NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 217.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82aa3050e973f6d3c7cbadba945c3d7f93a3de759d79feab9315ef7a77756919
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $144,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 51c | 57,456$29,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,322.11 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 49c | 30,807$15,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,711.68 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 26,660$13,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,643.13 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Under | 51c | 21,346$10,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,856.29 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 52c | 10,585$5,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,503.85 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…4961backed Under | 53c | 9,874$5,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,233.17 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 48c | 9,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,680 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 49c | 6,831$3,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,483.66 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Under | 50c | 5,000$2,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,516.68 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed Over | 52c | 4,890$2,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.19 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 49c | 4,403$2,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,233.97 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 3,840$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.45 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 47c | 3,283$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.11 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Under | 48c | 1,875$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Over | 51c | 1,711$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.27 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 48c | 1,650$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.04 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Under | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Over | 49c | 1,471$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.43 | 314 | 55.1%173 W · 141 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 50c | 1,471$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.63 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Over | 49c | 1,468$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.68 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Under | 51c | 1,223$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.27 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 74c | 953.69$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.95 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca0f…780bbacked Over | 49c | 734.69$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.69 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 48c | 339.25$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Over | 49c | 261.85$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.54 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 170 | 35.9%61 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 50c | 200$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b61…b7eabacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b7…bd2abacked Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 51c | 196.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 52c | 195.04$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.42 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7942…f92cbacked Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 51c | 108.11$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed5e…8da1backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Over | 49c | 101$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.01 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Over | 50c | 76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b4…e861backed Over | 73c | 71.98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 50c | 64.64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…9f62backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…8d40backed Over | 49c | 45.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…20d7backed Over | 49c | 45.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Over | 50c | 31.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 251 | 43%108 W · 143 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Over | 50c | 30.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 52c | 30.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Over | 51c | 26.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc525…daf0backed Over | 49c | 24.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Over | 61c | 24.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Over | 50c | 24.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe551…f901backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1084…744abacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 217.5this page
- Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Alexandre Sarr: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Egor Demin: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Egor Demin: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Kyshawn George: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Spread: Nets (-13.5)Nets won
- Spread: Nets (-19.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Nets (-24.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Nets (-29.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Nets (-4.5)Nets won
- Spread: Nets (-5.5)Nets won
- Spread: Nets (-7.5)Nets won
- Spread: Nets (-9.5)Nets won
- Wizards vs. NetsNets won
- Wizards vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineNets won
- Wizards vs. Nets: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 216.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 218.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 219.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 220.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 222.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 229.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 231.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 234.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.