College Football · resolved market
Delaware Blue Hens vs. Liberty
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x148711de2a5028e43e63c6479c2b04241e38ca6b617e8b12f66cbac16e59caff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Libertyof Delaware Blue Hens, Liberty
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Delaware Blue Hens | 29c | 6,167$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.85 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Liberty | 62c | 5,685$3,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.12 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Delaware Blue Hens | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Delaware Blue Hens | 23c | 2,656$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.94 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Delaware Blue Hens | 18c | 2,621$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.65 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Delaware Blue Hens | 20c | 2,404$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.75 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…b006backed Delaware Blue Hens | 39c | 2,220$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Liberty | 65c | 2,173$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.66 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Liberty | 61c | 2,151$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.87 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Liberty | 63c | 2,020$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.8 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…9655backed Delaware Blue Hens | 16c | 2,000$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.63 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Delaware Blue Hens | 4c | 1,968$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.73 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Delaware Blue Hens | 39c | 1,800$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.28 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf82f…9286backed Delaware Blue Hens | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdde2…db05backed Liberty | 61c | 1,250$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Delaware Blue Hens | 38c | 1,200$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Delaware Blue Hens | 39c | 1,195$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.05 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Delaware Blue Hens | 14c | 1,042$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.98 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8019…df3abacked Liberty | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…54d9backed Delaware Blue Hens | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Liberty | 75c | 940$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.26 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Delaware Blue Hens | 39c | 768.1$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.56 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Delaware Blue Hens | 8c | 700$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 14cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Liberty | 61c | 448.04$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.58 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Delaware Blue Hens | 40c | 372.98$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.19 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb26a…48dabacked Liberty | 55c | 370$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Delaware Blue Hens | 7c | 369.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Liberty | 61c | 368.85$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.85 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe215…a3d9backed Delaware Blue Hens | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Delaware Blue Hens | 38c | 284$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.92 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Liberty | 76c | 225$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.25 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b2…ea62backed Delaware Blue Hens | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Delaware Blue Hens | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd5…1306backed Delaware Blue Hens | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Delaware Blue Hens | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Delaware Blue Hens | 21c | 175.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Delaware Blue Hens | 8c | 168.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb52d…95ffbacked Liberty | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Liberty | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56e4…92bbbacked Liberty | 80c | 156.25$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c49…7c10backed Liberty | 61c | 133.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Liberty | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Liberty | 66c | 95.36$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb757…aaa2backed Delaware Blue Hens | 39c | 77.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Delaware Blue Hens | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…5213backed Delaware Blue Hens | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Liberty | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc47e…8ae4backed Delaware Blue Hens | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4de…cb5cbacked Delaware Blue Hens | 39c | 52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…09a3backed Delaware Blue Hens | 41c | 49.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Delaware Blue Hens | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d3…cabfbacked Delaware Blue Hens | 39c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x075c…d827backed Liberty | 61c | 29.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Delaware Blue Hens | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Delaware Blue Hens | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Liberty | 60c | 19.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Delaware Blue Hens vs. Libertythis page
- Delaware Blue Hens vs. Liberty: O/U 52.5Over won
- Spread: Liberty (-3.5)Liberty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.