Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09c3c088a43266fb66135b87094d83e4f6417a336cd3dc47f5d83c9f5e14e3c9

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,998,991
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,535,288

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,998,991 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 925 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2707…0afabacked Yes	9c	83,000$7,369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,368.76	61	27.9%17 W · 44 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ddf…ab10backed Yes	7c	56,098$3,712 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,711.57	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-65.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Yes	5c	47,510$2,375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,374.66	81	45.7%37 W · 44 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes	8c	41,741$3,228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,227.92	82	32.9%27 W · 55 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes	4c	39,455$1,629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,628.53	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes	7c	35,000$2,470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,470.17	301	39.2%118 W · 183 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes	4c	32,671$1,206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,206.03	251	30.7%77 W · 174 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Yes	17c	30,000$5,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,100	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa710…4173backed Yes	4c	22,798$956 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$955.92	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4124…8af2backed Yes	13c	22,685$2,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,900	28	10.7%3 W · 25 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-65.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xccf6…1681backed Yes	19c	22,631$4,202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,201.95	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58d6…8d67backed Yes	5c	21,742$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.11per pick	14cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4608…d049backed Yes	4c	20,948$733 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$733.17	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d6f…7135backed Yes	12c	18,840$2,308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,307.63	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	3c	17,789$513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$513.4	167	21%35 W · 132 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a80…c54cbacked Yes	4c	16,900$725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$724.63	34	20.6%7 W · 27 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed Yes	6c	16,548$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	298	45.3%135 W · 163 L	-8.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Yes	5c	16,412$755 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$755.21	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x614d…1546backed Yes	19c	15,000$2,815 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,815.22	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Yes	6c	14,100$838 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$838.42	372	46.2%172 W · 200 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf7…9820backed Yes	14c	13,321$1,848 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,848.48	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.29per pick	38cpaid	+103.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae59…8ce0backed Yes	19c	13,291$2,499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,498.75	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes	5c	13,273$702 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$701.73	616	52.8%325 W · 291 L	+21.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56be…57eebacked Yes	4c	12,714$523 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$522.95	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fb4…70e6backed Yes	7c	12,282$873 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$872.79	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-71.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Yes	17c	12,027$2,074 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,074.21	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes	11c	11,599$1,265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,264.61	82	30.5%25 W · 57 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05dd…7f98backed Yes	4c	10,410$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.15	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	5c	10,377$496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$496.23	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-63.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Yes	13c	10,342$1,364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,364.14	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-70.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x91c7…fc89backed Yes	4c	10,294$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.51	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes	11c	9,982$1,129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,129.01	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	30cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes	5c	9,290$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$434.7	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	4c	8,773$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.92	76	26.3%20 W · 56 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11dd…dd86backed Yes	14c	8,148$1,102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,102.37	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8370…033bbacked Yes	12c	7,942$993 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$992.74	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a8a…7699backed Yes	6c	7,000$406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$406.19	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-48.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1998…be8cbacked Yes	14c	6,791$920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$919.89	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56eb…076abacked Yes	14c	6,000$864 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$863.63	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+4.0wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e44…dfd8backed Yes	19c	5,884$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfaf…7affbacked Yes	17c	5,800$1,003 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,003.4	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Yes	18c	5,682$1,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,002.22	347	46.1%160 W · 187 L	-11.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	5c	5,031$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.42	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	5c	5,009$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.65	19	0%0 W · 19 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94c4…2a41backed Yes	5c	4,973$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.08	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x670d…0825backed Yes	4c	4,545$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf72c…eeb7backed Yes	4c	4,444$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.09	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x366c…5078backed Yes	4c	4,353$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.18	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd4c…a9eebacked Yes	5c	4,345$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.85	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	8c	4,107$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.68	2,254	42.2%951 W · 1,303 L	+3.4wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf02…4fdcbacked Yes	5c	4,055$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.5	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes	4c	3,750$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156	315	37.8%119 W · 196 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes	18c	3,741$673 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$673.47	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5157…ecb8backed Yes	5c	3,629$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Yes	4c	3,609$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.44	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f5b…a891backed Yes	7c	3,593$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.75	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-4.0wins	-0.28per pick	43cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xab0d…6ddfbacked Yes	13c	3,584$454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$454.38	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Yes	5c	3,501$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.04	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba92…babfbacked Yes	5c	3,384$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8200…29f3backed Yes	5c	3,308$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.02	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	5c	3,121$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.14	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	8cpaid	-60.