TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Nets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,446,462

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,446,462 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 514 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x183d…1270backed Nets3c150,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5004619.6%9 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-45.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Nets6c112,898$6,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,497.5447028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Nets22c73,406$16,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,149.4128241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Nets5c71,362$3,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,893.451,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0445…69bdbacked Nets0c69,993$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.732512%3 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-73.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Nets4c64,385$2,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,596.6283039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Nets6c64,233$4,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,165.5348343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Nets22c52,855$11,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,525.771,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x59e1…d3bbbacked Nets7c48,774$3,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,414.18825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-51.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Nets6c41,386$2,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,487.2627424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Nets6c40,936$2,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,466.024,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Nets32c37,765$12,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,168.8416848.2%81 W · 87 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Nets15c37,035$5,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,630.9720744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Nets12c35,418$4,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,226.61,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Nets12c32,196$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,900.023,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nets13c31,356$4,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,077.489,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacc1…84edbacked Nets0c29,900$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.960%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Knicks69c27,287$18,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,414.345,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Knicks78c26,976$21,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,934.6769049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Nets6c26,853$1,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,627.652,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Knicks74c24,543$18,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,279.2419246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fd1…e532backed Knicks77c24,260$18,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,541.333268.8%22 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Nets17c24,146$4,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,085.921,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Nets23c23,430$5,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,388.924053.8%129 W · 111 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcbf…d37fbacked Nets8c23,199$1,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,760.658728.7%25 W · 62 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Knicks77c20,000$15,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,6001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Nets6c19,627$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.413,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Nets6c18,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10061336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Knicks78c13,653$10,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,003.6820352.7%107 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Nets6c13,495$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.074,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Knicks76c12,301$9,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,973.483,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5be5…5741backed Nets6c11,983$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.9850%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Knicks77c11,961$9,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,750.921,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Knicks80c11,222$8,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,265.681529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Nets6c10,500$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6301,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nets8c10,202$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.294,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Knicks77c10,009$7,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,271.4877348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x233b…eababacked Nets0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011231.3%35 W · 77 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Nets6c10,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60046342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0206…479fbacked Nets6c9,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5401323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-65.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Knicks74c8,794$6,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,310.5528554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Nets3c8,439$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.883179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Nets14c8,044$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.2342335.9%152 W · 271 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x655e…f22bbacked Nets6c7,667$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34c6…3637backed Nets6c7,098$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.891631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Knicks72c6,740$4,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,918.9826353.6%141 W · 122 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nets21c6,650$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,392.478,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Nets8c6,632$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.721,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d43…ce68backed Knicks70c6,111$4,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,860.3717247.7%82 W · 90 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Nets6c6,020$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.465349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06b2…0c61backed Nets0c5,474$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.19200%0 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e2d…40b1backed Nets6c5,443$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.5932330.7%99 W · 224 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e98…3a8abacked Nets7c5,386$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3662416.7%4 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-71%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Nets23c5,265$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2119547.4%45 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Nets1c5,050$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.358820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8000…3a21backed Nets7c5,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35025947.5%123 W · 136 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Nets21c4,368$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.553,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Nets8c4,287$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.9833139.3%130 W · 201 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Nets13c4,275$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.071,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ae5…ead2backed Nets23c4,197$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9455248.1%25 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nets19c3,779$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.522,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nets14c3,764$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.221,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Nets22c3,744$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.241,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe707…876ebacked Nets6c3,620$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.2616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-74.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x201b…c382backed Nets6c3,610$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d8a…4d5fbacked Nets7c3,542$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.939655.2%53 W · 43 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Nets5c3,500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18065939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Nets5c3,500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.9986641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd839…8fc8backed Knicks77c3,286$2,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.235952.5%31 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbc2…b3b6backed Nets19c3,167$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-41.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x97b1…1f26backed Nets5c3,108$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170329.4%3 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-72.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c7d…5a77backed Nets6c3,087$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba9…0516backed Nets9c3,014$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.497412.2%9 W · 65 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdab4…a27abacked Nets6c3,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1808944.9%40 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd36a…28d6backed Nets32c2,918$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Nets5c2,800$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14043438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0306…dcf6backed Knicks75c2,667$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.679839.8%39 W · 59 L-12.3wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-28.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Nets6c2,574$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.1924841.1%102 W · 146 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Nets16c2,572$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008451.2%43 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cb3…78e9backed Nets21c2,568$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.133863.2%24 W · 14 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Nets20c2,567$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.6580737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Nets6c2,560$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.616440.9%67 W · 97 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b6…2fefbacked Nets17c2,511$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Nets6c2,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022036.8%81 W · 139 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6076…b218backed Nets7c2,500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1755928.8%17 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f4b…bb93backed Knicks64c2,454$1,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.529354.8%51 W · 42 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd162…0d24backed Nets31c2,396$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.744843.8%21 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+33.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x336b…c5bfbacked Nets6c2,380$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.8728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-64.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84dc…008ebacked Nets7c2,379$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.9480%0 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Nets6c2,360$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15065339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Nets18c2,344$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42530157.1%172 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Nets7c2,318$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.863,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31a6…0dcfbacked Nets17c2,287$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.917028.8%49 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Nets17c2,249$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.3953539.6%212 W · 323 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x102c…664bbacked Nets6c2,233$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.966958%40 W · 29 L+9.3wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+26.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0689…9171backed Nets11c2,207$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.974323.3%10 W · 33 L-7.0wins-0.16per pick40cpaid-48.6%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xff96…027cbacked Nets14c2,075$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2881435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Nets12c2,028$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.2428842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aaa…51dfbacked Nets7c2,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401060%6 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick31cpaid+88.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeef4…32a1backed Nets6c2,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010041%41 W · 59 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.