TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Nets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,450,603

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,450,603 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Nets10c215,530$21,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,552.1943542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Nets10c140,000$14,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,699.9836741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Nets10c100,000$9,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,999.1154539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x183d…1270backed Nets1c100,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004619.6%9 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-45.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Nets10c76,846$7,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,996.4547028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Nets11c66,340$7,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,002.0440035.5%142 W · 258 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Nets11c44,162$4,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,715.8532540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Nets10c41,582$4,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,228.9962347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Nets10c40,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.719645.9%90 W · 106 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Nets0c39,648$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.326637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Nets9c33,631$3,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,026.8129245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Nets0c27,544$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.35213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Nets10c18,000$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7701,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05c4…a4f2backed Nets10c17,917$1,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,714.0312045%54 W · 66 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Nets11c16,475$1,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,809.4234851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd47d…c0dcbacked Nets11c15,107$1,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,660.91040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Nets11c13,641$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50024831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Nets11c13,550$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,480.3961336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a1a…83eabacked Nets11c12,000$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.293259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b0d…90c0backed Nets11c11,818$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,357.528834.1%30 W · 58 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Nets11c10,500$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.351,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Nets11c10,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10047043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x91bd…f7e4backed Nets0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x184f…389ebacked Nets11c10,000$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.273158.1%18 W · 13 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+25.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa25d…2227backed Nets12c10,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.9910641.5%44 W · 62 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Nets10c9,092$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8899547.4%45 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Nets1c8,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5064517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Nets0c7,873$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.148783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4c5…378abacked Nets2c6,731$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.315744.6%70 W · 87 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nets13c6,459$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.84,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Nets5c6,401$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.031,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Nets0c6,140$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.498820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Nets9c5,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.9711955.5%66 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9c0…2026backed Nets0c5,093$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8000…3a21backed Nets10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.525947.5%123 W · 136 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Nets0c5,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.544573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4935…fc12backed Nets9c5,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4506333.3%21 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc07c…c4b7backed Nets10c4,364$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4505616.1%9 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-56.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b0…48f3backed Nets4c4,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16011247.3%53 W · 59 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92cd…6c5dbacked Nets1c3,437$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-40.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x71ab…b505backed Nets12c3,400$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40840%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Nets6c3,365$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.911,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Nets11c3,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33086641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Nets10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.738434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Nets11c2,800$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.831533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-53.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Nets9c2,778$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9927241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Nets11c2,744$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30029635.8%106 W · 190 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20e5…d3bcbacked Nets9c2,700$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24322637.2%84 W · 142 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Nets12c2,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9958740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20b2…f114backed Nets10c2,379$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.9326729.2%78 W · 189 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Nets10c2,347$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.9723348.9%114 W · 119 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x467d…6737backed Nets12c2,025$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.9911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick21cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b51…da79backed Nets1c2,000$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185527.3%15 W · 40 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Nets11c1,822$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20048938.7%189 W · 300 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Nets11c1,821$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.5416027.5%44 W · 116 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Nets11c1,800$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19865939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8400…9885backed Nets1c1,750$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101921.1%4 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Nets16c1,750$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.6322140.7%90 W · 131 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nets5c1,725$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.254,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedb8…75d3backed Nets13c1,651$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.59933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa2e…b357backed Nets10c1,602$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.947433.8%25 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Nets11c1,500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16568944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Nets10c1,500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15543438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Nets10c1,443$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.328643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb1f…8bc1backed Nets11c1,295$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.45728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-39.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Nets1c1,230$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.797211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8efc…65c0backed Nets11c1,202$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.17825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x408b…8dc9backed Nets11c1,200$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.63650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x534a…023abacked Nets1c1,114$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.355044%22 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa52e…453fbacked Nets13c1,101$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.9216251.2%83 W · 79 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Nets9c1,100$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a1d…eff9backed Nets11c1,050$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.21040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-41.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Nets11c1,018$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1123545.7%16 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+11.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Nets10c1,004$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014456.3%81 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…f917backed Nets13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.031729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-46.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b40…b77abacked Nets11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.632250%11 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+60.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb92f…ce50backed Nets10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.71747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Nets1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104200.7%3 W · 417 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2790…2233backed Nets11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.5319735%69 W · 128 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Nets10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019728.9%57 W · 140 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Nets11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8823435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f88…5f64backed Nets11c999$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.681361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+67.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf938…f68ebacked Nets10c993.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994431.8%14 W · 30 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Nets11c918.19$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.921,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed Nets11c917.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017723.7%42 W · 135 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Nets11c916.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010225.5%26 W · 76 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Nets13c872.74$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.2643543.4%189 W · 246 L-16.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Nets7c870.03$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.71,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf00f…28edbacked Nets5c810$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407347.9%35 W · 38 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+53.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa394…9425backed Nets11c809$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1bc…ddb7backed Nets11c800$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick31cpaid+99.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nets5c780.77$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.042,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4543…38acbacked Nets13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x854d…ea70backed Nets11c720$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.046624.2%16 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ff…c9ddbacked Nets11c706.42$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7720329.6%60 W · 143 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Nets11c640.72$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8414355.2%79 W · 64 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Nets14c630.75$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2941038%156 W · 254 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b18…0390backed Nets13c621.42$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7511038.2%42 W · 68 L-8.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb28…02bbbacked Nets11c599.98$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6636843.8%161 W · 207 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7166…7f01backed Nets6c536.35$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.