TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x02a9…642d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
322
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT18143.1%78 W · 103 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 181 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Lakers (-16.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.76
Spread: Lakers (-15.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.06
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+142.1%+$182.04
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$624Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$623.51
Spread: Heat (-9.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Spread: Jazz (-4.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.95
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.51
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.64
Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.1
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$12.59
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Spread: Hawks (-13.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$164.23
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+78.8%+$61.15
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$98
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+87.4%+$242.22
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Timberwolves vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.94
Timberwolves vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.4
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$195.95
Spread: Suns (-11.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$180.91
Showing 25 of 181 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT3943.6%17 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.28
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$56.2
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$551Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+75.2%+$414.85
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+203%+$52.48
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$74.66
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$12.67
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+75.9%+$130.49
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.42
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+39%+$21.85
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.16
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.29
LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.03
LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.97
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.47
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+129.5%+$83.27
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$64.27
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.31
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.33
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$19.12
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.11
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$902Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$570.6
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.25
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.42
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. California Baptist Lancers: O/U 142.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+85.3%+$97.96
Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-5.5)backed Cal State Fullerton Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.17
Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 133.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+81.4%+$22.65
Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 134.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.27
Georgetown Hoyas vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 137.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.18
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$42.86
Miami Hurricanes vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$41.14
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$17.43
Seton Hall Pirates vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 134.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$67.7
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Toledo Rockets: O/U 156.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.46
San Jose State Spartans vs. New Mexico Lobosbacked San Jose State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.17
Idaho Vandals vs. Montana Grizzliesbacked Montana Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.37
San Jose State Spartans vs. Boise State Broncosbacked Boise State Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.42
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Syracuse Orangebacked Syracuse Orange · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$23.25
California Golden Bears vs. Wake Forest Demon Deaconsbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+184.1%+$49.53
Boise State Broncos vs. Colorado State Ramsbacked Colorado State Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.31
Saint Louis Billikens vs. George Mason Patriotsbacked George Mason Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+81.2%+$10.42
Georgia Bulldogs vs. Mississippi State Bulldogsbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$28.67
Drake Bulldogs vs. UIC Flamesbacked Drake Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.94
All 19 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Galatasaray SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$637Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$637.45
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+101%+$440.47
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$711Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$656.14
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+93.1%+$94.92
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.42
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$266.75
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+86.2%+$89.16
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$46.88
Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.62
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$38.8
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,024Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,024.14
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$629Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$629.15
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.17
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.08
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+186.7%+$645.08
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.62
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 4 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$15.13
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 3 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.1
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$57.25
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+85.3%+$15.86
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$15.34
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.02
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs OG (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Dbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+97.1%+$172.13
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+216.1%+$135.36
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+156.8%+$319.8
All 12 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-39.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.59
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.79
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.02
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+64.5%+$21.87
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$33.37
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.05
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$5.3
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.54
Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$29.83
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-40.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$77.95
Oilers vs. Blues: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+97.5%+$27.86
Lightning vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$24.07
Rangers vs. Devilsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$32.13
All 4 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+40.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+148.2%+$271.03
Atlanta United FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$77.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+400%+$44.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lithuania vs. Georgia: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.