Tennis · resolved market
Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Korda
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5012b492968df6de97bba231b55d3758852192524ad48416c8e4e52bdd8bf7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sebastian Kordaof Carlos Alcaraz, Sebastian Korda
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,433,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,433,687 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 564 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sebastian Korda | 35c | 100,657$35,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,311.86 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Carlos Alcaraz | 42c | 54,752$23,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,246.91 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c5…6178backed Carlos Alcaraz | 0c | 51,095$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca2…1aa0backed Carlos Alcaraz | 0c | 50,210$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sebastian Korda | 35c | 46,276$16,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,172.42 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sebastian Korda | 54c | 43,934$23,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,395.43 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Sebastian Korda | 51c | 37,382$19,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,192.21 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9046…227fbacked Carlos Alcaraz | 21c | 34,367$7,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,323.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Sebastian Korda | 14c | 29,154$3,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,212.2 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Sebastian Korda | 34c | 25,068$8,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,522.56 | 567 | 57.1%324 W · 243 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sebastian Korda | 40c | 22,551$9,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,476.12 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Sebastian Korda | 20c | 19,500$3,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,648.69 | 453 | 43.9%199 W · 254 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Sebastian Korda | 12c | 17,873$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,728.23 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Sebastian Korda | 27c | 17,774$4,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,007.21 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…19acbacked Carlos Alcaraz | 39c | 17,516$6,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,871.57 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Carlos Alcaraz | 65c | 16,954$10,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,945.2 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Sebastian Korda | 16c | 16,909$2,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,214.53 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked Carlos Alcaraz | 22c | 15,825$3,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,508.03 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Sebastian Korda | 61c | 13,661$8,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,327.68 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Sebastian Korda | 29c | 13,433$3,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,575.83 | 220 | 37.7%83 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Carlos Alcaraz | 54c | 13,143$7,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,097.47 | 158 | 60.8%96 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ce…0a8ebacked Carlos Alcaraz | 52c | 12,604$6,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,612.4 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Carlos Alcaraz | 79c | 10,585$8,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,350.16 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9c…b3e0backed Carlos Alcaraz | 65c | 9,249$5,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,996.93 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b60…5baabacked Carlos Alcaraz | 64c | 8,891$5,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,689.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Carlos Alcaraz | 33c | 8,795$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.79 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Carlos Alcaraz | 62c | 8,415$5,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,183.81 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Carlos Alcaraz | 1c | 8,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 75 | 5.3%4 W · 71 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sebastian Korda | 53c | 7,537$4,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,530.84 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9615…60ddbacked Carlos Alcaraz | 71c | 7,000$4,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,936.03 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Sebastian Korda | 13c | 6,982$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,062.61 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18e1…5916backed Carlos Alcaraz | 65c | 6,779$4,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,432.55 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Carlos Alcaraz | 61c | 6,100$3,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,737.99 | 284 | 51.1%145 W · 139 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Carlos Alcaraz | 67c | 6,001$3,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,996 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a51abacked Carlos Alcaraz | 45c | 5,824$2,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,638.16 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Carlos Alcaraz | 57c | 5,302$3,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,003.83 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd5…8afbbacked Carlos Alcaraz | 56c | 5,150$2,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,897 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Carlos Alcaraz | 41c | 5,000$2,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,073.38 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ee…47c8backed Sebastian Korda | 70c | 4,987$3,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.22 | 202 | 61.4%124 W · 78 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Sebastian Korda | 48c | 4,777$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,486.43 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…8f14backed Carlos Alcaraz | 64c | 4,596$2,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,959.3 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Carlos Alcaraz | 65c | 4,500$2,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,930 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Sebastian Korda | 12c | 4,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,959.96 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Carlos Alcaraz | 45c | 4,482$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.7 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…db4cbacked Carlos Alcaraz | 25c | 4,456$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61aa…ff6fbacked Sebastian Korda | 80c | 4,434$3,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Sebastian Korda | 12c | 4,187$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,684.93 