NBA · resolved market
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9606382dcfa3407b5fb5ae31b48893028df3b560ff1cb3ed87f2fa4d3b4fb01c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $816,938
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $923,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $816,938 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,309 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 5c | 17,210$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.7 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Yes | 78c | 12,072$9,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,676.58 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24b2…74f3backed Yes | 50c | 8,897$4,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,453.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 2c | 8,647$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.69 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed No | 5c | 7,863$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.14 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Yes | 77c | 7,492$5,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.7 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 41c | 6,175$2,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,618.55 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Yes | 73c | 5,788$4,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.76 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 1c | 5,686$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 213 | 0.5%1 W · 212 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed No | 2c | 5,248$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.82 | 131 | 33.6%44 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed No | 2c | 5,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.3 | 198 | 38.9%77 W · 121 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed No | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 155 | 0%0 W · 155 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…8898backed No | 9c | 5,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked No | 8c | 4,695$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.51 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 4,683$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.81 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 20c | 3,775$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.79 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 3c | 3,758$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.14 | 98 | 4.1%4 W · 94 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 46c | 3,707$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,015.7 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 48c | 3,534$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,687.7 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…c435backed No | 4c | 3,329$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 39c | 3,305$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.89 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 4c | 2,659$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 79 | 5.1%4 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e6…0201backed No | 2c | 2,303$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Yes | 50c | 2,157$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.32 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd298…42aebacked Yes | 19c | 2,053$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3575…9a1cbacked No | 1c | 1,983$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064d…a0e4backed Yes | 51c | 1,956$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.62 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6938…e766backed Yes | 50c | 1,859$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.95 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6d…2698backed No | 4c | 1,777$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f77…9d8ebacked No | 8c | 1,680$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.55 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fef…cdcbbacked Yes | 28c | 1,626$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.21 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b7…92cebacked Yes | 72c | 1,606$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.26 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 69c | 1,600$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.69 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2534…41c9backed Yes | 22c | 1,600$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.98 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed No | 24c | 1,547$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.38 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 2c | 1,521$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 7c | 1,447$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.07 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e55…2b2abacked No | 6c | 1,432$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…b568backed No | 5c | 1,400$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed No | 7c | 1,398$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.99 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d34…17e8backed No | 2c | 1,390$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +94%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…8f7bbacked No | 5c | 1,348$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc654…e657backed Yes | 76c | 1,310$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…50c7backed No | 23c | 1,300$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e7…9a6fbacked No | 46c | 1,202$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 46c | 1,111$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.03 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f0…d33dbacked No | 2c | 1,109$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…a865backed No | 23c | 1,064$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked No | 30c | 1,046$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.75 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1809…4eb7backed Yes | 77c | 1,038$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…ce9dbacked No | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 62c | 954.2$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.75 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…2cc4backed Yes | 53c | 947.17$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.17 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d5…fa0ebacked No | 10c | 920.12$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 35c | 873.88$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.16 | 129 | 30.2%39 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66c…97e3backed No | 2c | 863$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 51c | 838.41$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.59 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Yes | 51c | 834.25$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.37 | 135 | 48.1%65 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Yes | 76c | 829.32$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.33 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed Yes | 49c | 812.86$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.56 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 32c | 792.89$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.26 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…9165backed No | 3c | 763.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 22c | 747.91$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.58 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…d0b2backed No | 3c | 738.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 13c | 730.53$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.39 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e4…517abacked Yes | 72c | 723.36$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.54 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Yes | 21c | 711.42$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.42 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 78c | 667.69$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.51 | 152 | 19.1%29 W · 123 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 7c | 642.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 22c | 641.94$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.86 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b0…fcfbbacked No | 26c | 620.52$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.25 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea7…bcd9backed Yes | 55c | 583.63$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.64 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb540…b343backed No | 11c | 544$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x112a…d900backed No | 3c | 518.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef7a…ddd2backed No | 9c | 486.87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x613c…4075backed No | 3c | 483$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x215e…faafbacked No | 3c | 477.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…aec6backed No | 10c | 457.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x111f…af00backed Yes | 79c | 443.04$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.04 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…a744backed No | 4c | 436.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1192…32ebbacked Yes | 76c | 425.44$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 38c | 421.01$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.91 | 83 | 24.1%20 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…9590backed No | 25c | 412.35$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Yes | 63c | 399.98$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.99 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed No | 4c | 342.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d79…ae69backed Yes | 57c | 329.48$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.68 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…466fbacked No | 7c | 329$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 76c | 321.58$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.68 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe96c…afc7backed Yes | 77c | 317.05$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.44 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25b6…dd11backed Yes | 79c | 316.46$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355a…98a6backed No | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eec…8f96backed No | 7c | 294.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a92…4f21backed Yes | 79c | 281.56$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f6…7742backed Yes | 79c | 277.82$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.82 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b0…f9a8backed No | 6c | 250.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 6c | 247.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 28c | 244.04$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.27 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fe…1779backed Yes | 76c | 231.84$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +70%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?this page
- Will Anthony Davis win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Anthony Edwards win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Devin Booker win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Ja Morant win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Jalen Brunson win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Jayson Tatum win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Joel Embiid win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Kevin Durant win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No won
- Will LeBron James win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Luka Doncic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Stephen Curry win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Trae Young win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.