TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Nets: O/U 217.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$857,378

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $857,378 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over48c597,253$289,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307,633.0987451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under52c221,430$114,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114,088.954,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under51c150,000$76,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76,50066248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under52c150,000$78,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78,0002,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under51c30,000$15,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,30024650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56cd…2c28backed Over50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,000250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd40a…60f2backed Under50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over48c10,855$5,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,644.6347856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under50c10,239$5,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,11943542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under53c7,321$3,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,879.9137747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under52c7,276$3,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,783.6920744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Under50c6,932$3,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,433.538444%37 W · 47 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under53c5,502$2,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,91518749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over48c5,235$2,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,723.842,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,08079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,08043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under53c3,774$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00026648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac86…1ec4backed Over52c3,755$1,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,802.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Over48c3,675$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,910.961,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f45…b504backed Under49c3,588$1,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,758.1220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23ca…e169backed Under48c3,495$1,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,677.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Under52c3,333$1,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,733.1614753.1%78 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b87…bcc5backed Over51c3,311$1,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,622.39250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcabe…ba23backed Over51c3,288$1,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,611.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f15…a2adbacked Over51c3,288$1,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,611.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c3,286$1,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,702.924,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccaf…6cdfbacked Over52c3,255$1,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,562.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under52c3,204$1,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,654.296,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8196…90bbbacked Over51c3,156$1,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,546.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9324…3caabacked Over51c3,091$1,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.592100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under53c3,049$1,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,615.8617550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa20e…2d9abacked Under48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x151f…0d8cbacked Under49c2,978$1,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.2220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13ee…dbf6backed Under49c2,945$1,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,443.0520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe84c…ab52backed Over52c2,900$1,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3922100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb082…38fcbacked Over51c2,889$1,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,415.61250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd21…ec9bbacked Under49c2,877$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.7320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70a2…341cbacked Under49c2,856$1,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3730…2375backed Over51c2,837$1,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,390.13250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Under53c2,814$1,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,491.132150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8456…4fccbacked Over52c2,801$1,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.482100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed6a…d4f0backed Over51c2,776$1,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x981a…177abacked Over51c2,748$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.522100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3552…57a8backed Over51c2,743$1,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.07250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f53…a834backed Under49c2,703$1,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,324.4720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over50c2,692$1,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,34658347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb847…c57cbacked Under49c2,668$1,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,307.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd42f…dfe3backed Under49c2,657$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.93250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bd4…a378backed Under49c2,646$1,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,296.54250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8126…f5f8backed Under49c2,635$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0f6…c07ebacked Under48c2,542$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec3e…fb8bbacked Under51c2,536$1,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,293.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70dd…8799backed Over51c2,533$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.17250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6897…31d7backed Under49c2,526$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec1…79aabacked Over51c2,525$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.252100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91a8…4af2backed Under49c2,522$1,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,235.78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…4fb6backed Under48c2,511$1,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,205.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe275…4332backed Over50c2,505$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Under50c2,500$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2408657%49 W · 37 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e2e…bcf7backed Over51c2,471$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.79250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3101…a113backed Over49c2,432$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6117…dd2ebacked Under49c2,420$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x278a…1578backed Under49c2,415$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.35250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15f4…a763backed Under49c2,411$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Under53c2,400$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.9816633.7%56 W · 110 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd760…af3dbacked Under49c2,356$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6388…290cbacked Under49c2,341$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.0920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under51c2,310$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.483,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e32…0959backed Under49c2,295$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.5520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xccb0…a614backed Over51c2,278$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa406…8714backed Under49c2,258$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,106.42250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d59…24e5backed Under49c2,253$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.9720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x004f…b2c9backed Under49c2,236$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.6420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x693a…a3e8backed Under50c2,233$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.41250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a97…4121backed Under49c2,218$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.82250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bd5…f174backed Over51c2,205$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.45250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over51c2,204$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.8134854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x141b…955bbacked Over51c2,202$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.982100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43ce…e24bbacked Over49c2,154$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.51250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07a4…13b1backed Over51c2,132$1,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37ed…2984backed Under50c2,130$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.0120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf41b…533abacked Over51c2,122$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6988…1288backed Under48c2,103$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9476…81b2backed Under49c2,071$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.79250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedc1…2571backed Over51c2,040$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0c6…e3d3backed Under48c2,036$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.2820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2618…8f8bbacked Under49c2,034$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.6620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fec…7de6backed Under49c2,033$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.17250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1583…9c26backed Over51c2,033$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.17250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ef…af41backed Under49c2,022$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.7820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d96…2c11backed Over51c2,015$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.352100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82b7…f2e2backed Under51c2,012$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.1220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Under52c2,000$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0308747.1%41 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9621…97d2backed Under49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04045647.1%215 W · 241 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb684…069abacked Over49c1,996$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2f9…5e0bbacked Under49c1,980$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f85…e320backed Under51c1,968$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e1e…bb68backed Over51c1,963$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.979556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Over51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.7830446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.