TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe548…a51a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
101
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: College Football, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 56 out of 100; worst NFL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT4129.3%12 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-36.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Zverevbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$319
Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Paul (+1.5)backed Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$367.02
Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$721Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+104.6%+$754.64
Set 1 Winner: Landaluce vs Leheckabacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$594Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$379.77
Miami Open: Quentin Halys vs Alexander Zverevbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$274.68
Miami Open: Terence Atmane vs Frances Tiafoebacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Miami Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Tommy Paulbacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,027Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,027.48
Miami Open: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Muchovabacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$649Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$649.3
Miami Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Filsbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$801Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$801.15
Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Taylor Fritzbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$673Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+191.2%+$1,286.94
Set Handicap: Mensik (-1.5) vs Tiafoe (+1.5)backed Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.44
Miami Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,096Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,096.33
Miami Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Victoria Mbokobacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$294.47
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$786.11
Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Atmane (+1.5)backed Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$953Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$952.62
Miami Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Terence Atmanebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,717Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,717.18
Miami Open: Arthur Fils vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,499Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+72.1%+$1,080.61
Miami Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,100
Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Raphael Collignonbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Kordabacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,638Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,638.16
Miami Open: Martin Damm vs Alexander Zverevbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.88
Miami Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Ugo Humbertbacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,093Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,093.07
Set Handicap: Michelsen (-1.5) vs Norrie (+1.5)backed Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,568Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,568.33
Miami Open: Alex Michelsen vs Cameron Norriebacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+74.2%+$2,227.48
Miami Open: Zizou Bergs vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,193Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,192.57
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$539Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$539
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.72
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$539Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$539
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.77
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$814Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$813.68
Spurs vs. Pacersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$653Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+91.6%+$597.5
Spread: Lakers (-13.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$606Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$605.64
Pacers vs. Heatbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$750
Spread: Heat (-8.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$499.38
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+127.3%+$499.8
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+150%+$1,500
Pistons vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+214.3%+$2,443.44
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$594Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$594.4
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+123.2%+$1,379.99
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,054Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+92.3%+$973.14
Rockets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+244.8%+$1,420
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$544Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$544.47
Nuggets vs. Mavericks: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$689Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+88.7%+$611
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$570
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$808Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$807.98
All 21 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick40cpaid-80.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$703Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+119.4%+$839.78
Capitals vs. Bluesbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$557Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$557.15
Maple Leafs vs. Bruinsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+150%+$659.99
Hurricanes vs. Devils: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$750.5
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+78.6%+$47.34
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,539Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$2,539.09
Rangers vs. Islandersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$355.59
All 7 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+45.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+396.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+614.5%+$1,032.05
New Mexico vs. Minnesotabacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$697Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+177.8%+$1,238.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Storm vs Acesbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,270Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+78.8%+$2,577.09
Wings vs Sunbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,590Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,590.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+257.1%+$276.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$580
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atalanta BC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,210Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,210
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.