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Carlos Alcaraz | 60c | 3,623$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,174.91 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked Sebastian Korda | 76c | 3,596$2,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.64 | 188 | 68.6%129 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…9f40backed Sebastian Korda | 53c | 3,471$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.44 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Sebastian Korda | 11c | 3,453$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,073.24 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Sebastian Korda | 12c | 3,281$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,893.39 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Sebastian Korda | 12c | 3,136$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,759.68 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe473…755abacked Carlos Alcaraz | 76c | 3,029$2,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,302.1 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Sebastian Korda | 20c | 3,013$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,410.74 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb0…f8babacked Carlos Alcaraz | 79c | 3,000$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Sebastian Korda | 11c | 2,943$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,619.67 | 131 | 35.9%47 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Sebastian Korda | 13c | 2,850$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,479.85 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sebastian Korda | 65c | 2,808$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.23 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…fef0backed Sebastian Korda | 47c | 2,711$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.36 | 226 | 34.5%78 W · 148 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…7730backed Carlos Alcaraz | 22c | 2,628$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.53 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ab…13a1backed Sebastian Korda | 70c | 2,570$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771 | 272 | 52.9%144 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Carlos Alcaraz | 64c | 2,526$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.58 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Sebastian Korda | 11c | 2,500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220 | 123 | 22%27 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d2…c842backed Carlos Alcaraz | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c1…df04backed Carlos Alcaraz | 34c | 2,485$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.86 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7896…c2ffbacked Carlos Alcaraz | 39c | 2,326$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.29 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Sebastian Korda | 25c | 2,157$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.63 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Sebastian Korda | 11c | 2,135$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.94 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Carlos Alcaraz | 71c | 2,056$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sebastian Korda | 59c | 2,024$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.13 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sebastian Korda | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b3…30c8backed Carlos Alcaraz | 62c | 2,000$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Carlos Alcaraz | 66c | 1,988$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.87 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Carlos Alcaraz | 47c | 1,959$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.6 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d58…1aeabacked Sebastian Korda | 42c | 1,949$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.21 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Sebastian Korda | 79c | 1,937$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.91 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e1…f9a8backed Carlos Alcaraz | 69c | 1,890$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.43 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Sebastian Korda | 12c | 1,886$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.66 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b9…95fabacked Carlos Alcaraz | 44c | 1,874$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Carlos Alcaraz | 70c | 1,848$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.44 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Carlos Alcaraz | 42c | 1,799$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 76 | 18.4%14 W · 62 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…d1e5backed Carlos Alcaraz | 56c | 1,790$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.94 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.34per pick | 56cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…cd38backed Carlos Alcaraz | 62c | 1,783$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5b…aff2backed Carlos Alcaraz | 45c | 1,777$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.42 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Carlos Alcaraz | 64c | 1,744$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.74 | 269 | 41.3%111 W · 158 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Carlos Alcaraz | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Sebastian Korda | 54c | 1,662$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.24 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbd…1ec9backed Carlos Alcaraz | 67c | 1,650$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Sebastian Korda | 46c | 1,650$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.54 | 747 | 43.6%326 W · 421 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a8…bdc6backed Carlos Alcaraz | 59c | 1,644$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Sebastian Korda | 57c | 1,640$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.33 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9095…2f3fbacked Carlos Alcaraz | 62c | 1,612$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.44 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Sebastian Korda | 40c | 1,612$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.96 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f82cbacked Sebastian Korda | 12c | 1,589$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.6 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Carlos Alcaraz | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942d…6c4ebacked Carlos Alcaraz | 64c | 1,559$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed Carlos Alcaraz | 17c | 1,541$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Sebastian Korda | 48c | 1,536$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.26 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…cea5backed Sebastian Korda | 30c | 1,525$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.79 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Kordathis page
- Alcaraz vs. Korda: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs KordaKorda won
- Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Korda (+1.5)Korda won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.