 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 710 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Clippers (-4.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$225.08
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$396.9
Hawks vs. Clippersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+171.4%+$959.73
Hawks vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+92.3%+$189.99
Timberwolves vs. Jazz: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,304Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+104.2%+$3,442.18
Timberwolves vs. Jazz: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$71.07
Timberwolves vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$514.47
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,732Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+101.5%+$1,757.5
Pelicans vs. Suns: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$23.53
Pelicans vs. Suns: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,461Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+107.6%+$3,725.76
Pelicans vs. Suns: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$79.31
Spread: Suns (-8.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,206Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+103.3%+$4,346.66
Pelicans vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$820Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+33.3%+$272.7
Pelicans vs. Suns: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,866Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+92.1%+$3,558.5
Spread: Bucks (-1.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$27.16
Bucks vs. Mavericks: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$10.16
Spread: Bucks (-2.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,464Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+99.4%+$1,455.07
Bucks vs. Mavericks: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$136.23
Spread: Bucks (-3.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$47.56
Bucks vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,014Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+93.7%+$2,824.73
Bucks vs. Mavericks: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$18.98
Bucks vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$8,905Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$8,905.35
Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+122.2%+$17.35
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$6,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$6,750.13
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,402Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$3,401.53
Showing 25 of 710 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST41246.4%191 W · 221 L-24.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 412 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$956Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$956.16
Panthers vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$285.36
Panthers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,325Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$3,325.32
Blue Jackets vs. Oilersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$280.9
Blue Jackets vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+92.3%+$447.54
Islanders vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,340Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$4,339.6
Predators vs. Rangersbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,987Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$3,986.83
Spread: Rangers (-1.5)backed Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20.96
Predators vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,214Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$2,213.95
Avalanche vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,522Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$2,522.15
Jets vs. Ducksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,918Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,918.03
Flames vs. Wildbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,391Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,391.24
Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$936Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$936.28
Utah vs. Senatorsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,690Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$2,690.06
Kraken vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$5,968Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+52.5%+$3,133.69
Kings vs. Penguinsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$563Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+70.1%+$395.01
Blackhawks vs. Red Wingsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+171.9%+$733.8
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$423.08
Avalanche vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$883Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$883.04
Blue Jackets vs. Canucksbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$385.17
Panthers vs. Sharksbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$9,661Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$9,660.86
Capitals vs. Lightningbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$746Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$745.72
Bruins vs. Maple Leafsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+172.8%+$632.07
Kraken vs. Bluesbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+138.7%+$381.58
Utah vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,082Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+109.1%+$1,179.42
Showing 25 of 412 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST33553.4%179 W · 156 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 335 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+185.7%+$97.78
Spread: 49ers (-2.5)backed Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$21.22
49ers vs. Cardinalsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+70.8%+$251.92
49ers vs. Cardinals: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+88.7%+$16.33
49ers vs. Cardinals: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+78.6%+$14.1
Panthers vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$42.55
Bengals vs. Steelers: O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$35.69
Spread: Chargers (-1.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+127.3%+$34.89
Commanders vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+75.4%+$185.67
Spread: Patriots (-11.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+92.3%+$23.73
Jets vs. Patriots: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,411Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+92.6%+$1,306.4
Eagles vs. Packers: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12,062Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$12,061.78
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$63,667Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$63,667.2
Eagles vs. Packers: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+115.3%+$484.43
Steelers vs. Chargers: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$716Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$716.35
Steelers vs. Chargers: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,018Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$2,017.73
Spread: Chargers (-4.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,605Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$4,604.67
Steelers vs. Chargersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$44,046Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$44,046.36
Spread: Chargers (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$6,878Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$6,878.18
Steelers vs. Chargers: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,966Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$2,966.11
Spread: Lions (-9.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+123.2%+$618.24
Spread: Lions (-8.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+112.8%+$163.51
Spread: Lions (-7.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,437Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+99.5%+$5,409.84
Lions vs. Commandersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$143,104Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+26.9%+$38,553.29
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$766Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+87%+$666.6
Showing 25 of 335 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST8851.1%45 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 88 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Texas A&M (-7.5)backed Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,508Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+128.2%+$5,778.18
Texas A&M vs. Missouribacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+42.9%+$32.93
Spread: Texas A&M (-6.5)backed Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,109Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+96.7%+$4,939.38
O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$269.88
Spread: Alabama (-10.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$5,180Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+108.4%+$5,614.26
Spread: Alabama (-9.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+85.4%+$333.02
LSU vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11,906Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+28.4%+$3,379.44
Wake Forest vs. Virginiabacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$5,104Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$5,104.16
Spread: Virginia (-6.5)backed Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,306Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$2,306
Spread: Oregon (-5.5)backed Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$756Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+96.4%+$728.98
Spread: Vanderbilt (-6.5)backed Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+112.2%+$208.84
Auburn vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+49.3%+$379.09
Oregon vs. Iowabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,064Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+50.7%+$539.33
O/U 41.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$808Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+104.1%+$840.65
Spread: Oregon (-6.5)backed Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,943Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+92.4%+$1,796.47
Oregon vs. Iowa: O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,851Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$1,851.15
Oregon vs. Iowa: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$679Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$678.74
Spread: Miami (-28.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$414.39
O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$739Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$739.08
Spread: Florida Atlantic (-3.5)backed Tulsa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,524Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$1,523.75
Tulsa vs. Florida Atlanticbacked Tulsa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,692Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$1,691.61
O/U 52.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$761Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$760.74
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-10.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,423Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+85.9%+$1,222.26
Bowling vs. Eastern Michiganbacked Eastern Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,130Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+79.5%+$899.03
Showing 25 of 88 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST3145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$629Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+79.1%+$497.87
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$9,917Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+78.6%+$7,792.12
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$8,561Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$7,290.74
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,085Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,085.13
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13,830Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13,829.95
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12,061Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+78.1%+$9,422.45
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$974Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$974.43
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,718Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,718.17
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$59,930Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$59,929.79
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$34,605Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$34,604.67
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$260.22
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$9,067Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,066.64
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,649.62
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$8,984Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$8,983.68
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+110%+$152.83
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,111Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,111.06
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$897Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$897.01
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$66,069Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+78.7%+$52,009.96
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,645Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,644.71
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$67,250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+138.6%+$93,195.95
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,479Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,479.25
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11,525Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$6,764.2
Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,973Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+96.6%+$1,904.95
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$106,908Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$91,069.94
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12,263Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+90.7%+$11,117.55
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.