MLB · resolved market
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2025 World Series?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x924efdc8795f4221f57c2b960a38aa00e0320a8a50000dc0ba118e1776a64ad2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,375,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $764,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,375,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x489e…87f4backed Yes | 0c | 31,500$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x340f…3cf5backed Yes | 4c | 30,228$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.48 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…3a25backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc97…7206backed Yes | 0c | 27,840$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb940…ef00backed Yes | 0c | 26,000$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf8…eed3backed Yes | 0c | 25,365$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…09b3backed Yes | 2c | 22,828$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.61 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 5cpaid | +146.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 22,640$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.04 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865b…8383backed Yes | 0c | 18,000$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 16,170$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ab…9cc6backed Yes | 0c | 15,500$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9411…a0b1backed Yes | 0c | 14,003$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc76b…1cbebacked Yes | 0c | 12,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…c705backed Yes | 0c | 10,400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71af…c057backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c15…c78cbacked Yes | 0c | 9,243$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 2c | 8,108$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.03 | 266 | 42.1%112 W · 154 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…55a0backed Yes | 0c | 8,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Yes | 0c | 7,736$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 7,522$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 1c | 7,334$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.64 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5937…bd9bbacked Yes | 0c | 7,250$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -82%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf69c…e43dbacked Yes | 9c | 6,774$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.95 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…450bbacked Yes | 0c | 6,300$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae03…45b9backed Yes | 1c | 5,820$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x621e…eb22backed Yes | 1c | 5,800$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 5c | 5,240$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 2c | 5,099$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.09 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064d…a0e4backed Yes | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 4,931$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 48 | 0%0 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8e…cee8backed Yes | 0c | 4,800$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…d115backed Yes | 0c | 4,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…394dbacked Yes | 9c | 3,450$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72db…af7dbacked Yes | 0c | 3,148$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cee…a307backed Yes | 0c | 3,060$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cf…5385backed Yes | 0c | 2,775$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3313…6f1bbacked Yes | 0c | 2,750$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc69d…1262backed Yes | 1c | 2,358$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b7…c9b5backed Yes | 7c | 2,334$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 3c | 2,299$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.42 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed Yes | 4c | 2,000$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 291 | 45.4%132 W · 159 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 1,702$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 56 | 8.9%5 W · 51 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021e…984ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,650$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328a…224abacked Yes | 3c | 1,388$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -90.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 1c | 1,176$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 2c | 1,041$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf623…d538backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d8…5744backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Yes | 10c | 907.16$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.72 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9966…d9e1backed Yes | 9c | 643.2$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x917a…bca2backed Yes | 9c | 633.01$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3194…eb07backed Yes | 11c | 617.96$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.22 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x123d…c4c0backed Yes | 9c | 609.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1952…5777backed Yes | 9c | 586.12$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 3c | 540.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbe…fce9backed Yes | 6c | 501.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed Yes | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…d697backed Yes | 4c | 389.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66f0…2ce0backed Yes | 4c | 350$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Yes | 7c | 322.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa17f…b118backed Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd72e…0ae6backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7168…e422backed Yes | 7c | 171.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2025 World Series?this page
- Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Athletics win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?Yes won
- Will the Miami Marlins win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the New York Yankees win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Texas Rangers win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?No won
- Will the Washington Nationals win the 2025 World Series?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.