TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

FC Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$153,699

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,699 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Under53c33,717$17,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,993.56566.2%43 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over52c26,233$13,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,644.24,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Under51c19,954$10,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,176.61812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.40per pick52cpaid-75%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over47c10,384$4,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,531.2350149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,099.988041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over60c9,472$5,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,817.453,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under51c8,000$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,079.8430446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x76b9…12e4backed Over48c7,959$3,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,138.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over49c6,223$3,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,173.5164046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over46c5,000$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,70021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x49e1…cf7bbacked Under41c4,983$2,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,043.4520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Over62c4,781$2,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,816.918461.9%52 W · 32 L+14.0wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+40.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6b09…2c43backed Under38c4,448$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,690.151330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cae…a00abacked Under52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,079.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over48c3,999$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,079.5415952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over49c3,792$1,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,934.13540%14 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over48c3,790$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,970.2550249.6%249 W · 253 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44fc…7961backed Under52c3,737$1,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,943.29250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over49c2,686$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.071,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over49c2,574$1,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.260147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6077…ad46backed Over48c2,310$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c26…69c2backed Under52c2,310$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e2…2c81backed Under52c2,278$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.69250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over49c2,251$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.0120449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.821662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.9914647.9%70 W · 76 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5bcf…dff4backed Under52c1,945$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over47c1,595$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.348251.2%42 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Over76c1,347$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.344158.5%24 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over48c1,053$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.669142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over53c1,038$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.7413054.6%71 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3497…812bbacked Under49c1,011$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52018650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103727%10 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-51.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6df9…e49ebacked Under43c927$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.67633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-52.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over46c710.98$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.9322552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Over48c700$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3645253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Under52c689.26$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3615431.5%17 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over58c678.59$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.181,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under6c668.72$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.665520%11 W · 44 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-51.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over47c649$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.3615851.3%81 W · 77 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over48c599.94$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.9712954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Under47c486$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.422050%10 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under37c474.07$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.841,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8643…0f54backed Over49c456.48$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.832828.6%8 W · 20 L-6.9wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-52.5%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under53c456.03$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.724047.9%115 W · 125 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over50c443.18$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.5911331%35 W · 78 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over47c417.87$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.1742851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6717530.9%54 W · 121 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6af9…a022backed Under52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1263…fddcbacked Over49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2042962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+44.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over50c348.15$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17317032.9%56 W · 114 L-0.8wins0.00per pick33cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf938…f68ebacked Under53c342.72$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Under53c328$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.596440.6%26 W · 38 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under49c301$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.7211146.8%52 W · 59 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16231751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Over49c289.8$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.81747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87fa…12d0backed Under52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.679071.1%64 W · 26 L+10.3wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+15.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over49c263.27$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.274146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004938.8%19 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over46c250$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13521849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over46c212.26$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.621,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under59c211.86$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1256657.6%38 W · 28 L+7.8wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+28.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x1402…4853backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.082138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+33.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.086460.9%39 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x92de…87eebacked Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.083100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+72.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb003…d962backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Over49c204.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.074755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10816151.6%83 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x642e…063bbacked Over47c200$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-50.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1027553.3%40 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10829053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9fd…9d5abacked Under52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7123…59b9backed Under52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.40per pick53cpaid-75.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Under52c192.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.996861.8%42 W · 26 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over54c184.06$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.3341147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over47c180$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.434252%178 W · 164 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe31…ff8bbacked Over51c177.33$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over48c177.08$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.084946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ffb…c414backed Under49c176$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5333…1c9bbacked Over51c175.13$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c88…5463backed Under54c174.39$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.87560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfe1…f623backed Over51c170.25$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over49c170.06$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.7330749.2%151 W · 156 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2779…a925backed Under49c169$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd949…1b27backed Under49c168.99$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2552…9434backed Over51c168.69$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebc3…89f1backed Under49c168$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb618…fb2abacked Under49c167$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf22…8e14backed Under49c166.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under51c165.31$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3124344.4%108 W · 135 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92b5…5688backed Under49c165$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c5…a58bbacked Over51c163.34$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b9e…e847backed Under49c162$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x648d…b674backed Under49c160$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc3d…9b6bbacked Over51c157.69$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0444…70b5backed Over51c156.87$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b44…73b5backed Over51c156.83$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ed5…4d48backed Under49c156$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.