TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6c41…42eb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
206
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 60 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT12147.1%57 W · 64 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 121 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.06
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11
Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$65.96
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.2
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.2
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.3
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-Inbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$74
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$32.77
LoL Cross Regional 2026: C9 vs DNSbacked DNS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$36.3
LoL Cross Regional 2026: KRX vs FLYbacked KRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
LoL Cross Regional: DK vs LOSbacked DK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$24.53
LoL Cross Regional: DNS vs FLYbacked DNS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.13
Will LYON win LCS 2026 Spring?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+207.8%+$150.87
Will T1 qualify to MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+62.9%+$94.35
Will Top Esports win LPL 2026 Split 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.92
Will G2 Esports win LEC 2026 Spring?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+142%+$138.28
Will JD Gaming qualify to MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will JD Gaming win LPL 2026 Split 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.84
Showing 25 of 121 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3531.4%11 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+63.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+3,155.3%+$3,925.43
Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+471.6%+$412.53
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$136
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$23.38
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$24.97
Will the Buccaneers win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11.11
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+273%+$105.69
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$77.74
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the AFC South?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$12.54
Will the Detroit Lions win the NFC North?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$114
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the NFC East?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+100%+$100
Steelers vs. Chargersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$30.4
Steelers vs. Chargers: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$53
Rams vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$74
Ravens vs. Vikingsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+56.3%+$100.8
Spread: Ravens (-4.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+112.8%+$76.85
Patriots vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$58
Broncos vs. Texansbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+122.2%+$55
Colts vs. Steelersbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$61
Vikings vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$83.5
NFL Sunday Week 9: Will an underdog win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+48.3%+$113.95
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.21per pick32cpaid+202.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$744Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+706.5%+$5,256
Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$299
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.08
Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.95
Will Jude Bellingham win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+552.6%+$181.55
Will Harry Kane win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.33
France vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+1,566.7%+$188
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$460
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.25
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$170
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$235
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+900%+$90
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$29.84
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$31.5
All 17 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.11
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+665.8%+$1,477.99
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$338.57
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.38
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.29
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.31
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning backed Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.51
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.34
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.1
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.39
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.53
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$25.7
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick15cpaid-62.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.05
Will Tennessee win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Iowa win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.24
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$11.55
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-6.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18.24
Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.9
Will Alabama win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.77
Will Nebraska win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.99
Will Texas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.44
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.39per pick44cpaid+107.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+178.2%+$3,208.95
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.05
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$80.94
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47.67
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$30.55
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42.53
All 6 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will EA say "Acquisition" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Trump" during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.89
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.