TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x064d…a0e4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST2313%3 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-51.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$2,655Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$2,655
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,719Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,718.58
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$118.38
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+571.3%+$2,652.53
Will Jalen Hurts win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$126
Will Aaron Rodgers win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$62.56
Will Patrick Mahomes win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$125.8
Will the Ravens win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$62.64
Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$779Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$778.8
Will Jonathan Taylor be the top Fantasy Running Back?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$116.69
Will the Bengals win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the AFC North?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+150%+$748.8
Will the Seahawks win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$400
Will the Cowboys win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$811Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$810.56
Will the Cardinals win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$256.06
Will the Cardinals win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$262.97
Will the Panthers win the NFC South?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,031Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$1,030.73
Will the Browns win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$448.9
Will the Jaguars win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,042Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$1,041.61
Will the Cleveland Browns win the AFC North?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$247.76
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the AFC south?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$467Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$467.22
Will the 49ers beat the Vikings by 6 or more points?backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+88.7%+$89.56
Panthers vs. Chargersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$500
All 23 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-85.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.31
Will Alabama win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.15
Will Texas Tech win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.29
Will Kentucky win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$108.77
Will Arizona win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$137.49
Will Maryland win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.82
Will Iowa State win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$518Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$517.68
Will Saint Mary's win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Illinois win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$147.32
Will Gonzaga win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$124.86
Will Wisconsin win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.04
North Carolina vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,024Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$2,375.99
Will Kansas win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.09
Will Clemson win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.97
Will Louisville win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.3
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-73.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mavericks fire GM Nico Harrison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$36.08
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,004Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+94.9%+$952.62
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$438.75
Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Cade Cunningham win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$564Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$564.21
Will Stephon Castle win NBA Rookie of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$137.18
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$929Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$928.78
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$82.42
Will Donnovan Clingan win NBA Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$105.48
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$262.31
Cavaliers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,004Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,003.76
All 12 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Sep 6, 2025, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Saint Denis vs. Ruffy backed Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$199.68
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. backed Hill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$202
Leon Edwards vs. Sean Bradybacked Edwards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,008
Gunnar Nelson vs. Kevin Hollandbacked Holland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$546
Jai Herbert vs. Chris Padilla backed Herbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Pereira vs. Ankalaevbacked Ankalaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,037Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$2,120.57
Dern vs. Ribasbacked Ribas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$256
Covington vs. Buckleybacked Covington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$521Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$520.74
O’Malley vs. Dvalishvilibacked Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+96.1%+$377.14
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick31cpaid+43.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2024, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT+201.5%+$503.72
Will England win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$500
Spain vs. France - Who will advance?backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$241
All 3 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,112Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+57.2%+$635.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+56.3%+$210.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$526Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$526.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alabama win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$119.73
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.