NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Blues
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71096d55892eb82f9661993472396dedb3068f79c68d2487f636fee86244a697
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bluesof Capitals, Blues
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,069,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,069,579 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 655 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Blues | 51c | 611,625$312,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298,730.29 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf195…8057backed Capitals | 49c | 257,549$126,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126,198.84 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Capitals | 48c | 159,334$76,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,976.73 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Capitals | 48c | 106,894$51,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,578.23 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Capitals | 52c | 67,141$34,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,913.1 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Blues | 49c | 37,620$18,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,062.84 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Capitals | 42c | 30,963$13,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,002.32 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Blues | 50c | 24,981$12,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,490.69 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Capitals | 50c | 24,501$12,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,238.32 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Blues | 50c | 17,462$8,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,731.08 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Capitals | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Capitals | 51c | 14,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Blues | 66c | 11,861$7,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,064.32 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Blues | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38d5…865bbacked Blues | 51c | 9,941$5,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,871.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Blues | 52c | 9,876$5,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,722.65 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecd…21b1backed Capitals | 50c | 9,860$4,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,930 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Capitals | 50c | 9,589$4,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,820 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Capitals | 50c | 9,569$4,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,784.54 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Capitals | 51c | 8,500$4,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,334.99 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Capitals | 52c | 8,341$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Capitals | 51c | 7,000$3,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,570 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Capitals | 52c | 6,800$3,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,518.27 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Blues | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Blues | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Blues | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15f7…a018backed Capitals | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Blues | 49c | 5,646$2,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.38 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Capitals | 37c | 5,250$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.97 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Capitals | 48c | 5,025$2,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,412 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…4a1fbacked Capitals | 48c | 5,023$2,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,410.94 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.2wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Capitals | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Capitals | 50c | 4,834$2,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,417 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…e27fbacked Capitals | 48c | 4,506$2,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,162.86 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a22…c593backed Capitals | 49c | 4,314$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,113.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Blues | 48c | 4,166$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.32 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Blues | 49c | 4,156$2,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.66 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Capitals | 0c | 4,002$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Blues | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Capitals | 49c | 3,722$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.42 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Blues | 50c | 3,598$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.27 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Capitals | 50c | 3,400$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Capitals | 49c | 3,150$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.49 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Blues | 49c | 3,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.53 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Blues | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.99 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…1af3backed Capitals | 50c | 2,666$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.66 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Blues | 48c | 2,344$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.15 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61aa…ff6fbacked Capitals | 51c | 2,230$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Capitals | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Blues | 75c | 2,077$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.55 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Capitals | 48c | 2,025$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Blues | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Blues | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…f74dbacked Capitals | 48c | 1,875$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.2wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Blues | 49c | 1,731$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.39 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Blues | 48c | 1,714$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.28 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Capitals | 50c | 1,709$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.5 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe162…2a1bbacked Capitals | 50c | 1,700$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f9…16fbbacked Blues | 51c | 1,700$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Capitals | 51c | 1,640$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.4 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Capitals | 22c | 1,626$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.15 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Capitals | 51c | 1,596$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x199a…f436backed Blues | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Capitals | 17c | 1,223$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.17 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Capitals | 50c | 1,211$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.52 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Capitals | 22c | 1,156$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.32 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Capitals | 52c | 1,135$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.2 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a51abacked Capitals | 51c | 1,100$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cc…4c27backed Blues | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Capitals | 48c | 1,077$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.13 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Blues | 48c | 1,002$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.23 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Blues | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Blues | 75c | 1,000$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.05 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Capitals | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Capitals | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Capitals | 49c | 999.98$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.99 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked Blues | 49c | 999.92$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.96 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Blues | 49c | 918.37$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.37 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Capitals | 31c | 907.05$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.77 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed Capitals | 50c | 904$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…75adbacked Capitals | 39c | 900$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Blues | 51c | 818.18$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.91 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Capitals | 48c | 799.5$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.76 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Blues | 48c | 792.12$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.56 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c7…e73fbacked Blues | 50c | 750$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Capitals | 48c | 729$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.92 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x819c…15b6backed Blues | 74c | 713$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.38 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Capitals | 53c | 700$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Blues | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc47…15d4backed Capitals | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…d5e6backed Capitals | 49c | 700$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…81f7backed Blues | 52c | 678.01$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.64 | 276 | 52.2%144 W · 132 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef9d…3827backed Blues | 51c | 677$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.73 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Blues | 49c | 673$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.33 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Capitals | 50c | 659$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.5 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x407b…e0fabacked Capitals | 50c | 650$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf756…7d3abacked Blues | 51c | 640$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Capitals | 19c | 636$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.33 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Capitals | 16c | 631.85$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 340 | 40.3%137 W · 203 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Capitals | 42c | 629$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.6 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Capitals vs. Bluesthis page
- Capitals vs. Blues: O/U 4.5Under won
- Capitals vs. Blues: O/U 5.5Under won
- Capitals vs. Blues: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Blues (-1.5)Blues won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Blues won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.