TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Nets: O/U 216.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$223,745

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $223,745 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over50c56,439$28,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,219.4166248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Under50c27,635$13,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,817.4929351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Under50c17,286$8,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,643.1623147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Over52c15,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,200.121,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under50c14,162$7,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,080.9317550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under48c12,848$6,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,140.2543542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Under50c11,920$5,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,96033447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Under50c11,600$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,80038750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over50c10,173$5,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,086.51,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c8,265$3,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,967.691,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Over50c7,175$3,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,587.51,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under50c7,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50021653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over51c6,961$3,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,404.84,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under50c5,700$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,85026648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f4…ed78backed Under50c5,566$2,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7831662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+28.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c7a…7bafbacked Over54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02ac…346fbacked Under50c4,998$2,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4991421.4%3 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.29per pick51cpaid-61%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c4,810$2,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,331.439,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Under50c3,600$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80017144.4%76 W · 95 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over50c3,592$1,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,795.9487451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Under50c3,458$1,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,72931643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over50c3,083$1,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,541.51,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Under50c2,742$1,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,371.0740350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over50c2,685$1,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,343.326,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over51c2,652$1,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.754,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over50c2,500$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2501,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba45…87f3backed Over53c2,500$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1751070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+28.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e32…0959backed Under47c2,340$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c71…4148backed Over53c2,290$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.31172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+53%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over50c2,116$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0572,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07a4…13b1backed Under47c2,088$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under48c2,066$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.322,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00018749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bfc…af2cbacked Under46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49b3…b137backed Under47c1,999$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9476…81b2backed Over53c1,953$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.91250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedc1…2571backed Over53c1,882$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.542100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Over51c1,856$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.1321250.5%107 W · 105 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7595…50ffbacked Under44c1,818$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80011156.8%63 W · 48 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x68f2…6cb0backed Under47c1,802$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.9420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x510b…6839backed Over53c1,752$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0727…bd59backed Over53c1,653$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.91250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over51c1,642$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.181,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd35…4f97backed Under47c1,634$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.9820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over51c1,616$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.9280653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bf2…8c99backed Over53c1,523$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.812100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c1,520$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.564,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cff…6e85backed Under46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8eac…ac66backed Under46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x411e…21a3backed Under47c1,498$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.06250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over52c1,414$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.7758347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88db…1e12backed Over53c1,325$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.752100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Over53c1,088$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.1517953.1%95 W · 84 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50021247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over50c999.99$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50040947.7%195 W · 214 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Over49c999.98$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.998657%49 W · 37 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over53c916.48$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.632,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under47c787.23$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37071449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa182…03fabacked Over53c754.62$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.628949.4%44 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fd…ffacbacked Under47c726$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.2220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36c0…5930backed Over50c712.76$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.385152.9%27 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Under50c712$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3568647.7%41 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over54c711.07$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.23,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Under51c681.37$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.7318143.1%78 W · 103 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over63c572.91$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.138,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6eb…5402backed Over56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.7111159.5%66 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4302…4f64backed Under47c509.99$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.7633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over50c477.3$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.743,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over55c458.64$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.822140.7%90 W · 131 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over51c437.02$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.8334851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over51c430.97$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.372,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Under51c314.27$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.148751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under48c306.77$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.585,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15066046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Under50c280$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14045646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Over48c244.14$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.1653149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over79c216.43$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.981,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018448.9%90 W · 94 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023748.1%114 W · 123 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under36c196.86$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.621,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a67…5d96backed Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.084161%25 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under27c188$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.761,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eb7…a911backed Under47c181$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked Over51c170.96$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.7711850%59 W · 59 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Under50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8022850.9%116 W · 112 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Under51c160$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.615240.8%62 W · 90 L-12.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Under41c147.69$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1945452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7056547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over52c131.26$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.233,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under44c130.86$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.421,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under47c116.8$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.11,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over65c116.62$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7976653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over51c101$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5445647.1%215 W · 241 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4663353.1%336 W · 297 L-2.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4680737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2c9…a644backed Over52c99.94$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.974100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+65.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9565…93efbacked Over50c99.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.641369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+37.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over50c98.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0267248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.