NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Heat

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab2386d7afe8eb5cff65441d608c547efa98fd2a87b3dc459dddf4021d249443

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Heatof Hornets, Heat
Resolved: Oct 28, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,061,036
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,097,115

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,061,036 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 398 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8628…6f0bbacked Hornets	33c	150,000$49,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49,500	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	-3.9wins	-0.13per pick	40cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Heat	67c	133,086$89,168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43,918.53	701	47.8%335 W · 366 L	+15.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Hornets	0c	99,946$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.96	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5afb…4511backed Heat	63c	97,951$61,670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36,281.54	55	40%22 W · 33 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Heat	66c	74,114$48,656 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,457.58	192	49.5%95 W · 97 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Hornets	0c	61,755$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.76	645	17.1%110 W · 535 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Hornets	24c	60,000$14,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,400	382	48.7%186 W · 196 L	+13.9wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Hornets	34c	44,725$15,206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,206.46	193	51.3%99 W · 94 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Heat	65c	40,041$26,226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,814.64	148	56.1%83 W · 65 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Hornets	36c	39,416$14,145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,144.65	361	48.5%175 W · 186 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x220c…43c8backed Heat	66c	35,000$23,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,900	71	49.3%35 W · 36 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x576d…767dbacked Hornets	32c	35,000$11,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,199.99	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Heat	67c	35,000$23,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,649.98	513	50.1%257 W · 256 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Heat	66c	33,631$22,196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,434.44	518	44.4%230 W · 288 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Hornets	34c	30,000$10,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,200	1,204	55.3%666 W · 538 L	+52.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Hornets	34c	27,666$9,330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,329.82	113	33.6%38 W · 75 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ce3…3bc3backed Hornets	39c	24,047$9,272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,271.98	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hornets	4c	21,219$840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$839.89	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8058…d023backed Hornets	37c	20,000$7,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,400	79	46.8%37 W · 42 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Hornets	35c	19,192$6,625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,625.33	747	48.5%362 W · 385 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Hornets	37c	17,380$6,431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,430.6	79	39.2%31 W · 48 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Heat	66c	17,200$11,382 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,818.05	710	52.1%370 W · 340 L	+11.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed Hornets	34c	15,256$5,222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,222.27	51	49%25 W · 26 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Heat	62c	15,000$9,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,649.99	45	53.3%24 W · 21 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Heat	67c	14,470$9,695 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,775.13	346	45.4%157 W · 189 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Heat	63c	13,283$8,368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,914.71	375	57.6%216 W · 159 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Hornets	35c	12,267$4,294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,293.6	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hornets	35c	10,931$3,870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,870.15	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Heat	66c	10,000$6,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,400	169	42%71 W · 98 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Hornets	0c	8,819$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.68	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Heat	72c	8,017$5,738 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,279.51	474	48.7%231 W · 243 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Heat	69c	7,246$5,024 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,221.96	260	38.1%99 W · 161 L	-9.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-24%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Hornets	37c	6,986$2,557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,556.94	300	53.3%160 W · 140 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Hornets	33c	6,626$2,170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,170.36	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Hornets	37c	6,524$2,384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,383.52	698	52%363 W · 335 L	+10.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Heat	64c	6,020$3,845 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,174.57	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f89…d508backed Hornets	38c	5,263$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Hornets	34c	5,095$1,732 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,732.22	203	52.2%106 W · 97 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Hornets	35c	5,013$1,754 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,754.41	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Heat	63c	5,000$3,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,850	430	51.4%221 W · 209 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Hornets	34c	5,000$1,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,700	176	58%102 W · 74 L	+13.5wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Hornets	37c	4,714$1,744 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,744.18	85	43.5%37 W · 48 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1365…2ba2backed Heat	67c	4,010$2,691 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,319.16	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Hornets	37c	4,000$1,480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,480	801	46.4%372 W · 429 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked Hornets	2c	4,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	67	46.3%31 W · 36 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd44…00e4backed Hornets	33c	4,000$1,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,320	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.18per pick	47cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Hornets	35c	3,962$1,387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,386.7	418	48.3%202 W · 216 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f7b…d405backed Hornets	37c	3,872$1,432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,432.46	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Heat	66c	3,860$2,547 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,312.34	950	49.4%469 W · 481 L	+10.