Tennis · resolved market
Kigali: Luka Pavlovic vs Stefano Napolitano
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x641f9532be0523a0ab73e20aeb350d043cab699267e4e74c292e65caa5749073
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stefano Napolitanoof Luka Pavlovic, Stefano Napolitano
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,227 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Luka Pavlovic | 21c | 16,781$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Stefano Napolitano | 78c | 9,855$7,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.41 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Stefano Napolitano | 71c | 8,639$6,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,498.23 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stefano Napolitano | 65c | 7,399$4,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,614.26 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Luka Pavlovic | 38c | 3,974$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Luka Pavlovic | 53c | 2,700$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.99 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Stefano Napolitano | 54c | 2,407$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.4 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Stefano Napolitano | 73c | 2,137$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.98 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Stefano Napolitano | 73c | 1,901$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.19 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Luka Pavlovic | 16c | 1,856$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.22 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc3…c0eabacked Luka Pavlovic | 60c | 1,624$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.06 | 133 | 63.9%85 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Luka Pavlovic | 59c | 1,542$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.54 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -12.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Luka Pavlovic | 58c | 1,501$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.63 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Stefano Napolitano | 46c | 1,264$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.67 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Stefano Napolitano | 43c | 1,241$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.46 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Luka Pavlovic | 58c | 1,226$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.7 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Luka Pavlovic | 28c | 1,117$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.76 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Stefano Napolitano | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Luka Pavlovic | 33c | 999.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Stefano Napolitano | 69c | 972.77$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.9 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Luka Pavlovic | 67c | 879$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.93 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Stefano Napolitano | 42c | 779.25$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.25 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Stefano Napolitano | 62c | 771.43$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.8 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x093a…1b3fbacked Luka Pavlovic | 62c | 762.9$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473 | 275 | 66.5%183 W · 92 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Stefano Napolitano | 41c | 739.61$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.85 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Luka Pavlovic | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +205.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Luka Pavlovic | 64c | 625$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 120 | 32.5%39 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Luka Pavlovic | 45c | 623.1$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Luka Pavlovic | 55c | 583.1$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.01 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Stefano Napolitano | 60c | 556.3$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.12 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Stefano Napolitano | 42c | 553.33$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.4 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Luka Pavlovic | 29c | 511.36$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1896…0f63backed Stefano Napolitano | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Stefano Napolitano | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Stefano Napolitano | 39c | 499.98$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.99 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Luka Pavlovic | 62c | 484.08$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Luka Pavlovic | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 465 | 51.2%238 W · 227 L | -23.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Luka Pavlovic | 61c | 454.26$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Luka Pavlovic | 33c | 451.65$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 310 | 39.4%122 W · 188 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Stefano Napolitano | 39c | 410.36$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.99 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Stefano Napolitano | 42c | 410.15$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.89 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +9.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Stefano Napolitano | 77c | 405.59$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.76 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Luka Pavlovic | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…9dd0backed Luka Pavlovic | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf959…6026backed Luka Pavlovic | 30c | 380.86$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.37 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Stefano Napolitano | 43c | 343.34$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.52 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Stefano Napolitano | 72c | 341.26$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.14 | 332 | 56%186 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Stefano Napolitano | 42c | 338.6$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Luka Pavlovic | 59c | 332$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.88 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb3…9dfdbacked Luka Pavlovic | 61c | 325.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Luka Pavlovic | 62c | 316.05$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.45 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c4…fe40backed Luka Pavlovic | 58c | 299.99$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -55%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Luka Pavlovic | 62c | 289.86$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…fba6backed Luka Pavlovic | 46c | 282.61$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…dddfbacked Stefano Napolitano | 71c | 279.23$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…8b6fbacked Luka Pavlovic | 64c | 262.89$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Luka Pavlovic | 46c | 252$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.92 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Stefano Napolitano | 63c | 238.3$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.3 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Luka Pavlovic | 46c | 216$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 182 | 33.5%61 W · 121 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Stefano Napolitano | 47c | 213.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.83 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dec…26c4backed Luka Pavlovic | 61c | 213.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Stefano Napolitano | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Stefano Napolitano | 38c | 183.79$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.95 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…d9c6backed Luka Pavlovic | 46c | 178.21$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.98 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Luka Pavlovic | 59c | 170$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 255 | 46.3%118 W · 137 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Luka Pavlovic | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Luka Pavlovic | 33c | 166.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…6118backed Luka Pavlovic | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 239 | 65.3%156 W · 83 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Luka Pavlovic | 47c | 166.61$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.1 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Luka Pavlovic | 33c | 158.88$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.43 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Stefano Napolitano | 41c | 156.36$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.23 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Luka Pavlovic | 54c | 154.23$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 401 | 61.1%245 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…8668backed Luka Pavlovic | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed Stefano Napolitano | 70c | 148$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…4524backed Luka Pavlovic | 61c | 147.54$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd6…05cbbacked Stefano Napolitano | 66c | 140.06$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.19 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd0…93acbacked Stefano Napolitano | 73c | 139.88$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aeb…f1abbacked Luka Pavlovic | 61c | 139.34$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Luka Pavlovic | 46c | 133.61$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.46 | 163 | 58.9%96 W · 67 L | +12.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Luka Pavlovic | 37c | 119.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.41 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Stefano Napolitano | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf8…89b0backed Luka Pavlovic | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67da…9da8backed Luka Pavlovic | 46c | 113$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Stefano Napolitano | 40c | 109.6$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.76 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Luka Pavlovic | 39c | 105.52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Stefano Napolitano | 38c | 104.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.08 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Luka Pavlovic | 60c | 100.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Luka Pavlovic | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 355 | 59.4%211 W · 144 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Luka Pavlovic | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…802cbacked Luka Pavlovic | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617f…cde5backed Stefano Napolitano | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3afdbacked Luka Pavlovic | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Luka Pavlovic | 60c | 95$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Stefano Napolitano | 40c | 95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Stefano Napolitano | 62c | 91.45$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Luka Pavlovic | 46c | 85.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Luka Pavlovic | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 178 | 59%105 W · 73 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…fb49backed Luka Pavlovic | 53c | 85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.34 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Luka Pavlovic | 60c | 83.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Luka Pavlovic | 23c | 81.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kigali: Luka Pavlovic vs Stefano Napolitanothis page
- Luka Pavlovic vs. Stefano Napolitano: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Pavlovic vs NapolitanoNapolitano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.