TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7687…d750

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
113
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: WNBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 54 out of 100; worst NFL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT3250%16 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$141.18
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$89.86
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+49%+$146.93
US forces enter Iran by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$71.07
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$150
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$168
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+31.6%+$44.21
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+44.8%+$232.86
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+163.2%+$81.58
No US strike on Syria in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+182.5%+$328.45
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$630
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$560
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,077Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,077
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,113Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,113
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+53.1%+$350.21
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+35.9%+$251.42
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+49.2%+$324.43
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$107
Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+157%+$95.77
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST2429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cal Raleigh win the 2025 AL MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+44.9%+$224.64
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 National League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 National League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the NL Central Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+150%+$15
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 American League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the NL East Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+95.1%+$20.91
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the AL East Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Minnesota Twins sold by September 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Nationals vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Pirates vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Diamondbacks vs. White Soxbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$8.3
Braves vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Diamondbacks vs. Rockiesbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Mariners vs. Cubsbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+37%+$7.4
White Sox vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Diamondbacks vs. Rockiesbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
All 24 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-56.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Broncos (-7.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Packers (-7.5)backed Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Spread: Panthers (-1.5)backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Dolphins vs. Brownsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Bears (-4.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$16.91
Spread: Jaguars (-3.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
Spread: Browns (-3.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$18.95
Spread: Cardinals (-6.5)backed Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Packers (-2.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: 49ers (-2.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 15 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-69.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$34.75
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$85
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$75
US-Iran nuclear deal before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$18.95
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
US military action against Iran by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$703Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$702.59
US military action against Iran by Sunday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,543Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,543.21
All 10 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 20, 2025, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada beat El Salvador?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Will Panama beat Jamaica?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$20.71
Will Haiti beat Trinidad and Tobago?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
All 3 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 12, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Yan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+212.5%+$42.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 2, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: TCU (-3.5)backed TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+32.7%+$140.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$90
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.