TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Nets: O/U 218.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$221,025

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,025 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under53c38,101$20,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,193.3538253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under53c29,910$15,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,775.4543542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Under51c20,000$10,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,113.360351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Over47c18,907$8,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,020.6930845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over48c16,390$7,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,587.594,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over48c14,450$6,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,534.781,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c9,884$4,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,146.399,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Over47c7,719$3,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,090.9524942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Over47c7,680$3,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,042.5324744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over47c4,242$1,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,248.2695651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x79ac…f868backed Under52c4,011$2,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,085.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe62…e9a9backed Under52c3,879$2,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,017.0820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ef…2b97backed Over48c3,640$1,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,892.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68d5…9a3abacked Under52c3,456$1,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,797.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa1f…54cbbacked Under52c3,401$1,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,768.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Under55c3,390$1,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,875.5121549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x446c…2cb2backed Under52c3,355$1,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,744.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…8deabacked Under52c3,187$1,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,657.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb99a…e0cfbacked Under52c3,120$1,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,622.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c3,096$1,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.574,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over48c3,017$1,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,568.735,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x917e…a32bbacked Under52c2,978$1,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,548.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21cf…9480backed Under52c2,877$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,496.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14d6…7bffbacked Under52c2,828$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,470.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x789d…7764backed Under52c2,740$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a6e…149ebacked Over48c2,655$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf541…6378backed Over49c2,588$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf32c…1a91backed Under52c2,525$1,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,31330%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x693a…a3e8backed Over48c2,455$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bed…01babacked Over49c2,420$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,234.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0153…c3edbacked Over49c2,400$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2242100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Over52c2,398$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.880737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed Over47c2,372$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,257.345843.1%25 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92f5…e687backed Over48c2,366$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7247…b14cbacked Over48c2,366$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd95d…3e71backed Over48c2,322$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d1a…d2c0backed Over48c2,313$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7535…5721backed Over48c2,266$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7664…7867backed Under52c2,262$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6117…dd2ebacked Under52c2,188$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.7620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfb3…bb62backed Under52c2,144$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ef4…27b3backed Over48c2,066$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Under49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016640.4%67 W · 99 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4fec…7de6backed Over48c2,033$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61ae…e393backed Over48c2,022$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa406…8714backed Over48c2,011$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe28f…3a04backed Over48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0402100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51c8…1a6abacked Over49c1,988$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa976…9ca6backed Under52c1,936$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9752…13dcbacked Over48c1,888$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5868…8c94backed Over48c1,877$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33fe…e1bfbacked Over48c1,861$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91a8…4af2backed Over48c1,823$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x141b…955bbacked Over48c1,809$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1232…506fbacked Under52c1,799$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.4820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0180…c3fcbacked Under51c1,797$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.4720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d96…2c11backed Over48c1,717$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.842100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd22…1ab7backed Over48c1,711$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4c9…0e28backed Over48c1,688$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a00…393bbacked Over48c1,600$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc26d…1f98backed Over48c1,588$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9621…97d2backed Under52c1,561$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8c4…ded8backed Over48c1,525$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b61…4d3ebacked Over48c1,523$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96a6…5a08backed Over48c1,522$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over48c1,463$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.893,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaf44…98e7backed Over48c1,456$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over48c1,399$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.283,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00fa…d45cbacked Over48c1,398$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ada…8d84backed Over48c1,332$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under51c1,306$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.131,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec84…78dcbacked Under51c1,258$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd760…af3dbacked Under52c1,221$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.9220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe191…0b1abacked Under52c1,212$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd21…ec9bbacked Under52c1,177$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under53c1,132$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.862,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba3a…c333backed Under51c1,122$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.2220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Over47c1,109$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.9617850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Under48c1,104$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.219445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f45…b504backed Under52c1,099$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.4820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xffef…bb13backed Under52c1,077$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over46c1,067$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.283,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bb1…e013backed Under51c1,066$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.6620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Over47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.0722143%95 W · 126 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x159c…52bcbacked Under51c1,058$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bda…3b6ebacked Under51c1,047$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.9720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e7b…38cebacked Under51c1,025$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7492…b0eabacked Under51c1,023$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.73250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcabe…ba23backed Under52c1,022$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb4f…deeabacked Under52c1,013$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.76450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b87…bcc5backed Under52c1,011$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51053951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55040947.7%195 W · 214 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over45c990$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.51,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Over47c936$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.0847354.8%259 W · 214 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Over47c936$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.0858951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f15…a2adbacked Under52c846$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb59a…a67cbacked Over48c843$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over50c823.45$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.548,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under40c770$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3081,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.