TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6c49…7c10

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Lol, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 57 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+41.2%+$37.6
Avalanche vs. Sharksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.03
Devils vs. Sharksbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$158.9
Kings vs. Sharksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+49.2%+$160.68
Canadiens vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.71
Rangers vs. Canucksbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+53.3%+$182.12
Utah vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$12.53
Devils vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$30.16
Senators vs. Blackhawksbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.89
Capitals vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$37.21
Jets vs. Wildbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$41.32
Lightning vs. Predatorsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$28.09
Ducks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.49
Blue Jackets vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.77
Flames vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+63.8%+$6.45
Oilers vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+26.7%+$18.9
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Paris Masters: Daniel Altmaier vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$197.87
Chennai Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Maria Timofeevabacked Timofeeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.03
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Storm Hunterbacked Hontama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.5
Jiangxi Open: Ella Seidel vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$202.09
Rolex Paris Masters: Learner Tien vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+96.2%+$51.89
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Flavio Cobollibacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$42.11
Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Valentin Royerbacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$34.58
Rolex Paris Masters: Jaume Munar vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$23.51
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sofia Kenin vs Himeno Sakatsumebacked Kenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.04
Jiangxi Open: Anna Blinkova vs Chloe Paquetbacked Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+34.1%+$17.58
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Cody Wong vs Viktoria Morvayovabacked Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$126.34
Lakers vs. Grizzliesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$60.86
Kings vs. Bullsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.1
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+166.7%+$81.55
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+120.8%+$52.78
Hornets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+50.2%+$21.18
76ers vs. Wizardsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+56.2%+$32.17
Trail Blazers vs. Lakersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+79.5%+$33.37
Suns vs. Jazzbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.84
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$12.3
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+26.2%+$37.2
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.95
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$21.58
All 3 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Georgia vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+37%+$23.93
Delaware Blue Hens vs. Libertybacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+62.6%+$51.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.01
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$119.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Northwestern Wildcatsbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+112.8%+$46.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+62.4%+$16.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+40.8%+$15.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NFL Sunday Week 8: Will an underdog win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$6.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-10-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.