TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1fd0…93ac

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
125
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Australian A League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Australian A League at 57 out of 100; worst La Liga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT5131.4%16 W · 35 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Como 1907 vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will US Lecce win on 2026-05-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.1
Exact Score: AC Milan 0 - 0 Juventus FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+900%+$150.11
Will AC Milan vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$446Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$992.15
Will US Lecce win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$335.56
Bologna FC 1909 vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$286.5
Bologna FC 1909 vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$338.72
Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)backed SSC Napoli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$969Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,050.05
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$675.99
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$855Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$855
Pisa SC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.29
Pisa SC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$746.17
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$631Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$630.69
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+240.4%+$89.83
Spread: Torino FC (-1.5)backed Torino FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.88
Will AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$724.29
SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.08
Spread: SSC Napoli (-2.5)backed SSC Napoli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$348.43
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$538Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$560.34
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.97
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,024Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,024.42
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$371.58
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$978Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,244.72
Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$971Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$971.06
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT2334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)backed Crystal Palace FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.92
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)backed Crystal Palace FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$343.58
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.55
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$381.47
Spread: FK Shakhtar Donetsk (-1.5)backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.43
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$564Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$564.3
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$465.02
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$522.5
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$421.63
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$494.39
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.69
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$386.99
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+238.3%+$672.31
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.4
ACF Fiorentina vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+126.8%+$223.65
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$288.4
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$537.2
Will AEK win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$224
Crystal Palace FC vs. AEK Lárnakas: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$196
Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)backed RC Strasbourg Alsace · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+163.3%+$248.08
Spread: AZ (-1.5)backed AZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$174
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+212.8%+$510.24
All 23 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$367.35
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$222
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$516.16
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$446.9
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$894Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,092.79
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$581Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$581.34
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.4
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.5
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$127
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$1,004.35
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$251
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+127.5%+$532.07
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Alexander Blockx vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+106.3%+$499.29
Split: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Tom Gentzschbacked Tom Gentzsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$286
Alicante: Sebastian Ofner vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$346.5
Set Handicap: Lehecka (-1.5) vs Landaluce (+1.5)backed Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$343.31
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegulabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$390.4
Alicante: Samuele Pieri vs Jesper de Jongbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$156
Miami Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.23
Kigali: Joel Schwaerzler vs Marco Cecchinatobacked Marco Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$188.71
Thionville: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Otto Virtanenbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+56.3%+$112.5
Kigali: Marco Trungelliti vs Joel Schwaerzlerbacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$220.48
Kigali: Luka Pavlovic vs Stefano Napolitanobacked Stefano Napolitano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+37.1%+$37.88
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-53.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick28cpaid+127.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+132%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$61.05
Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$698Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+164%+$1,144.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+78.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$831Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$736.51
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$530
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$338.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$385.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.