TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8454…331a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
406
Categories scored
35
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10441.3%43 W · 61 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 104 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14,664Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+541%+$79,336.93
Will Jude Bellingham win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$80
Will Karol G perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.77
Will Gavi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$25.3
Will Marc Cucurella score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$216
Will Ibrahima Konaté score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Will N'Golo Kanté score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will Marc Guéhi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,025Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,024.9
Will 8+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,900Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$2,100
Will Alexis Mac Allister score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$20
Norway vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$513.75
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,505Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+99.3%+$1,495
Will Christian Pulisic score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.4
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$134
Will Weston McKennie score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.03
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$5,276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,275.7
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,173Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,271.1
Will 3+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.15
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$970Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+209.3%+$2,030
Will Iñaki Williams score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$206.44
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$800
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,360Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$640
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$32
Showing 25 of 104 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT5942.4%25 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,789Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$1,331.2
Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.64
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,381Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,380.72
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$41,156Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$12,473
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.53
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$433.22
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$840
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$792Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$791.78
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,122Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+141.6%+$3,004.92
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$5,323Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+60%+$3,191.42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$9,556Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$2,832.88
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$350
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,190
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.06
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,027Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$528.92
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.56
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,192
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$7,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$2,600
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$479Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$361.09
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$379.79
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$830
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,348Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$577.78
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$490.19
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$6,754Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$2,458.84
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT3732.4%12 W · 25 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-37.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14,295Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,295.37
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$100
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$52,000
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+203%+$134,000
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.33
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22,500
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$38,000
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$37,212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$37,212.47
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14,163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,163.07
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$151.01
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$33,236Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$11,709.02
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$640.49
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougarsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$884Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$397.26
Spread: Saint Mary's Gaels (-2.5)backed Saint Mary's Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,400
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,410Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+150%+$3,615.39
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$620.02
Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-2.5)backed North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$417.69
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 150.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,228.08
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$21,528Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$6,107.39
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23,227Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$11,964.28
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 164.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$5,000
Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-10.5)backed Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$446.63
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 162.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,036Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,035.52
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 163.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,031Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,030.91
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.47
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: CD Castellón (-1.5)backed SD Eibar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$390
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$460
Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$358.32
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$880
Spread: RCD Mallorca (-2.5)backed Real Oviedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$570.82
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$390
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$530
CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,789Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,789.16
Elche CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+270.5%+$1,117.5
Will Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Real Oviedo vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+92.6%+$240.44
Levante UD vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$346.12
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,490
Getafe CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$669.99
Sevilla FC vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,359Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,359.49
Sevilla FC vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,983Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,983.17
Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,444Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+75%+$1,082.26
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$790
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$435.15
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$7,208Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+102.3%+$7,370.93
Sevilla FC vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,000
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed Sevilla FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.82
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$489.82
Levante UD vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+28.2%+$88.33
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$448
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+257.3%+$148.04
Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $3.00 on June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.28
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $160B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.13
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$328.35
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $185B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.32
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.41
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$659.99
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $90B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$27
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$640
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1510 and 1520?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1500 and 1510?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.06
Will Broadcom Q2 AI revenue be above $11.5B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$68
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $170B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$680
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$20.91
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 650.0k by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$39.3
Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 700.0k by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.76
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $80B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$960
Will Claude Code Commits hit (LOW) 450.0k by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$21.9
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$659Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+37%+$243.63
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,540Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$460
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2010%2 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick22cpaid-60.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
IPO — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Safepoint not IPO before August 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.32
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$328.41
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.26
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$305
Will Deep Fission's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.75B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.19
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.17
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will SpaceX IPO on June 30, 2026 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will WhiteHawk Minerals' market cap be between $675M and $750M at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$88.9
Will Sunshine Silver's market cap be between $2.75B and $3B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.34
Will Sunshine Silver's market cap be between $2B and $2.25B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Sunshine Silver's market cap be between $2.25B and $2.5B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$77.1
Will Sunshine Silver's market cap be at least $3B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.21
Will Innio's market cap be between $17B and $20B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Will Innio's market cap be at least $29B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Quantinuum's market cap be at least $25B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$572Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$572
Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be between $3.25B and $3.75B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$383.48
Will Fervo Energy's market cap be between $5.5B and $7.0B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$430
All 20 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+22.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$19.8
Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Svitolina (+1.5)backed Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,809Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$1,423.02
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Gael Monfils vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$363.64
Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Kordabacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$3,508Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,508.03
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,368Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+81.1%+$1,919.48
Mexican Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,098Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+107.9%+$2,264.5
Qatar Open: Jakub Mensik vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$750
Rotterdam Open: Alex de Minaur vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,019Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+26.8%+$273.14
Qatar Total Open: Iga Swiatek vs Daria Kasatkinabacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+58.7%+$263.88
Argentina Open: Facundo Acosta vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+70%+$99.25
Argentina Open: Alex Barrena vs Vit Koprivabacked Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+56.3%+$77.16
Qatar Total Open: Janice Tjen vs Beatriz Haddad Maiabacked Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+92.3%+$124.8
Rotterdam Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Ugo Humbertbacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+37%+$54
Set Handicap: Valentova (-1.5) vs Eala (+1.5)backed Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Australian Open Women's: Elena Rybakina vs Iga Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Australian Open Men's: Arthur Gea vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+156.4%+$244
Australian Open Men's: Tomas Machac vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+61.3%+$114
Australian Open Men's: Rinky Hijikata vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+53.8%+$70
All 18 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,357Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+149.4%+$3,520.98
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,067Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,203.78
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.75
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+400%+$2,400
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,290Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$1,710
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$53.22
Will South Korea send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of May 11 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.99
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.28
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,020Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$1,020.34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.26
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,039.99
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28,001.62
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,450
All 18 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-30.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,330Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+73.8%+$2,457.51
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,801Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$532.05
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,542Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,542.35
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,266Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,265.6
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11,216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,216.31
Will Sandro Parcaroli win the 2026 Macerata mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.32
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.22
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,513Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,513.24
Will Carlos Álvarez finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.49
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,270
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,922Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$1,603.11
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$37,360Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$15,776.97
Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$72.8
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 100 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,155Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$345
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15,293Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+33%+$5,051.52
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,925Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$1,308.46
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$484.43
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$459.99
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$321.03
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+104.4%+$211.96
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$976Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$976.43
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.75
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.49
76ers vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.01
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27,005Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$38,860.51
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,035Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,034.85
Clippers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.96
Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$401.48
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,900
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$589Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$589
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT100%0 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 5–10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by less than 5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Will Rakhi Israni Singh advance from the CA-14 primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will Terrill Robinson be the Democratic nominee for NV-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Baltazar Fedalizo advance from the CA-37 primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.6
Will Larry Thompson advance from the CA-32 primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.44
Will Jimmy Panetta advance from the CA-19 primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Thomas Coxe advance from the CA-19 primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Analilia Mejia be the Democratic nominee for NJ-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,400
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-71.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+37.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-64.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Firebacked Supah Hot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$200
Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menerybacked Manziel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$210
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 0 - 0 Club Atlético de Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$408.75
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,008Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+89.8%+$905.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.96per pick4cpaid+2,400%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leviatán win Valorant Masters London 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+2,400%+$302.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.92per pick8cpaid+1,099.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+1,099.1%+$683.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona vs. Valenciabacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$452.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$21.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KRC Genk vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$706Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+53.8%+$380.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$250
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Dark Passage (BO3) - TCL Group Abacked Dark Passage · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$93.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Palo Alto Networks (PANW) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$179.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$952Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$951.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. Open: First Time Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.9% and 1.2%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.