TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x102c…664b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
116
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: NBA, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 61 out of 100; worst Tennis at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT6958%40 W · 29 L+9.3wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+26.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$79.76
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+267.8%+$661.06
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.13
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.99
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.92
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.99
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.23
Bucks vs. Sunsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+400%+$400
Knicks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.96
Warriors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$115
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+170.6%+$682.13
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.21
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$17.66
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+128.4%+$53.4
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.9
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.29
Grizzlies vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$142.48
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+71%+$29.25
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$158.2
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.96
Bulls vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.45
Wizards vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.04
Pistons vs. Netsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$16.41
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$45.96
Grizzlies vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$60
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT3560%21 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athleticsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$516Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+100.8%+$520.53
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$8.9
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.91
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$154.87
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.77
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+131.2%+$458.06
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$132
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$256
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$196
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$49.93
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$70.43
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padresbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.58
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+113.9%+$106.1
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$70
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+134.5%+$332.67
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.15
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Dream vs. PortlandFirebacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Portland Fire vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+34%+$4.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BIG vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.