TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. Nets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Netsof Wizards, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,245,309
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,292,800

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,245,309 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 722 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7960…b94fbacked Nets70c65,000$45,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,249.9819751.8%102 W · 95 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Wizards34c60,208$20,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,175.532,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Wizards29c55,000$16,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,149.9831445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Wizards36c52,100$18,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,544.682,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Nets72c50,839$36,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,234.8223257.8%134 W · 98 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Wizards28c47,090$13,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,185.260351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Wizards2c34,262$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.671,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Nets65c31,187$20,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,863.911,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Nets70c30,066$21,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,019.829245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Wizards33c28,375$9,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,302.9851844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Wizards2c25,357$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.1628616.4%47 W · 239 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Wizards30c24,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,20054539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Nets72c22,663$16,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,414.0717646%81 W · 95 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nets79c22,384$17,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,773.385,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Nets66c21,267$14,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,243.4938253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Nets62c19,862$12,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,547.5316339.3%64 W · 99 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Wizards17c19,370$3,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,283.831,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Wizards28c17,500$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Nets68c15,696$10,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,998.384,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Nets67c15,500$10,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,114.8514663.7%93 W · 53 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Nets72c15,000$10,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,20038251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nets69c14,829$10,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,566.619,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Wizards30c14,500$4,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,349.998543.5%37 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…47efbacked Nets70c13,624$9,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,087.1510642.5%45 W · 61 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Nets65c12,696$8,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,385.561,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b0d…90c0backed Nets59c12,000$7,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9208834.1%30 W · 58 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac7…689dbacked Wizards41c12,000$4,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,920425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-63.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Nets67c11,652$7,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,877.1435547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Wizards36c11,635$4,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,151.368944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Wizards0c11,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1567921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Nets58c11,500$6,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,809.9639349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4c9…cd97backed Nets63c11,200$7,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1448640.7%35 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbab7…bc7cbacked Wizards37c11,200$4,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,143.939054.4%49 W · 41 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Wizards5c10,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d78…29a5backed Wizards23c10,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3002040%8 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5798…ab44backed Wizards30c10,000$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,949.9915740.8%64 W · 93 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Wizards1c10,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Wizards3c9,378$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.9381529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Wizards2c9,320$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.141,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Nets64c8,909$5,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,192.362,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Nets74c8,840$6,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,321.6848956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Wizards31c8,702$2,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,696.8424744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Nets68c8,270$5,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,646.448352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Nets70c7,126$4,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,164.993,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Wizards28c7,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,96077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Nets66c7,000$4,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,379.9845348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Wizards44c6,840$3,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,004.4562652.2%327 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Wizards33c6,745$2,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,225.754057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Nets67c6,265$4,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,067.3328649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Wizards24c6,212$1,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,52185344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards35c6,150$2,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,122.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Wizards1c5,875$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6467911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Nets70c5,440$3,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,620.692,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Nets67c5,215$3,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,701.7592753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ab3…12b2backed Wizards31c5,149$1,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,596.045242.3%22 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf403…e176backed Nets70c5,149$3,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,544.555156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Wizards37c5,101$1,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,887.4350838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Wizards1c4,487$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.081,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Nets67c4,481$2,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,494.2372450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Wizards3c4,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10064517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Nets72c3,995$2,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.1138649.7%192 W · 194 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5ca…5a06backed Wizards34c3,971$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5038…0ce7backed Wizards37c3,729$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.731442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42e…9a1cbacked Nets69c3,725$2,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.832650%13 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe32c…240cbacked Nets63c3,720$2,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.41442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Wizards38c3,638$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380.161,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Nets72c3,600$2,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00844352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked Nets69c3,586$2,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.665251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4afd…4d18backed Wizards21c3,453$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.662030%6 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Nets66c3,418$2,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.9339958.4%233 W · 166 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nets77c3,329$2,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.24,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Wizards26c3,269$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85016335.6%58 W · 105 L-12.2wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nets70c3,199$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.22,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5e…6dd8backed Wizards9c3,161$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003321.2%7 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Nets69c3,000$2,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94235251.1%180 W · 172 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Wizards33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.9935531.8%113 W · 242 L+1.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked Wizards29c2,985$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.781650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Nets64c2,917$1,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.266,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Nets71c2,910$2,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.8727051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Wizards17c2,896$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006943.5%30 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Wizards31c2,881$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89331644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Wizards35c2,714$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.780737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Nets70c2,698$1,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.3764651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Wizards1c2,675$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.623179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Wizards6c2,649$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.871,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Nets58c2,504$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.5441652.2%217 W · 199 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Wizards0c2,500$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.28820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Wizards28c2,500$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70058740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked Wizards36c2,500$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90023348.1%112 W · 121 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Wizards16c2,481$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.775,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Wizards37c2,457$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.9913536.3%49 W · 86 L-0.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Wizards1c2,430$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.647211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Wizards25c2,422$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.6430840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Wizards36c2,401$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85761336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4957…984ebacked Wizards37c2,376$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.121675%12 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+41.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf3de…fa79backed Nets63c2,371$1,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.271553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Wizards25c2,359$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.9446940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c2d…f8aebacked Wizards5c2,320$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87b8…e1a1backed Nets79c2,217$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.279663.5%61 W · 35 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Wizards30c2,194$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.068530.6%26 W · 59 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.