TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Will Alabama win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$946,975
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$381,143

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $946,975 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x67f9…d241backed Yes1c86,366$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.65120%0 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes0c66,690$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.9316721%35 W · 132 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes0c61,340$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.12822.4%2 W · 80 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-88.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Yes0c58,877$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.518145.7%37 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x646b…5112backed Yes1c36,189$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.16382.6%1 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-83.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ddf…ab10backed Yes0c35,424$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.941711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-65.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes0c32,996$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.7690645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8932…eb14backed Yes1c30,000$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.112630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a2…0acbbacked Yes1c19,992$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.972231.8%7 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-29%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes1c16,071$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.868232.9%27 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Yes1c14,480$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.172227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-46.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfaf…9206backed Yes1c13,501$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes1c12,238$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.8170%0 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Yes1c11,256$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011252.7%59 W · 53 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf796…3ac5backed Yes1c10,748$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Yes1c10,545$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed16…916ebacked Yes1c10,525$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10190%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca09…1b05backed Yes1c10,220$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe168…356bbacked Yes0c10,220$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc56a…cc72backed Yes1c10,200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd5…57acbacked Yes1c10,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9040%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0706…6ffebacked Yes1c10,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.54015%6 W · 34 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-59.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Yes1c8,691$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5236535.9%131 W · 234 L+1.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Yes1c8,478$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.432123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-24%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c8,240$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0829012.1%35 W · 255 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Yes1c7,843$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.59137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-70.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d91…7781backed Yes1c6,794$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.27683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb60…e8e7backed Yes0c6,600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…7b83backed Yes1c5,810$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.36720.9%14 W · 53 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-46.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Yes1c5,386$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011844.1%52 W · 66 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes1c5,215$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.777626.3%20 W · 56 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Yes2c5,094$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.062917.2%5 W · 24 L-8.1wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-67.9%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes1c5,030$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.018230.5%25 W · 57 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-30.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xacd8…1325backed Yes1c5,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25160%0 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x08c7…7203backed Yes1c4,614$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.29119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-63.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dde…2ea7backed Yes1c4,585$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403129%9 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x364b…f9bebacked Yes1c4,315$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.62210%0 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ab…fd5fbacked Yes1c4,244$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4650%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c41…42ebbacked Yes1c4,216$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.77922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick15cpaid-62.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…c54cbacked Yes1c3,639$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.393420.6%7 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-51.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Yes1c3,163$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.553447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7627…3788backed Yes1c3,143$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ec1…9a11backed Yes1c3,119$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes0c3,115$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.51130%0 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5104…a114backed Yes1c3,089$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29100%0 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes1c3,066$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1190%0 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Yes1c2,952$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.091844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5e4…b7aebacked Yes1c2,918$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20150%0 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb71e…19a3backed Yes1c2,683$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2590%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ef6…5afdbacked Yes1c2,665$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.72130%0 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes2c2,417$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.739833.7%33 W · 65 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-28.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc6ec…81c2backed Yes1c2,318$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.18817%15 W · 73 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaa1…daebbacked Yes1c2,236$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee28…8266backed Yes1c2,222$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1816436%59 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4383…aeefbacked Yes2c2,092$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4421…3bb4backed Yes2c2,060$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77ee…cbe9backed Yes1c2,043$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-37.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Yes1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x888c…f5a7backed Yes1c2,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c1,956$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.75230%0 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes1c1,894$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.270%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b01…95a9backed Yes1c1,735$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1363…5748backed Yes1c1,697$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.27812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-67.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd98f…19a0backed Yes1c1,500$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507a…be1fbacked Yes3c1,431$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.65147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick14cpaid-91%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x79be…c0abbacked Yes2c1,400$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd38f…ea43backed Yes1c1,250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5596…4826backed Yes1c1,178$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7687…d750backed Yes1c1,102$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1550%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7673…9fc8backed Yes1c1,097$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6780%0 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9c4…0425backed Yes1c1,020$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b5a…fa77backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10140%0 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76d9…e3c1backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1050%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x840e…ea90backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick8cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes5c220.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick12cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 70. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.