La Liga · resolved market
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44af92397688e402a96c6ed90dfdf8e4edb42af68dc58ea42bfdbbb96ba5ab1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Barcelonaof FC Barcelona, Sevilla FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,338 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sevilla FC | 62c | 2,995$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855.69 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1263…fddcbacked FC Barcelona | 34c | 1,800$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Sevilla FC | 66c | 1,169$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked FC Barcelona | 34c | 883.39$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.05 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked FC Barcelona | 31c | 763$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.47 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked FC Barcelona | 43c | 740$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.54 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed FC Barcelona | 35c | 719.98$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.99 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked Sevilla FC | 18c | 660.1$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.82 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Sevilla FC | 46c | 652.37$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…4ea1backed FC Barcelona | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.43 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 31cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sevilla FC | 66c | 451.52$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.03 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed FC Barcelona | 56c | 438$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.32 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked FC Barcelona | 34c | 420$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.2 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed FC Barcelona | 50c | 399.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.69 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Sevilla FC | 42c | 391.13$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed FC Barcelona | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5e…9733backed Sevilla FC | 46c | 296.66$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.36 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked FC Barcelona | 34c | 210$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Sevilla FC | 68c | 205.88$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Sevilla FC | 66c | 170.45$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…07f5backed FC Barcelona | 49c | 157.52$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.57 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Sevilla FC | 65c | 143.61$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.35 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…c739backed FC Barcelona | 34c | 132.35$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.35 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked FC Barcelona | 34c | 105$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked Sevilla FC | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81d…47fdbacked FC Barcelona | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Sevilla FC | 39c | 92.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 443 | 24.2%107 W · 336 L | -49.5wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed FC Barcelona | 57c | 87.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed FC Barcelona | 52c | 86.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.97 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked FC Barcelona | 70c | 80.74$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sevilla FC | 50c | 76.52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed FC Barcelona | 33c | 75.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.48 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked FC Barcelona | 31c | 62.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…84c5backed Sevilla FC | 69c | 61.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.26 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sevilla FC | 23c | 60.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Sevilla FC | 66c | 59.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 174 | 55.2%96 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked FC Barcelona | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…4968backed FC Barcelona | 44c | 57.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b8…19e1backed Sevilla FC | 60c | 50.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf69c…44dbbacked FC Barcelona | 40c | 50.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sevilla FC | 34c | 44.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe164…acfebacked FC Barcelona | 31c | 42.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Sevilla FC | 42c | 38.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Sevilla FC | 67c | 35.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Sevilla FC | 65c | 35.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed FC Barcelona | 44c | 34.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sevilla FC | 66c | 31.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Sevilla FC | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Sevilla FC | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Sevilla FC | 66c | 29.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 1,559 | 51.6%804 W · 755 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebde…1de0backed FC Barcelona | 55c | 25.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Sevilla FC | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Sevilla FC | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8531…5eccbacked FC Barcelona | 62c | 23.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7683…d8e3backed Sevilla FC | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f61…3eb5backed Sevilla FC | 49c | 20.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked FC Barcelona | 61c | 20.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 1,651 | 43.9%724 W · 927 L | -21.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Sevilla FC | 69c | 16.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)this page
- FC Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-2.5)FC Barcelona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.