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…ecc0backed Yes	5c	3,106$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.78	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x23f8…7678backed Yes	5c	3,071$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.13	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd65d…f346backed Yes	16c	3,069$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.75	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85b9…d1abbacked Yes	4c	3,062$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.91	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-83.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33a…0971backed Yes	5c	3,014$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.76	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes	19c	3,000$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	-4.5wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1dbe…bbaabacked Yes	5c	2,978$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.99	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x881c…68afbacked Yes	6c	2,943$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.64	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Yes	4c	2,857$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	59	44.1%26 W · 33 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3a9…5626backed Yes	6c	2,855$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.45	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f65…0075backed Yes	4c	2,820$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	4c	2,702$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.49	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0138…8451backed Yes	5c	2,700$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.56	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-4.0wins	-0.16per pick	40cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xee41…477ebacked Yes	6c	2,692$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.83	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb758…7dd6backed Yes	6c	2,674$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.77	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5f0…d345backed Yes	8c	2,580$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.44	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+2.3wins	+0.15per pick	29cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x646b…5112backed Yes	4c	2,576$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.74	38	2.6%1 W · 37 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	7cpaid	-83.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca5…85edbacked Yes	4c	2,419$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.41	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb68b…b926backed Yes	4c	2,400$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.8	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.7wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x70af…e586backed Yes	5c	2,361$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.78	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e7c…b989backed Yes	4c	2,302$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.13	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.39per pick	11cpaid	+177.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68e9…666bbacked Yes	6c	2,279$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.46	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd5…e8adbacked Yes	5c	2,271$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.71	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c31…40b3backed Yes	17c	2,251$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-31%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x10ab…b2e8backed Yes	16c	2,239$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.81	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2cc1…9452backed Yes	5c	2,126$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.55	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc144…f7bfbacked Yes	6c	2,124$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.81	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507a…be1fbacked Yes	5c	2,120$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.85	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	14cpaid	-91%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83dc…d41dbacked Yes	6c	2,118$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.43	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5104…a114backed Yes	11c	2,106$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf714…0289backed Yes	5c	2,094$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.51	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0182…c69cbacked Yes	6c	2,058$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.65	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	15c	2,041$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.89	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1d…ff10backed Yes	4c	2,009$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.5	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc53b…871ebacked Yes	5c	2,004$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.38	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae00…6af8backed Yes	18c	2,000$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$359.99	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee57…bf1ebacked Yes	17c	1,957$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.95	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Yes	5c	1,943$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	-10%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf639…a6fdbacked Yes	6c	1,931$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.65	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 70. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?this page
Will Akron win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Alabama win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Auburn win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will BYU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Cal Baptist win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Clemson win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Creighton win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Furman win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Georgia win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Gonzaga win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Hawaii win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will High Point win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Hofstra win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Houston win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Howard win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Idaho win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Iowa win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Kansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Kennesaw State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Kentucky win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will LIU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Lehigh win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Louisville win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will McNeese win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Miami (FL) win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Miami (OH) win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes won
Will Missouri win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will NC State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Nebraska win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will North Carolina win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will North Dakota State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Northern Iowa win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Ohio State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Penn win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Prairie View A&M win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Queens win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will SMU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Saint Louis win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Santa Clara win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Siena win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will South Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will St. Mary's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will TCU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Tennessee State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Tennessee win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Texas A&M win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Texas Tech win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Texas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Troy win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event