TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FC Barcelonaof FC Barcelona, Sevilla FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$284,810

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $284,810 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked FC Barcelona52c121,405$63,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,180.848756.3%49 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed FC Barcelona52c64,671$33,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,038.975152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Sevilla FC48c36,456$17,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,498.885950.8%30 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f4…ed78backed Sevilla FC48c24,614$11,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,900333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07d8…9f3fbacked Sevilla FC48c18,750$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,000250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sevilla FC47c16,643$7,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,749.534,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20e9…d516backed Sevilla FC49c12,361$6,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,01910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Sevilla FC47c10,550$4,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,958.530%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Sevilla FC48c10,417$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-35.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Sevilla FC48c10,417$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0005149%25 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Sevilla FC48c10,417$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Sevilla FC47c7,903$3,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,748.152,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Sevilla FC48c7,197$3,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,456.385757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4592…49b6backed FC Barcelona53c6,444$3,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,052.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Sevilla FC48c5,253$2,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.248251.2%42 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Sevilla FC48c5,235$2,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,513425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Sevilla FC48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed FC Barcelona52c4,952$2,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,376.787349.3%36 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed FC Barcelona51c4,871$2,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,386.7769142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4918…8573backed Sevilla FC48c4,539$2,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,178.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1263…fddcbacked FC Barcelona55c4,500$2,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,025.52962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+44.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sevilla FC45c4,133$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,859.7324145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5565…6448backed Sevilla FC47c4,035$1,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,896.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sevilla FC48c3,925$1,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,890.950149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Sevilla FC49c3,746$1,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8387439.2%29 W · 45 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5083…9cbdbacked FC Barcelona52c3,703$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,777.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+30.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed FC Barcelona51c3,486$1,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,708.3110450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Sevilla FC48c3,071$1,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,474.083540%14 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed FC Barcelona51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4705050%25 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Sevilla FC48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4401861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1e6…5266backed Sevilla FC48c2,409$1,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3d0…d2f0backed Sevilla FC48c2,163$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0381136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Sevilla FC46c2,081$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.182133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Sevilla FC45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.9813845.7%63 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1d1…0139backed FC Barcelona52c1,982$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Sevilla FC48c1,939$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.7226550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed FC Barcelona55c1,835$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.712548%12 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Sevilla FC48c1,458$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.8420159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Sevilla FC47c1,409$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.844254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked FC Barcelona56c1,160$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.111146.8%52 W · 59 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92b5…3eefbacked Sevilla FC48c1,145$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14ec…0923backed FC Barcelona55c1,048$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.982147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Sevilla FC47c837.87$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.0942851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Sevilla FC48c800$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38422552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed FC Barcelona53c754.72$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.724946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked FC Barcelona54c740.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.743033.3%10 W · 20 L-5.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed FC Barcelona55c727.27$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.276460.9%39 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed FC Barcelona53c672.57$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.671450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Sevilla FC32c634.35$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.6617032.9%56 W · 114 L-0.8wins0.00per pick33cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed FC Barcelona77c624.92$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.024158.5%24 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Sevilla FC46c618$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.820449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed FC Barcelona50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3005942.4%25 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Sevilla FC47c599.99$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28212954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0556…132abacked Sevilla FC44c539.98$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.591450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41a6…f2e3backed Sevilla FC45c531.95$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Sevilla FC46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2303565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+29.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Sevilla FC34c480.09$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.8311331%35 W · 78 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Sevilla FC48c464.92$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.1630749.2%151 W · 156 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Sevilla FC48c454.67$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.244235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4795…0fb0backed FC Barcelona55c454.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.55250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Sevilla FC46c435$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.110450%52 W · 52 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked FC Barcelona61c422$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.6860147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed FC Barcelona55c399.97$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.997553.3%40 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed FC Barcelona55c380$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1719262%57 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed FC Barcelona54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3720843.3%90 W · 118 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed FC Barcelona55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.643060%18 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Sevilla FC50c360$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18012951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed FC Barcelona53c350$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1656256.5%35 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Sevilla FC48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14427652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Sevilla FC49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14719750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Sevilla FC49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14729053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Sevilla FC49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14731751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Sevilla FC49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14718152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed FC Barcelona56c296.36$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.46756.7%38 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed FC Barcelona55c292.73$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.6331745.7%145 W · 172 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked FC Barcelona52c284.96$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.46657.6%38 W · 28 L+7.8wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+28.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Sevilla FC45c277.78$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1253844.7%17 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Sevilla FC18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011140.5%45 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68cc…d976backed FC Barcelona56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.86742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb03…9732backed Sevilla FC48c260.42$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1254949%24 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Sevilla FC49c250$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.521849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed Sevilla FC48c239.99$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.3913453%71 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed FC Barcelona53c230.23$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.212060%12 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+70.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked FC Barcelona53c226.42$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.4211149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c34…8dfabacked FC Barcelona53c212.62$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.931553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed FC Barcelona54c209.37$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.312470.8%17 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Sevilla FC9c204$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3649057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Sevilla FC49c200.36$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.1721051.9%109 W · 101 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Sevilla FC48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9616151.6%83 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3bf…762dbacked FC Barcelona80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403262.5%20 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed FC Barcelona55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9064046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Sevilla FC48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9629053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92de…87eebacked FC Barcelona55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+72.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Sevilla FC45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905137.3%19 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed FC Barcelona53c189$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.834082.5%33 W · 7 L+6.5wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+28.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9cb9…c65dbacked FC Barcelona53c188.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.821163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3542…24f0backed FC Barcelona53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.682060%12 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed FC Barcelona53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6813668.4%93 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed FC Barcelona53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6812755.1%70 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x739a…f78abacked FC Barcelona55c185.73$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.