TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Will Tennessee win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,184,614
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$622,250

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,184,614 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes1c118,288$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.58119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-49.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes0c92,043$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.1116721%35 W · 132 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes1c84,735$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.8290645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes1c62,463$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.741,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes1c39,405$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.5261652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x646b…5112backed Yes1c30,000$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.25382.6%1 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-83.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes1c20,000$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.426127.9%17 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes2c19,280$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.189833.7%33 W · 65 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-28.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x06a2…0acbbacked Yes1c19,233$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.162231.8%7 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-29%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ddf…ab10backed Yes0c17,956$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.81711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-65.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes1c16,114$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.54822.4%2 W · 80 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-88.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03de…4bfdbacked Yes1c14,186$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-44.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d04…8859backed Yes1c11,439$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Yes1c11,270$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.7136535.9%131 W · 234 L+1.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc14a…9e30backed Yes1c10,220$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8226…0ea2backed Yes1c10,170$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6cc…ff07backed Yes1c10,130$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05c7…e19dbacked Yes1c10,120$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf88f…2285backed Yes0c10,100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb71e…19a3backed Yes1c9,325$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.590%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x348f…a206backed Yes1c8,333$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504645.7%21 W · 25 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0706…6ffebacked Yes1c8,238$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.334015%6 W · 34 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-59.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c7,998$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.51230%0 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5387…c91ebacked Yes2c7,125$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.874030%12 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-45.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a80…c54cbacked Yes1c6,990$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.193420.6%7 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-51.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Yes1c6,887$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0111252.7%59 W · 53 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8a…7699backed Yes3c6,600$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.161533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-48.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x364b…f9bebacked Yes1c6,518$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.94210%0 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f8d…6790backed Yes1c6,310$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554535.6%16 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes1c6,202$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.117626.3%20 W · 56 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Yes1c5,197$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.73137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-70.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ef6…5afdbacked Yes1c5,118$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.78130%0 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3529…66a6backed Yes1c5,110$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Yes2c5,097$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.842227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-46.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes1c5,037$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.411136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick26cpaid-14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a26…3041backed Yes1c5,036$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Yes2c5,000$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7511844.1%52 W · 66 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Yes1c4,500$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275650%28 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes1c4,294$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.338230.5%25 W · 57 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-30.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Yes1c4,187$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.795843.1%25 W · 33 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cf2…e31cbacked Yes1c4,167$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2570%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x985f…7a5bbacked Yes1c3,930$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.179051.1%46 W · 44 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5396…84e3backed Yes2c3,664$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.28922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-65.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes1c3,345$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.89190%0 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5104…a114backed Yes2c3,144$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78100%0 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x802e…e4a8backed Yes1c3,110$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.07425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick7cpaid+33.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes1c3,055$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.44170%0 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ec6…15a6backed Yes1c2,790$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd33a…1fe2backed Yes2c2,743$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.51911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-75.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d08…9e8dbacked Yes1c2,700$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.13129%9 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-47.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5bc9…1842backed Yes1c2,404$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d5f…e4bcbacked Yes1c2,381$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.813246.9%15 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc618…ac43backed Yes2c2,268$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03c0…14c1backed Yes1c2,015$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.091136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick29cpaid-17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c2,013$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9129012.1%35 W · 255 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4395…5b90backed Yes1c2,000$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1840%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b30…29a4backed Yes4c2,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-55%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7854…8289backed Yes2c1,994$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes2c1,957$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.626336.5%23 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabdd…7fdcbacked Yes1c1,947$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eb4…672fbacked Yes1c1,927$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5e4…b7aebacked Yes1c1,918$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20150%0 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbef…fe08backed Yes1c1,824$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.04425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid-44.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54f1…c219backed Yes2c1,792$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x807b…3a39backed Yes2c1,792$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaa7…e4adbacked Yes3c1,786$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5070%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2efc…5686backed Yes1c1,778$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.87812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick6cpaid-67.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e03…bf97backed Yes1c1,762$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b5…69f8backed Yes1c1,653$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8eee…3bacbacked Yes1c1,611$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cfa…2903backed Yes3c1,601$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x311c…d7cebacked Yes2c1,578$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.27147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick14cpaid-78.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7f4…bc90backed Yes2c1,521$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-54.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c41…42ebbacked Yes1c1,500$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick15cpaid-62.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x393e…415fbacked Yes2c1,475$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7c1…4e0ebacked Yes1c1,451$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8fa…b3cebacked Yes1c1,364$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x490d…b563backed Yes1c1,284$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9e…9291backed Yes1c1,261$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Yes2c1,201$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.881625%4 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-40.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe473…b468backed Yes1c1,161$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4e4…ab35backed Yes1c1,143$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…329bbacked Yes1c1,101$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe04b…c716backed Yes1c1,081$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ce7…33ecbacked Yes1c1,067$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1682…ec59backed Yes1c1,054$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a24…65c9backed Yes2c1,041$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b9d…8296backed Yes1c1,040$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb942…8370backed Yes1c1,021$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde59…451fbacked Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-72%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x38f8…f27bbacked Yes1c1,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8240%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea46…3f09backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…809dbacked Yes1c996$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x873e…8a55backed Yes1c987$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4878…5760backed Yes1c969$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x742b…be72backed Yes1c962$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x665f…82babacked Yes1c940$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x845c…4800backed Yes1c907$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb61…58ffbacked Yes3c903.72$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2550%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3feb…b1a1backed Yes1c883$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 70. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.