TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$224,021
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$226,357

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,021 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x060e…2384backed Under53c88,411$46,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,447.658037.5%30 W · 50 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bd7…373ebacked Under57c56,408$32,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,069.489350.5%47 W · 46 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed Over45c22,176$10,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,130.5613357.9%77 W · 56 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over44c19,910$8,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,058.669,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over47c14,764$6,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,786.922,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over45c13,657$6,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,458.074,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over45c12,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,60054539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Over48c10,500$5,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,46017348.6%84 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over46c10,301$4,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,520.233,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over48c9,000$4,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,6801,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over47c8,304$3,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,401.361,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over48c6,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,12058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over47c5,987$2,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,173.111,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Under51c5,732$2,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,923.4832653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over47c4,999$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,649.472,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over48c4,999$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.4865750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over48c3,125$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62556453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Under55c3,090$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.6438251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over46c2,737$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,485.84,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1801,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over46c1,763$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.295,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under53c1,596$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84650754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under51c1,501$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.7625248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over44c1,409$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.173,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over47c1,407$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.711,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over49c1,259$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.096,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Under53c1,200$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63610251%52 W · 50 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over46c1,168$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.671,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe507…1258backed Over48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5202339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over46c892.15$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.195651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca0f…780bbacked Over43c853.37$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.422948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over47c718.09$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.592,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Under53c559.76$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.672450%12 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed45…3de8backed Under57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2857454.1%40 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…a03dbacked Over47c474.52$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.4910957.8%63 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over50c473.5$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.563,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over41c400$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2366040%24 W · 36 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc96c…0fb2backed Under58c394.8$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.891241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over47c299.99$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.9991148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under55c250$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c1c…9b07backed Over43c236.49$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.84156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Over44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2714156.7%80 W · 61 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over47c212.76$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7663447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10624946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Under57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1141,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over47c199.99$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.9953951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under53c198$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.942,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81b7…bd2abacked Under58c180$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.43256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Over48c166.67$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.6714557.9%84 W · 61 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under10c164.65$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.883,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over48c157.29$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.7966646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5c0…bccbbacked Under58c156.34$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over40c149.37$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.625,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76ef…561cbacked Over43c141.86$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.862737%10 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over47c127.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.652,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Over47c126.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6353043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6426956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over45c102.41$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.358,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x997c…a9a9backed Over48c100.75$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.39955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fdb…8417backed Under57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57234.3%1 W · 22 L-7.5wins-0.32per pick37cpaid-82.6%equal weight33-0.16 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Over44c99.98$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9932346.4%150 W · 173 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x508d…3961backed Under56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013738.7%53 W · 84 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e01…fb3ebacked Under53c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over47c74.98$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.741,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Over45c73.2$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2653839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked Under58c68.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4023249.6%115 W · 117 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Over48c67.73$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2225143%108 W · 143 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba88…ec75backed Under53c66.63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.083243.8%14 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick37cpaid-13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42a9…565cbacked Over69c63.33$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.631181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick60cpaid+37.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Over47c61.27$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4776250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Over47c60.74$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1932952.9%174 W · 155 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Over48c57$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6428243.3%122 W · 160 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.51,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed Over47c48$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4420448.5%99 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x335d…ce5fbacked Over45c46.95$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8210838.9%42 W · 66 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Over44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4517353.2%92 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf3e…6e88backed Over48c45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Under55c44.75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7157657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9900…ffacbacked Under58c43.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.36per pick52cpaid-66.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Over48c42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8441048.3%198 W · 212 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aee…51a8backed Over48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.672860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Over43c41.32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5539047.7%186 W · 204 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8557…4e7abacked Over69c40.23$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4718957.1%108 W · 81 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1203…77ddbacked Under58c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.011040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3526…8b74backed Over45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2214751.7%76 W · 71 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e1…ec41backed Under53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208839.8%35 W · 53 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc525…daf0backed Over47c35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.555644.6%25 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x473d…e88ebacked Over48c35$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Over48c34.69$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0435049.4%173 W · 177 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3be…4cd6backed Under58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0384…7a6fbacked Over45c33.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.33540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-30.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Over48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2574547.2%352 W · 393 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Under53c30.19$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1640960.6%248 W · 161 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6677…575cbacked Under59c30.13$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.783839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Over48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.641251%210 W · 202 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Over48c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6553945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under53c24.21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8795047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Under52c23.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1249358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb53c…c76ebacked Over48c22.77$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8448740.7%198 W · 289 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under56c22.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.545460.4%274 W · 180 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.