TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x25cc…9297

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
265
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NFL, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 59 out of 100; worst UFC at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT16942%71 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 169 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$542Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,900%+$10,294.34
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$8,489Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,488.76
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,995.78
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.21
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.35
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,329Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,329.07
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$754Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$753.8
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,715Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,714.8
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$8,428Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,428.34
Mavericks vs. Spursbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$444.64
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$9,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,600
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,399.9
76ers vs. Spursbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,428Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,427.94
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$839Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$839.12
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,395Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$2,263.02
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$4,729Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,728.66
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.59
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$7,367Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,367.23
Jazz vs. Sunsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$489.67
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$3,060Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+226.8%+$6,939.88
Spread: Hawks (-10.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,039.99
Spread: Hawks (-9.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,920Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,919.98
Warriors vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.66
Knicks vs. Nets: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,400
Showing 25 of 169 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT5448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$589Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$588.82
Devils vs. Predatorsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$4,000
Islanders vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,176Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,929.72
Panthers vs. Flamesbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,450
Devils vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$2,300
Blue Jackets vs. Sharksbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$36.72
Predators vs. Oilersbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$156
Penguins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$476Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+117.4%+$558.22
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$1,600
Blackhawks vs. Senatorsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$2,400
Oilers vs. Wildbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$2,700
Jets vs. Avalanchebacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$1,799.99
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,580Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+132.6%+$3,420
Canucks vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24,540Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$24,539.97
Flyers vs. Sabresbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$2,519.95
Kings vs. Lightningbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+185.7%+$3,899.98
Penguins vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,457Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+69.5%+$1,012.83
Utah vs. Red Wingsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,529Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+112.8%+$2,851.91
Kings vs. Panthersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$3,359.93
Red Wings vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,677Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+61.5%+$1,645.87
Blues vs. Predatorsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,204Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$4,204.2
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$403.87
Canadiens vs. Penguinsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+122.2%+$513.54
Senators vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,819Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$1,818.75
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+170.3%+$100.8
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+45.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$13,060.41
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$7,986Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$5,549.73
Spread: Bills (-10.5)backed Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+100%+$3,000
Spread: Seahawks (-1.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+100%+$2,000
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,833Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+96.1%+$2,721.95
Browns vs. Bearsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$4,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$4,159.98
Ravens vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,142Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$3,141.98
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)backed Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,080Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+92.3%+$1,920
Cardinals vs. Cowboysbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,520Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+163.2%+$2,480
Jaguars vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,800
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$174.75
Spread: Chargers (-10.5)backed Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,895Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+88.7%+$1,680.72
Spread: Ravens (-7.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$1,020
Spread: Chiefs (-10.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,900
Spread: Broncos (-3.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+100.3%+$4,013.85
Spread: Falcons (-7.5)backed Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+100%+$472.5
Dolphins vs. Falconsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$1,407.17
All 17 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST50%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
California vs. Hawaii: O/U 51.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$10,800
South Alabama vs. Georgia State: O/U 54.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,120Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$2,880
Spread: Delaware Blue Hens (-9.5)backed Delaware Blue Hens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,199.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$53,874Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$53,874.24
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,936Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,936.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$6,500
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+100%+$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$2,643Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$2,642.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$112.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 139.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,478Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,478.13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.