TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x71f9…16fb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
133
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT8855.7%49 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 88 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Alex Michelsen vs Alexei Popyrinbacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$680.23
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Learner Tien vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Nishesh Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.49
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Adam Waltonbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$690
Grand Prix Hassan II: Rafael Jodar vs Dusan Lajovicbacked Dusan Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$587Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$586.87
Grand Prix Hassan II: Luca Van Assche vs Hugo Gastonbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$415.29
Grand Prix Hassan II: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$880Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$611.37
Grand Prix Hassan II: Federico Cina vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$553Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$434.78
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Darwin Blanch vs Genaro Alberto Olivieribacked Darwin Blanch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$684Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$516
Alicante: Sebastian Ofner vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$684Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$683.99
Dubrovnik: Tamara Zidansek vs Veronika Erjavecbacked Tamara Zidansek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$627Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$473
Alicante: Sebastian Ofner vs Marco Cecchinatobacked Marco Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.04
Morelia: Alexis Galarneau vs Luka Pavlovicbacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$456.84
Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$715Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$585
Sao Paulo: Tomas Barrios vs Thiago Monteirobacked Tomas Barrios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$575Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$470.27
Miami Open: Ugo Humbert vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$700
Cilic vs. Zverev: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$57.31
Morelia: Coleman Wong vs Nicolas Mejiabacked Nicolas Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$669.07
Miami Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$455.99
Naples: Geoffrey Blancaneaux vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Vitaliy Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$672Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$527.99
Miami Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$406
Miami Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Marin Cilicbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$600
Morelos: Taro Daniel vs Andres Martinbacked Taro Daniel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$28.47
Miami Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Ugo Humbertbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,403Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,147.59
Miami Open: Alex Michelsen vs Cameron Norriebacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$708Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$492
Miami Open: Corentin Moutet vs Tomas Machacbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$610
Showing 25 of 88 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$598Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$702
Penguins vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$658Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$742
Blackhawks vs. Rangersbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$624Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$624
Blackhawks vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$646Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$645.54
Capitals vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$867Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$833
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)backed Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$900
Ducks vs. Utahbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$599Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$731.5
Panthers vs. Flamesbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$708Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$708
Rangers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$320
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$903Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$902.72
Panthers vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$893Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,007
Kings vs. Islandersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,375
Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$663Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$637
Hurricanes vs. Oilersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$742Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$658
Bruins vs. Predatorsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Lightning vs. Jetsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$650
Spread: Utah (-1.5)backed Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$700
Blues vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$986Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$986
Islanders vs. Ducksbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$624Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$624
Maple Leafs vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$641Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+87.2%+$559
Golden Knights vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$832Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+80.3%+$668.14
All 22 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$403.47
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$405.03
Will Getafe CF vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$338.78
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$663Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$1,409.36
Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$414
Will Real Sporting de Gijón vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$414
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.84
Real Madrid CF vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,134
Athletic Club vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$660
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$330
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$691Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$691.31
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.