College Football · resolved market
Spread: Texas A&M (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf90a01cb6878159f9600eb714e96240d9616a04d0f9a4c2a4f267d329ab07f2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas A&Mof Texas A&M, Missouri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $369,041
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $466,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $369,041 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Missouri | 49c | 217,551$106,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106,600 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Texas A&M | 51c | 95,600$48,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,844.18 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Texas A&M | 51c | 51,084$25,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,131.54 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Texas A&M | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,700 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Texas A&M | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Missouri | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Texas A&M | 51c | 15,932$8,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,875.71 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Missouri | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Texas A&M | 51c | 10,048$5,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,939.38 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Texas A&M | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Missouri | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Texas A&M | 50c | 8,564$4,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,281.84 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Texas A&M | 51c | 4,148$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.52 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Texas A&M | 52c | 2,200$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.44 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Texas A&M | 51c | 2,100$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Missouri | 50c | 2,010$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.05 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Texas A&M | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Texas A&M | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Texas A&M | 51c | 1,856$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.44 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Missouri | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked Missouri | 51c | 982.03$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Texas A&M | 51c | 980$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.2 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Texas A&M | 51c | 900$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Texas A&M | 53c | 816.58$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.58 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Texas A&M | 51c | 696.08$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.08 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Texas A&M | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked Texas A&M | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Texas A&M | 50c | 576$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Texas A&M | 51c | 512$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.88 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9844…5e6cbacked Texas A&M | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Texas A&M | 50c | 498.96$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.48 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Texas A&M | 51c | 431.37$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.37 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Texas A&M | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Missouri | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3b…38dbbacked Texas A&M | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5384…9d80backed Texas A&M | 52c | 347.5$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Texas A&M | 50c | 299.68$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.84 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Texas A&M | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…2d58backed Missouri | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Missouri | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9efd…30babacked Texas A&M | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Texas A&M | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed Missouri | 50c | 178.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Texas A&M | 51c | 175.33$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.91 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c1…416abacked Texas A&M | 51c | 110$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0915…d08abacked Missouri | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Missouri | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Texas A&M | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d15…6914backed Texas A&M | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4814…a24abacked Missouri | 50c | 78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Texas A&M | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Missouri | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Missouri | 47c | 59.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Texas A&M | 50c | 51.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Missouri | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…559abacked Missouri | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…8761backed Missouri | 55c | 49.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9d…b033backed Texas A&M | 51c | 43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc757…f18cbacked Texas A&M | 51c | 41.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…b2cdbacked Texas A&M | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…a69fbacked Missouri | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a67…c830backed Missouri | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…1757backed Missouri | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd469…6255backed Missouri | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb757…aaa2backed Missouri | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e4…b6adbacked Missouri | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe834…6407backed Missouri | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…8056backed Texas A&M | 51c | 19.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texas A&M (-6.5)this page
- O/U 48.5Over won
- Spread: Texas A&M (-7.5)Texas A&M won
- Texas A&M vs. MissouriTexas A&M won
- Texas A&M vs. Missouri: O/U 47.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.