TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9386…cfe5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
231
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Boxing, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 59 out of 100; worst College Football at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST6149.2%30 W · 31 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$88
Will Rashid Shaheed win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$26.5
Big Game: 'Seahawks Revenge' Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Patriots Team Total: O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+63.9%+$20.85
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+112.8%+$212
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$160
1H Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+122.2%+$110
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+41.2%+$70.31
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+96.1%+$98
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Spread: Patriots (-5.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+81.8%+$22.5
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$23.5
Rams vs. Bears: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$313.99
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Josh Allen: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$29.59
49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$46
49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$197
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+66.7%+$40
Spread: Texans (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+127.3%+$56
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+117.4%+$54
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT4143.9%18 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Sean Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$62
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alexander Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
UFC 328: Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Jared Gordon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Marco Tulio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
UFC 328: Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis (Featherweight, Early Prelims)backed Pat Sabatini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Paulo Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$198.43
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Curtis Blaydes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.5
UFC 327: Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Cub Swanson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$89.46
UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Dominick Reyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$111.4
UFC 327: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Esteban Ribovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.39
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Joe Pyfer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$61
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$128
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Reinier de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$70
UFC 326: Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Raul Rosas Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+37.6%+$123
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Drew Dober · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+104.1%+$102
UFC 326: Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Brunno Ferreira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40.98
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+233.3%+$140
UFC Fight Night: Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Geoff Neal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$134
UFC Fight Night: Dan Ige vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Ige · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$64
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$55
UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$13.82
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$21.5
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT4050%20 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$260
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$131.36
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-1.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$98.88
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$97
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.41
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-6.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$160.59
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 137.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$148.69
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 134.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$103.09
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-9.5)backed Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.09
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$99.13
Spread: Houston Cougars (-3.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.22
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-11.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$95.16
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 137.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$91.2
Spread: Florida Gators (-10.5)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$97.14
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-10.5)backed VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.18
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-10.5)backed Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.89
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-1.5)backed Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.74
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-5.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$154.64
Spread: Houston Cougars (-10.5)backed Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.16
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-12.5)backed Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.2
Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-13.5)backed California Baptist Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$103.09
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-11.5)backed Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.03
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+82.9%+$134.82
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.4
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$450
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$288
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves backed Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.99
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$103.99
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+400%+$80
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 205.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$244
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$98.88
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+203%+$128.61
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$445.1
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$89.46
Trae Young: Assists O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
Spread: Pelicans (-10.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.9
Spread: Nets (-7.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$24.5
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+203%+$67
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 23 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
College Football — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$104.99
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+61.3%+$38
Spread: Indiana (-3.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+108.3%+$52
Spread: Miami (-3.5)backed Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$201
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$104
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$135
Spread: Ohio State (-9.5)backed Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Ole Miss (-17.5)backed Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+117.4%+$54
Spread: Texas A&M (-3.5)backed Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$44
Alabama vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Will Diego Pavia win the Heisman Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+32.5%+$32.86
Will Julian Sayin win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Spread: Navy (-6.5)backed Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$19.7
Will the Georgia Bulldogs be the #2 seed in the 2025-2026 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$21.2
Will Notre Dame make the College Football Playoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+290.8%+$107.9
Spread: Virginia (-3.5)backed Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Ohio State (-4.5)backed Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$60.1
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+225.2%+$103.88
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$123.75
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
France vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$74
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)backed Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Canada vs. Morocco: Canada O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Spread: Norway (-3.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-48.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chile Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Ignacio Busebacked Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Chile Open: Mariano Navone vs Vit Koprivabacked Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Chile Open: Francisco Comesana vs Pedro Martinezbacked Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Chile Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Chile Open, Qualification: Andrea Pellegrino vs Daniel Galanbacked Galan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Chile Open, Qualification: Vilius Gaubas vs Alex Barrenabacked Barrena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+203%+$40.61
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Djokovic (+1.5)backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$39
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$17
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+195.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Boxing — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-66.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.