TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Nets: O/U 214.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$887,953

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $887,953 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 309 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over49c150,267$73,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,554.8187451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Under51c97,610$49,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,844.360351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee17…b46ebacked Under52c90,000$46,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,199.864257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under50c86,628$43,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,182.684,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over49c86,522$42,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,295.431,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under51c54,260$27,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,602.761,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Over51c50,000$25,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,50016346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3690…78dfbacked Over51c40,865$20,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,832.62837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Under50c30,256$15,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,155.0423147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under52c26,013$13,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,616.2557950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under51c21,996$11,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,777.791,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Over48c20,000$9,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,599.9812639.7%50 W · 76 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Over48c19,537$9,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,377.739842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under50c18,955$9,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,484.0543542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Under52c15,471$8,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,42616547.3%78 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+56.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over48c15,042$7,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,22034854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under51c12,242$6,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,998.3838253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Over49c11,153$5,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,46512151.2%62 W · 59 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under52c10,325$5,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,943.424,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7973…34d4backed Over49c10,204$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0005437%20 W · 34 L-6.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Over48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c7,840$4,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,785.924,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Under51c7,697$3,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,771.5327455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under49c7,500$3,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8252,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over48c7,292$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Under52c6,725$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,225.316640.4%67 W · 99 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over48c6,542$3,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,139.9648546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Over48c6,250$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00017349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under52c6,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,879.981,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over4c5,460$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.588,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7595…50ffbacked Over56c5,325$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00011156.8%63 W · 48 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Over48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Over48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40016942%71 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under51c4,895$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,395.2958953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under51c4,872$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,372.3571654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed Under51c4,869$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,369.357948.1%38 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under52c4,817$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,316.561,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over50c4,750$2,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,37554539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.9779549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over51c3,922$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under51c3,903$1,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,913.171,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb18…6d4ebacked Over48c3,850$1,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,84820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ff8…a2cabacked Over49c3,612$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,769.881346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ab4…96a5backed Over50c3,601$1,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800.561250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9175…bd29backed Over51c3,438$1,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,755.543060%18 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Over48c2,787$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,337.630446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Over48c2,777$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,33315141.1%62 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x250f…02cebacked Under50c2,642$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b02…0b0fbacked Over50c2,524$1,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d26…c0d5backed Under49c2,478$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd372…d094backed Under50c2,456$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Under52c2,450$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,17614245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under52c2,441$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.3937747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9395…aaeebacked Under49c2,430$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.3250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad4f…c604backed Over50c2,403$1,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over49c2,385$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,162.221,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadb0…b95dbacked Over50c2,366$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over49c2,365$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.856,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over49c2,320$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.3858347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over50c2,302$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.563,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Over49c2,293$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.5925049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd304…b6a0backed Under50c2,265$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over49c2,220$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.5965349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e2d…d950backed Under50c2,204$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50ba…a43dbacked Over51c2,202$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.0220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1187…d3acbacked Under50c2,182$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a2c…36a7backed Over50c2,120$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7893…17babacked Under49c2,118$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.182100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1c…a6c5backed Over48c2,110$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0135046%23 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a1f…8d4dbacked Under49c2,096$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.962100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbd9…2b5ebacked Over51c2,033$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.8320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Over50c2,020$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.922643.8%99 W · 127 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6fb…2b39backed Over51c2,002$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.0220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff83…6599backed Over50c1,966$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Under51c1,952$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.5341947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf55d…fd7dbacked Under50c1,936$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5668…130dbacked Over50c1,930$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc83d…43cebacked Under50c1,906$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9532100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2791…3f8ebacked Under50c1,872$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9362100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x315e…d6c8backed Over50c1,820$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08fe…aedfbacked Under52c1,812$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.948447.6%40 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec92…7704backed Over51c1,793$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.43250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81ea…0058backed Over50c1,721$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd15f…0c1fbacked Over51c1,688$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebd3…99e0backed Over50c1,682$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Over48c1,671$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80213750.4%69 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb358…549cbacked Over50c1,670$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44eb…dcfebacked Under50c1,658$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75e0…a2b3backed Under49c1,656$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87c5…8a52backed Over48c1,629$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.71425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-68.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8b7…dfb9backed Over48c1,629$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.7140%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under54c1,621$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.5250754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Over31c1,603$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017246.5%80 W · 92 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over49c1,588$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.232,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8fb…a084backed Over51c1,502$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.02250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fa3…172fbacked Over47c1,497$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.583831.6%12 W · 26 L-6.6wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-36%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over48c1,406$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67570246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over48c1,354$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.