Tennis · resolved market
Alicante: Sebastian Ofner vs Pablo Carreno Busta
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d87b80db85cfcb9e78289b15a854a9b853ed98e291ae6ad9ec4ab3b504c9c47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pablo Carreno Bustaof Sebastian Ofner, Pablo Carreno Busta
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $330,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $370,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $330,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 334 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 36c | 20,048$7,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,810.94 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Sebastian Ofner | 35c | 16,839$5,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,908.12 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Sebastian Ofner | 40c | 15,635$6,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,194.79 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…6dc0backed Sebastian Ofner | 0c | 14,158$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…802cbacked Sebastian Ofner | 64c | 11,955$7,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,605.55 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sebastian Ofner | 50c | 10,769$5,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,360.95 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Sebastian Ofner | 78c | 9,498$7,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,361.55 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…8769backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 72c | 9,454$6,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,661.94 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a73…e1adbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 40c | 7,482$2,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,524.98 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 52c | 6,650$3,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,212.18 | 158 | 60.8%96 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…13acbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 49c | 4,876$2,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,487.61 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Sebastian Ofner | 53c | 4,373$2,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,337.37 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Sebastian Ofner | 76c | 3,744$2,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,853.93 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | -27.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 38c | 3,000$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.64 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Sebastian Ofner | 54c | 2,629$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.97 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…0628backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 39c | 2,568$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.89 | 302 | 41.7%126 W · 176 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sebastian Ofner | 50c | 2,291$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.97 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a84…e271backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 40c | 2,287$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.86 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 32c | 2,072$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.77 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…4ea1backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 44c | 2,063$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.53 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.99 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 36c | 2,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.99 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sebastian Ofner | 52c | 1,991$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.75 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Sebastian Ofner | 57c | 1,946$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Sebastian Ofner | 54c | 1,902$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.71 | 307 | 44.6%137 W · 170 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Sebastian Ofner | 64c | 1,774$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.67 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1190…2a70backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 40c | 1,760$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed2…e7ccbacked Sebastian Ofner | 60c | 1,760$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Sebastian Ofner | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…bb2abacked Sebastian Ofner | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 105 | 57.1%60 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Sebastian Ofner | 35c | 1,415$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Sebastian Ofner | 64c | 1,400$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.99 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6f…7135backed Sebastian Ofner | 40c | 1,342$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.15 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 38c | 1,300$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.98 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…695abacked Sebastian Ofner | 63c | 1,270$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 38c | 1,223$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.54 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 41c | 1,215$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.84 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…c40cbacked Sebastian Ofner | 58c | 1,201$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f9…16fbbacked Sebastian Ofner | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.99 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Sebastian Ofner | 65c | 1,198$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.06 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 42c | 1,194$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.66 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…007dbacked Sebastian Ofner | 43c | 1,144$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.95 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…dd32backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 39c | 1,100$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.07 | 407 | 48.9%199 W · 208 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 37c | 1,024$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.97 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf0…8a9abacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 37c | 1,013$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…4db5backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 308 | 57.1%176 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Sebastian Ofner | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 82 | 1.2%1 W · 81 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b7…fcdebacked Sebastian Ofner | 9c | 879.6$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 39c | 835.62$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.82 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 38c | 831.24$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.8 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Sebastian Ofner | 62c | 771.17$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.34 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8586…8207backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 38c | 748.1$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Sebastian Ofner | 52c | 728.24$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.79 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 36c | 716$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.24 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ca…468abacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 41c | 712.98$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.79 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ed…5dc7backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 45c | 700$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 39c | 676$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.54 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0674…2034backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Sebastian Ofner | 33c | 649.07$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.44 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Sebastian Ofner | 80c | 627.88$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 327 | 63.9%209 W · 118 L | +15.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 58c | 607.35$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.19 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…934dbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 21c | 600$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474 | 307 | 15.6%48 W · 259 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74c0…62fabacked Sebastian Ofner | 56c | 583.93$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 36c | 571$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.73 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 38c | 560.64$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.19 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 39c | 558.97$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.97 | 672 | 39.1%263 W · 409 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd0…93acbacked Sebastian Ofner | 63c | 550$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7963…78a1backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 37c | 537.67$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2102…f516backed Sebastian Ofner | 4c | 534.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeba…9ff9backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 43c | 534$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.25 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 34c | 521.92$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.75 | 725 | 42.6%309 W · 416 L | -20.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 38c | 520.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.34 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3351…4e2dbacked Sebastian Ofner | 64c | 516.73$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Sebastian Ofner | 30c | 510$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 20c | 493.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.52 | 427 | 43.8%187 W · 240 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…cea7backed Sebastian Ofner | 60c | 492.22$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.74 | 327 | 35.5%116 W · 211 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4c…8572backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 25c | 491.65$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.42 | 234 | 29.1%68 W · 166 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c3…7f03backed Sebastian Ofner | 33c | 465.74$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Sebastian Ofner | 62c | 459.98$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.79 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x471c…3b43backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 41c | 458.54$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.54 | 175 | 49.7%87 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 62c | 453.23$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.35 | 174 | 62.6%109 W · 65 L | +34.2wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 36c | 451.96$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.86 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Sebastian Ofner | 62c | 443.55$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc667…e68dbacked Sebastian Ofner | 26c | 443.08$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.33 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Sebastian Ofner | 54c | 419$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.31 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Sebastian Ofner | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 37c | 400.06$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.04 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 38c | 396.58$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.58 | 645 | 37.2%240 W · 405 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 26c | 369.81$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.62 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Sebastian Ofner | 54c | 365$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.04 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b5…4425backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 34c | 358.82$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.44 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce4…62fcbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 72c | 349.99$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 42c | 348.06$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.76 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Sebastian Ofner | 28c | 342.35$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.86 | 107 | 29%31 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 46c | 340$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.6 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Sebastian Ofner | 30c | 333.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 483 | 31.1%150 W · 333 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Sebastian Ofner | 67c | 327$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.22 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alicante: Sebastian Ofner vs Pablo Carreno Bustathis page
- Ofner vs. Busta: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Ofner vs. Busta: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Sebastian Ofner vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Ofner vs BustaOfner won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.