Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfee704075f30f0b6b19c701bd5135d68ac844e2e82be9a49af22558a56caade1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,354,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,246,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,354,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,380 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x533c…2658backed No | 70c | 223,451$157,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157,041.31 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -67%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Yes | 18c | 85,151$15,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,831.32 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4608…d049backed Yes | 19c | 58,160$11,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,109.61 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 45c | 47,119$21,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,971.54 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 22c | 47,100$10,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,913.88 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…e463backed Yes | 73c | 44,592$32,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,039.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 70c | 38,438$27,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,020.62 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 33c | 37,398$12,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,979.62 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 5c | 37,346$1,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.32 | 177 | 42.9%76 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed No | 1c | 36,389$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.89 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaf…7affbacked Yes | 20c | 35,033$7,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,917.45 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe990…dcfcbacked Yes | 73c | 33,560$24,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,061.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Yes | 24c | 32,702$7,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,009.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…7774backed Yes | 74c | 28,500$21,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,410 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa75…f082backed Yes | 35c | 28,174$9,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,178.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes | 26c | 27,453$7,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,336.18 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…ee24backed Yes | 19c | 26,124$4,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,160.38 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 14c | 24,032$3,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,418.32 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Yes | 20c | 23,067$4,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,345.09 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8633…a08dbacked Yes | 58c | 22,950$13,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,549.92 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 77c | 20,684$16,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,680.46 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbde…a758backed Yes | 24c | 20,633$4,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,685.89 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddf…ab10backed Yes | 28c | 20,308$5,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,583.33 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Yes | 72c | 19,974$14,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,591.02 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 18c | 19,919$3,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,333.53 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e15…0ac8backed Yes | 74c | 19,131$14,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,974.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed No | 26c | 18,743$4,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,873.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f3…458bbacked Yes | 35c | 17,143$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,142.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1223…d424backed No | 36c | 15,523$5,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,593.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Yes | 73c | 15,000$10,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,020 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Yes | 26c | 14,309$3,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,543.43 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3491…5909backed Yes | 33c | 13,926$4,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,353.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf665…b45ebacked Yes | 74c | 13,836$10,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,597.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6c…dcdfbacked Yes | 73c | 13,700$10,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,699.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 19c | 13,419$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,869.06 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf7…9820backed Yes | 21c | 12,958$2,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,267.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 78c | 12,774$9,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,867.06 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked No | 26c | 12,318$3,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,220.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd39…109dbacked Yes | 47c | 12,033$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,433.2 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Yes | 27c | 11,628$3,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,458.08 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed Yes | 73c | 11,625$8,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,138.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +53%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Yes | 19c | 10,905$2,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,833.37 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 20c | 10,072$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,078.22 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b0…8468backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Yes | 34c | 9,999$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,599.66 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf595…bfb5backed Yes | 21c | 9,600$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,584 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 31c | 9,423$2,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,460.58 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 31c | 9,184$2,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,379.69 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 26c | 8,723$2,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,268.07 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4988…18e9backed Yes | 74c | 8,599$6,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,235.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 22c | 8,545$1,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888.69 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dde…2ea7backed Yes | 22c | 8,312$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,503 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b30…29a4backed Yes | 74c | 7,797$5,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -55%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 19c | 7,555$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,104.18 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…c54cbacked Yes | 19c | 7,456$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,073.46 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…318bbacked Yes | 19c | 7,352$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,931.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064b…9990backed Yes | 26c | 7,080$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,267.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…3839backed Yes | 35c | 7,026$2,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,566.62 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Yes | 22c | 6,974$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,429.2 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Yes | 20c | 6,970$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,588.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes | 71c | 6,959$4,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.48 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 80c | 6,948$5,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,527.02 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 71c | 6,168$4,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,783.54 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d6…8d67backed Yes | 20c | 6,021$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,821 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ef…9257backed Yes | 18c | 6,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,919.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Yes | 22c | 5,574$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,340.8 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…45d7backed Yes | 20c | 5,454$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,368.51 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a08…9513backed Yes | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…f8a0backed Yes | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,899.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 18c | 4,995$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,095.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 30c | 4,925$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,448.94 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcb…f91abacked Yes | 34c | 4,800$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,168 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f17…a918backed No | 27c | 4,627$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…4fdcbacked Yes | 24c | 4,579$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,499.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d31…4421backed Yes | 22c | 4,555$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,554.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Yes | 73c | 4,400$3,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.02 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc14f…7d8dbacked Yes | 35c | 4,400$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,860 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 68c | 4,384$2,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970.66 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 28c | 4,245$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,058.4 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 6c | 4,210$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…b171backed No | 79c | 4,119$3,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250.67 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3f…db8dbacked Yes | 22c | 4,091$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,190.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3906…7556backed Yes | 24c | 4,015$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,064.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ca…b27abacked Yes | 77c | 3,881$2,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked No | 77c | 3,773$2,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,912 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05bf…1ab0backed No | 28c | 3,633$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes | 23c | 3,400$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,628 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 75c | 3,302$2,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Yes | 34c | 3,269$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,157.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Yes | 73c | 3,164$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.38 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Yes | 80c | 3,127$2,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a15…9ca1backed Yes | 79c | 3,007$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…6af8backed Yes | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725b…8016backed Yes | 33c | 2,898$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.01 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Yes | 73c | 2,865$2,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.49 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…12f7backed Yes | 35c | 2,856$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,856.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9553…cfc7backed Yes | 21c | 2,792$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,192.21 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5a…4a26backed Yes | 35c | 2,723$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked No | 27c | 2,708$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.15 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 70. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?this page
- Will Akron win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Alabama win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Auburn win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will BYU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Cal Baptist win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Clemson win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Creighton win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Furman win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Georgia win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Gonzaga win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Hawaii win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will High Point win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Hofstra win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Houston win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Howard win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Idaho win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Iowa win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Kansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Kennesaw State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Kentucky win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will LIU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Lehigh win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Louisville win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will McNeese win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Miami (FL) win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Miami (OH) win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Missouri win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will NC State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Nebraska win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will North Carolina win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will North Dakota State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Northern Iowa win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Ohio State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Penn win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Prairie View A&M win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Queens win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will SMU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Saint Louis win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Santa Clara win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Siena win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will South Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will St. Mary's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will TCU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Tennessee State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Tennessee win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Texas A&M win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Texas Tech win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Texas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Troy win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.