TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd88a…1eef

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
758
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Lol, grading 49 out of 100 (0.00 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Lol at 49 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT54434.2%186 W · 358 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 544 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Morelia: Borna Gojo vs Juan Pablo Ficovichbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.4
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Stefan Dostanic vs Andres Andradebacked Andres Andrade · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$15.98
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Alex Bolt vs Alex Rybakovbacked Alex Rybakov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.09
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Gabriel Debru vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Gabriel Debru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.99
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Mitchell Kruegerbacked Mitchell Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.18
Sao Paulo: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Juan Carlos Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.31
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Andres Martinbacked Andres Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Jack Pinnington Jones vs J.J. Wolfbacked Jack Pinnington Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$51
Naples: Daniel Altmaier vs Federico Bondiolibacked Federico Bondioli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.77
Naples: Hamad Medjedovic vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Vitaliy Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.73
Alicante: Roman Safiullin vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$10.32
Alicante: Sebastian Ofner vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+160.4%+$107.17
Yokkaichi: Yasutaka Uchiyama vs Hayato Matsuokabacked Hayato Matsuoka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.68
Yokkaichi: Rio Noguchi vs Harry Wendelkenbacked Rio Noguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$13.68
Morelia: Borna Gojo vs Nicolas Mejiabacked Nicolas Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.69
Miami Open: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.97
Sao Paulo: Emilio Nava vs Jaime Fariabacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+151.2%+$40.33
Morelia: Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Luka Pavlovicbacked Luka Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.64
Bucaramanga: Nicolas Villalon vs Matias Sotobacked Nicolas Villalon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.59
Sao Paulo: Alex Barrena vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Alex Barrena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Naples: Daniel Altmaier vs Enrico Dalla Vallebacked Enrico Dalla Valle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.04
Alicante: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Edas Butvilasbacked Edas Butvilas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.61
Alicante: Pedro Martinez vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+131.5%+$141.82
Split: Matej Dodig vs Mili Poljicakbacked Mili Poljicak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$35.75
Naples: Michele Ribecai vs Federico Bondiolibacked Federico Bondioli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+171%+$165.3
Showing 25 of 544 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT20834.6%72 W · 136 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 208 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Green Bay Phoenixbacked Green Bay Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$25.32
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$133.37
Dayton Flyers vs. VCU Ramsbacked Dayton Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.44
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$51.08
Vermont Catamounts vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked Vermont Catamounts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.83
Auburn Tigers vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.59
Louisville Cardinals vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.17
Creighton Bluejays vs. Seton Hall Piratesbacked Creighton Bluejays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.69
Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs. Texas Southern Tigersbacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+102.6%+$27.25
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. George Mason Patriotsbacked George Mason Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Missouri Tigersbacked Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Bowling Green Falcons vs. Toledo Rocketsbacked Bowling Green Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.72
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.47
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.88
Providence Friars vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked Providence Friars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.44
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Fordham Ramsbacked Fordham Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.05
Providence Friars vs. Georgetown Hoyasbacked Georgetown Hoyas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+104.1%+$32.64
California Golden Bears vs. Wake Forest Demon Deaconsbacked California Golden Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$349.68
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Missouri Tigersbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+123.4%+$57.81
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. San Diego State Aztecsbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$391.64
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Ohio Bobcatsbacked Ohio Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$24.26
St. John's Red Storm vs. Seton Hall Piratesbacked Seton Hall Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$27.88
UCF Knights vs. West Virginia Mountaineersbacked UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17.06
West Georgia Wolves vs. Queens (NC) Royalsbacked West Georgia Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$26.13
Showing 25 of 208 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-41.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20.3
Heat vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$14.54
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+132.6%+$43.8
Wizards vs. Netsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$27.94
All 4 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$140.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.