TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,694,752
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,060,238

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,694,752 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 461 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes5c74,570$3,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,602.177035.7%25 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+52%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes0c50,748$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7593240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes11c39,194$4,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,504.791,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes2c38,157$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.4869547.5%330 W · 365 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ec8…5709backed Yes10c31,212$3,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,147.681118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-65.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08ad…208ebacked Yes4c31,180$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.421740.1%87 W · 130 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x76ed…fa48backed Yes4c26,127$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.451631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick38cpaid+76%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a7f…4cd8backed Yes13c25,650$3,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,281.734938.8%19 W · 30 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbed0…eb7cbacked Yes1c23,804$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.573125.8%8 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-49.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Yes6c20,386$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.4126949.4%133 W · 136 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Yes1c20,092$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.552123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-51.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes8c19,849$1,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,675.08336.1%2 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-83.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes1c19,760$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.56260%0 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes8c15,770$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,245.717634.2%26 W · 50 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-28.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3f4…05e9backed Yes10c15,528$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,519.88166.3%1 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid-75.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3049…7825backed Yes9c14,378$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.188351.8%43 W · 40 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97d2…ae98backed Yes3c13,668$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes1c13,559$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.0926642.1%112 W · 154 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes13c11,802$1,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,482.2644749.2%220 W · 227 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf69c…e43dbacked Yes1c11,024$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.67375.4%2 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick5cpaid-83.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35fa…2bd4backed Yes10c11,000$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.8717348%83 W · 90 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3413…5204backed Yes9c10,997$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.271421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-58.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes14c10,534$1,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,442.62646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8803…8ddfbacked Yes7c9,979$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.041711.8%2 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick28cpaid-81.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes7c9,539$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.618125.9%21 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f73…8d13backed Yes14c9,102$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,252.083953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes11c8,584$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.231,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Yes14c7,448$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.7627733.6%93 W · 184 L+13.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8172…abeabacked Yes11c7,380$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.032725.9%7 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x328a…224abacked Yes1c7,232$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.82254%1 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick12cpaid-90.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Yes10c6,963$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.2566645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ff3…7d00backed Yes10c6,823$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.6616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-65.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes11c6,540$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720812.5%1 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick12cpaid-68%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Yes8c6,538$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.1717244.8%77 W · 95 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x954b…eb22backed Yes17c6,362$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.856847.1%32 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8af…325ebacked Yes8c6,251$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.98652.3%45 W · 41 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ea…e15cbacked Yes6c6,214$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40022351.6%115 W · 108 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3ce9…9c2dbacked Yes0c6,152$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116523.1%15 W · 50 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+98.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…6137backed Yes2c6,060$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.377238.9%28 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc314…f2cbbacked Yes9c5,517$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.5840%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Yes1c5,442$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6615644.9%70 W · 86 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes9c5,340$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.471,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc03…1548backed Yes11c5,271$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.553324.2%8 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-28.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes9c5,237$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.3310328.2%29 W · 74 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-40.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe507…1258backed Yes17c4,819$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7d4…23c5backed Yes4c4,565$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c5e…2c5dbacked Yes1c4,050$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ec0…cdf6backed Yes13c3,722$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.81666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+36.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbff…3c5abacked Yes6c3,648$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7687…d750backed Yes2c3,605$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x940a…8dc7backed Yes1c3,604$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6350%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9f60…bbccbacked Yes18c3,524$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6191428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-48.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes4c3,519$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.913929.4%37 W · 355 L+1.5wins0.00per pick9cpaid-40.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cab…6817backed Yes12c3,363$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.941330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-46%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes11c3,308$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.31,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe05f…b3e8backed Yes2c3,307$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4429145.4%132 W · 159 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes5c3,189$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.4718837.8%71 W · 117 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Yes9c3,159$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28043153.6%231 W · 200 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c09…8fffbacked Yes3c3,025$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes5c2,951$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.3520138.8%78 W · 123 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-6.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes14c2,801$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.0992754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e50…d347backed Yes11c2,756$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-68.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c87…9bd4backed Yes4c2,745$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842d…9c19backed Yes2c2,699$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1950%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaa7…e4adbacked Yes7c2,685$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1972321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-48.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9ca…04c5backed Yes4c2,683$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.89110%0 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb47…709dbacked Yes17c2,602$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-47.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Yes7c2,536$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.6412337.4%46 W · 77 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Yes1c2,452$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.163129%9 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-53%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5545…f481backed Yes1c2,417$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c19…94f5backed Yes11c2,409$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.82166.3%1 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.21per pick27cpaid-89.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes15c2,347$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.0860%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d86…2182backed Yes12c2,096$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.4714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-76.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Yes9c2,056$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.1911057.3%63 W · 47 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x15ff…bb52backed Yes14c2,000$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.04714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-47.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a38…ada9backed Yes2c2,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-56.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Yes5c1,920$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.021513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-66%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3753…9cb5backed Yes5c1,875$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10080%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Yes11c1,831$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.547643.4%33 W · 43 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac48…9778backed Yes1c1,824$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes10c1,816$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.71425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+91.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbd1…f790backed Yes2c1,804$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa043…6eefbacked Yes15c1,782$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc626…2beabacked Yes18c1,711$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004434.1%15 W · 29 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-33.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xca92…5efcbacked Yes2c1,694$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68db…e12bbacked Yes13c1,628$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.061414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-70.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Yes12c1,620$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.54134.1%14 W · 27 L-6.1wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-34.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x900b…34bcbacked Yes11c1,589$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.528750.6%44 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00b8…af46backed Yes1c1,556$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4d2…fa5fbacked Yes7c1,504$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.58450%2 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+240.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes10c1,413$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.5763942.7%273 W · 366 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dce…38ecbacked Yes11c1,412$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15913249.2%65 W · 67 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes1c1,411$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.83480%0 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cee…1832backed Yes11c1,409$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-57.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9975…96f9backed Yes3c1,399$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.76520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-65.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes7c1,343$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.5796133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26b0…c3bdbacked Yes10c1,308$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.44119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-60.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4b4…2e0cbacked Yes2c1,234$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41e…d27dbacked Yes12c1,202$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14122546.2%104 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2063…225fbacked Yes2c1,162$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.