TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb757…aaa2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-52%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+40.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Sharksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Capitals vs. Penguinsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Avalanche vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Hurricanes vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+150%+$15
All 4 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Lions vs. Commandersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Broncos vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Vikings vs. Lionsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+177.8%+$25.4
All 4 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+35.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Texas A&M (-6.5)backed Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Tulane vs. Memphisbacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+150%+$15
Delaware Blue Hens vs. Libertybacked Delaware Blue Hens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+47.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+194.4%+$38.87
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Will Gangwon FC win on 2025-11-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+33.3%+$16.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Angers SCO win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2025-11-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+163.2%+$32.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+25%+$2.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will EC Bahia win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$110
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.