Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe285bf8454fc9cbe7e8cdedefb00009b475c2729a60811d76a5a9d716b5b8bd7

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,059,051
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $680,792

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,059,051 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 672 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4488…e319backed Yes	18c	104,857$19,275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,275.19	616	52.8%325 W · 291 L	+21.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	18c	53,905$9,849 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,849.06	334	38.9%130 W · 204 L	-16.2wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4608…d049backed Yes	19c	31,110$5,928 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,928.08	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes	19c	30,000$5,634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,633.97	61	27.9%17 W · 44 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes	20c	26,000$5,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,200	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.15per pick	19cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes	18c	25,766$4,741 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,740.78	906	45.4%411 W · 495 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed No	79c	25,004$19,834 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,170.75	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x73a3…ee24backed Yes	20c	25,000$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	20c	22,752$4,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,550.36	417	52.5%219 W · 198 L	+13.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8188…b171backed Yes	15c	21,556$3,209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,208.71	59	33.9%20 W · 39 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fb…8feebacked Yes	18c	21,490$3,775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,774.82	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.28per pick	38cpaid	+86.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes	19c	19,857$3,685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,685.25	82	32.9%27 W · 55 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…c54cbacked Yes	18c	16,181$2,898 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,897.74	34	20.6%7 W · 27 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Yes	18c	14,827$2,673 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,673.37	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-70.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes	19c	14,615$2,838 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,837.64	1,155	50.4%582 W · 573 L	-34.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes	18c	13,450$2,464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,463.59	63	36.5%23 W · 40 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes	18c	11,100$2,021 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,021	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82ba…0a52backed Yes	17c	11,000$1,870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,869.99	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.11per pick	23cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfaf…7affbacked Yes	20c	10,812$2,212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,212.4	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed No	80c	10,650$8,520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,130	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0306…dcf6backed Yes	19c	10,373$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	61	57.4%35 W · 26 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	21c	8,341$1,771 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,771.41	1,511	47.8%722 W · 789 L	-35.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Yes	18c	8,065$1,444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,443.9	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-24%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes	14c	7,737$1,092 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,092.26	251	30.7%77 W · 174 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked No	79c	7,000$5,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,439.99	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes	21c	6,818$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.23per pick	43cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde7c…c933backed Yes	20c	6,800$1,332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,331.99	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.26per pick	41cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes	19c	6,610$1,247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,247.1	98	33.7%33 W · 65 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0ddf…ab10backed Yes	16c	6,479$1,037 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,036.57	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-65.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d14…318bbacked Yes	20c	6,050$1,210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,210	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.10per pick	19cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ef…9257backed Yes	17c	5,995$1,019 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,019.15	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.32per pick	18cpaid	+177.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked No	79c	5,651$4,484 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,167.49	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0706…6ffebacked Yes	19c	5,591$1,041 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,040.56	40	15%6 W · 34 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-59.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc199…c67cbacked Yes	17c	5,401$906 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$906.33	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes	19c	5,240$1,018 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,018.21	25	44%11 W · 14 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes	21c	5,238$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.22per pick	47cpaid	-66.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1d…ff10backed Yes	17c	5,185$889 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$888.83	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	19c	5,122$965 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$964.97	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38a1…d1e4backed Yes	18c	5,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes	19c	4,948$956 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$956.01	82	30.5%25 W · 57 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes	21c	4,862$1,015 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,015	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.13per pick	36cpaid	-49.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a08…9513backed Yes	21c	4,762$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	19cpaid	+66.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa962…8978backed Yes	21c	4,762$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa577…91e3backed Yes	21c	4,762$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes	19c	4,344$847 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$846.89	133	42.1%56 W · 77 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes	17c	3,652$637 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$636.67	104	29.8%31 W · 73 L	-8.3wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbde…a758backed Yes	19c	3,591$682 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$681.53	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd39…109dbacked Yes	17c	3,446$589 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$588.77	22	68.2%15 W · 7 L	+2.1wins	+0.09per pick	59cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0539…70f9backed Yes	19c	3,430$653 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$652.57	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	26cpaid	-69.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x541c…c462backed Yes	17c	3,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d31…4421backed Yes	18c	2,918$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525.21	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Yes	21c	2,899$604 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$603.6	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4ac…8fc5backed Yes	21c	2,807$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	70	44.3%31 W · 39 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Yes	22c	2,758$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	144	47.2%68 W · 76 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes	18c	2,753$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.92	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes	17c	2,715$461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$461.47	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Yes	17c	2,694$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$468.38	196	41.8%82 W · 114 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5225…5732backed Yes	19c	2,400$462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$462	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.19per pick	41cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Yes	19c	2,379$443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$443.42	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes	17c	2,241$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.73	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Yes	19c	2,207$419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$419.34	226	45.6%103 W · 123 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11dd…dd86backed Yes	18c	2,187$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.71	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	17c	2,116$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.06	378	35.7%135 W · 243 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5104…a114backed Yes	18c	2,111$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e44…dfd8backed Yes	17c	2,000$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes	22c	2,000$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	136	9.6%13 W · 123 L	-8.1wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-78.