College Football · resolved market
Spread: Texas A&M (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0fffdb46e58162f2fbe9802ea273625096a6b58671eb86ee206d1e1e0b8f716
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas A&Mof Texas A&M, Missouri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $453,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $453,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $453,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Missouri | 56c | 400,000$224,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223,999.96 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Texas A&M | 44c | 185,067$81,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103,637.63 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Texas A&M | 44c | 66,730$29,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,060.41 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Texas A&M | 44c | 40,000$17,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,400 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Texas A&M | 44c | 30,000$13,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,800 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Texas A&M | 44c | 28,173$12,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,783 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texas A&M | 44c | 25,633$11,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,412.54 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Texas A&M | 44c | 18,182$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,181.82 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Texas A&M | 43c | 17,795$7,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,143.15 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Texas A&M | 44c | 10,286$4,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,778.18 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2746…f918backed Missouri | 57c | 8,500$4,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,844.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Missouri | 57c | 7,500$4,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,275 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Missouri | 57c | 6,140$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Texas A&M | 44c | 5,538$2,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,112.03 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Texas A&M | 44c | 4,500$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Missouri | 56c | 4,500$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Texas A&M | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Missouri | 57c | 3,702$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e9…dee1backed Missouri | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Missouri | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.11 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Missouri | 57c | 1,845$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.52 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Texas A&M | 44c | 1,721$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.76 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Missouri | 54c | 1,137$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.86 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked Missouri | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Texas A&M | 44c | 775.13$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.98 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Missouri | 56c | 715$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.4 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Texas A&M | 44c | 701.19$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.85 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Missouri | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Texas A&M | 43c | 532.56$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.56 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Texas A&M | 44c | 463.64$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.64 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…2d58backed Missouri | 58c | 431.35$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Texas A&M | 44c | 409.09$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.09 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Texas A&M | 44c | 366$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.96 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd805…0d78backed Missouri | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Texas A&M | 46c | 348.67$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.54 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Texas A&M | 43c | 318.56$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.3 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Missouri | 52c | 300$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3b…38dbbacked Texas A&M | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Texas A&M | 43c | 270.51$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.19 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Missouri | 54c | 257.61$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.24 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fce…2229backed Missouri | 57c | 245.39$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.87 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Missouri | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x813e…31c8backed Missouri | 56c | 166$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.96 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Texas A&M | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Missouri | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Missouri | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Missouri | 57c | 95$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.15 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…7345backed Missouri | 45c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…7288backed Missouri | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Missouri | 17c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Texas A&M | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…8761backed Missouri | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Texas A&M | 44c | 57.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Texas A&M | 43c | 56.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Texas A&M | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cee…5829backed Texas A&M | 57c | 47.61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Texas A&M | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…559abacked Missouri | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x417d…62c7backed Texas A&M | 44c | 33.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c9…f8d9backed Texas A&M | 47c | 31.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Missouri | 53c | 24.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…1757backed Missouri | 57c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texas A&M (-7.5)this page
- O/U 48.5Over won
- Spread: Texas A&M (-6.5)Texas A&M won
- Texas A&M vs. MissouriTexas A&M won
- Texas A&M vs. Missouri: O/U 47.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.