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Heat	64c	3,851$2,475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,376.48	2,265	43.4%982 W · 1,283 L	-26.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Heat	78c	3,662$2,843 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$819.02	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Heat	65c	3,636$2,373 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,263.54	753	47.5%358 W · 395 L	+10.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Hornets	34c	3,600$1,224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,223.99	453	48.1%218 W · 235 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Hornets	33c	3,570$1,178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,178.26	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-43%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed Hornets	37c	3,076$1,138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,138.06	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Hornets	36c	3,003$1,081 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,081.05	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d2…86fdbacked Heat	66c	3,000$1,980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Heat	65c	2,737$1,779 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$957.9	478	48.1%230 W · 248 L	-9.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Heat	61c	2,500$1,525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$975	181	42%76 W · 105 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Heat	65c	2,157$1,410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$746.92	444	59.7%265 W · 179 L	+12.4wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa359…e803backed Hornets	2c	2,049$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	16cpaid	-50%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Heat	66c	2,000$1,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$680	172	50%86 W · 86 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Hornets	12c	2,000$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.46	222	43.7%97 W · 125 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Heat	67c	2,000$1,340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$660.01	1,164	49.6%577 W · 587 L	+7.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc478…59bdbacked Hornets	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	+5.1wins	+0.18per pick	17cpaid	+130.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Heat	65c	2,000$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$699.98	477	48.8%233 W · 244 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Hornets	33c	2,000$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$659.96	1,197	46.7%559 W · 638 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets	33c	1,911$631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$631.3	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Heat	60c	1,836$1,101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$734.29	1,269	44.5%565 W · 704 L	+32.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Heat	65c	1,744$1,134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$610.2	736	47.3%348 W · 388 L	-12.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Heat	69c	1,628$1,118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$509.76	1,409	40.2%567 W · 842 L	-40.5wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Heat	61c	1,612$983 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$628.73	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaef9…72b5backed Heat	68c	1,600$1,088 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$511.99	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.21per pick	54cpaid	+66.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad23…47c4backed Heat	69c	1,575$1,086 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$488.62	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00c7…bb17backed Heat	66c	1,515$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$515.15	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Hornets	36c	1,514$541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$541.46	121	60.3%73 W · 48 L	+10.3wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Heat	62c	1,500$930 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$570	1,752	40.6%712 W · 1,040 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Heat	67c	1,500$1,005 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$494.98	768	50.3%386 W · 382 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked Hornets	34c	1,471$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	96	52.1%50 W · 46 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28f0…ceabbacked Heat	68c	1,460$993 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$467.2	159	45.9%73 W · 86 L	-6.7wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Heat	65c	1,275$829 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$446.25	577	60.5%349 W · 228 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdea…6951backed Hornets	31c	1,254$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392.7	204	34.8%71 W · 133 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f79…cccdbacked Hornets	33c	1,212$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3688…a4debacked Hornets	33c	1,200$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hornets	3c	1,126$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.66	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa962…6c41backed Hornets	33c	1,100$363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$363	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.17per pick	43cpaid	+61.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2c9…5d53backed Heat	68c	1,100$748 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$352	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Hornets	28c	1,048$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.39	853	44%375 W · 478 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Hornets	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1,277	2.3%29 W · 1,248 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-84%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc2c…355fbacked Heat	66c	1,000$660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.17per pick	58cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7842…1240backed Hornets	33c	1,000$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.21per pick	41cpaid	-74%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1bc…9dc9backed Hornets	21c	1,000$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.88	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-2.3wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x00d6…aa44backed Hornets	32c	999.96$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.99	58	15.5%9 W · 49 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Hornets	32c	999.9$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.97	432	47.5%205 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x429b…0688backed Hornets	33c	971.55$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.61	34	50%17 W · 17 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d4…ad20backed Heat	66c	909.09$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$309.09	64	48.4%31 W · 33 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Heat	67c	895.52$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.52	173	56.6%98 W · 75 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d60…649fbacked Hornets	34c	882.77$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba62…b19bbacked Heat	68c	882.35$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.35	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02c4…b6e1backed Hornets	34c	882.35$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Hornets vs. Heat

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event