NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nets (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61f2413b8df989c1eb877138828b5bb8fe6035cbb808df49cd54b9b7c9df8d9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Netsof Nets, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nets | 51c | 31,943$16,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,619.97 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Wizards | 49c | 25,259$12,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,282.99 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Wizards | 49c | 14,397$7,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,054.53 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Wizards | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Nets | 51c | 9,899$5,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,850.7 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Wizards | 49c | 6,242$3,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,058.58 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Nets | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Nets | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Nets | 51c | 2,414$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.72 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Nets | 50c | 1,504$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Nets | 51c | 1,451$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.15 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nets | 51c | 1,127$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.33 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Nets | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nets | 53c | 941.61$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.56 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Wizards | 50c | 740$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.6 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Wizards | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Wizards | 50c | 505.05$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.12 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Wizards | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Nets | 50c | 489.79$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.9 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nets | 67c | 476.31$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.8 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Wizards | 37c | 250$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Wizards | 49c | 237.9$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.57 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Nets | 51c | 209$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.72 | 470 | 45.1%212 W · 258 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Nets | 75c | 172.74$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Nets | 53c | 151.13$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.13 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Nets | 51c | 148.32$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.68 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nets | 51c | 140$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 506 | 51.2%259 W · 247 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Nets | 51c | 130.77$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.77 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7942…f92cbacked Wizards | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nets | 54c | 106.91$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.16 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1203…77ddbacked Nets | 53c | 100.6$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Wizards | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Wizards | 49c | 93.63$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.88 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b5…5f24backed Wizards | 36c | 82.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64aa…7f42backed Wizards | 50c | 79.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Wizards | 50c | 62.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Wizards | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 332 | 49.7%165 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf891…d3b6backed Wizards | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…3ef9backed Wizards | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…cfe5backed Wizards | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…9872backed Nets | 54c | 46.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d0…60a1backed Wizards | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Nets | 56c | 36.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Wizards | 44c | 36.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Nets | 52c | 27.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Nets | 51c | 20.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nets (-7.5)this page
- Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Alexandre Sarr: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Egor Demin: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Egor Demin: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Kyshawn George: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Spread: Nets (-13.5)Nets won
- Spread: Nets (-19.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Nets (-24.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Nets (-29.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Nets (-4.5)Nets won
- Spread: Nets (-5.5)Nets won
- Spread: Nets (-9.5)Nets won
- Wizards vs. NetsNets won
- Wizards vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineNets won
- Wizards vs. Nets: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 216.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 217.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 218.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 219.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 220.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 222.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 229.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 231.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 234.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.