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x03de…4bfdbacked Yes	20c	2,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b3…40d4backed Yes	18c	2,000$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	+25.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c21…d6bfbacked Yes	19c	2,000$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.31per pick	19cpaid	+163.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcb1…d3e3backed Yes	11c	2,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.99	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+1.7wins	+0.25per pick	18cpaid	+107.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed No	74c	1,979$1,464 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$515.07	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+35.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa21a…c0c6backed Yes	18c	1,944$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.11per pick	32cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Yes	21c	1,919$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	51	54.9%28 W · 23 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99b1…b9ffbacked Yes	20c	1,900$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b91…ae77backed Yes	20c	1,800$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+36.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Yes	8c	1,710$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.65	316	46.8%148 W · 168 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes	19c	1,709$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.66	29	24.1%7 W · 22 L	-2.7wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-62.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes	12c	1,705$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.65	315	37.8%119 W · 196 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x06d2…fb27backed Yes	14c	1,673$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.61	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3546…c697backed Yes	18c	1,667$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2511…98f4backed Yes	18c	1,667$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-57.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82a0…14b3backed Yes	20c	1,642$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.78	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.26per pick	40cpaid	-65.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x61ad…915dbacked Yes	20c	1,508$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	-2.4wins	-0.08per pick	59cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Yes	15c	1,501$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.31	44	34.1%15 W · 29 L	-4.0wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-26%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f62…e744backed Yes	21c	1,482$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.67	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79a9…a6fcbacked Yes	21c	1,457$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8633…a08dbacked Yes	18c	1,456$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d4d…4b29backed Yes	21c	1,454$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.99	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.30per pick	20cpaid	+163.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x173a…eb85backed Yes	17c	1,436$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.2	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Yes	20c	1,365$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.59	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6732…d7f0backed No	77c	1,336$1,027 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$308.88	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.19per pick	61cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37aa…01f4backed Yes	20c	1,310$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.24	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc20a…9787backed Yes	21c	1,309$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.26	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff94…c347backed Yes	19c	1,300$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.5	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb9…bb3cbacked Yes	20c	1,263$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.64	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdf6…d7f7backed Yes	20c	1,250$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	55	52.7%29 W · 26 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9868…64b0backed No	80c	1,250$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	64cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d7c…51b6backed Yes	18c	1,200$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62d3…6d42backed Yes	17c	1,183$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a89…a4d6backed Yes	18c	1,170$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.6	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 70. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?this page
Will Akron win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Alabama win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Auburn win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will BYU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Cal Baptist win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Clemson win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Creighton win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Furman win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Georgia win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Gonzaga win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Hawaii win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will High Point win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Hofstra win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Houston win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Howard win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Idaho win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Iowa win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Kansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Kennesaw State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Kentucky win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will LIU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Lehigh win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Louisville win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will McNeese win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Miami (FL) win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Miami (OH) win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes won
Will Missouri win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will NC State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Nebraska win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will North Carolina win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will North Dakota State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Northern Iowa win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Ohio State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Penn win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Prairie View A&M win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Queens win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will SMU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Saint Louis win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Santa Clara win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Siena win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will South Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will St. Mary's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will TCU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Tennessee State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Tennessee win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Texas A&M win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Texas Tech win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Texas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Troy win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event