NBA · resolved market
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x158c092e490c97319458037637e29c152e34bb89766fca194889f7add8239142
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $944,907
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $802,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $944,907 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x35fb…ab4dbacked Yes | 8c | 49,000$3,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,975.22 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +252.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…ae33backed Yes | 21c | 25,600$5,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,266 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…8898backed Yes | 6c | 19,162$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.73 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd6…3b62backed Yes | 18c | 15,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…a0fabacked Yes | 8c | 12,461$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 4c | 12,158$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 11,201$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.4 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Yes | 58c | 11,157$6,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,420 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | -10.3wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 14c | 11,149$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.75 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 1c | 10,552$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -94.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…12b2backed Yes | 12c | 10,228$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.82 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f3…4bcebacked Yes | 21c | 10,044$2,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,138.58 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 9,492$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.17 | 98 | 4.1%4 W · 94 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 27c | 9,235$2,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,535.74 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f77…9d8ebacked Yes | 5c | 8,866$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.01 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa38…ffb3backed Yes | 18c | 8,794$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.4 | 109 | 25.7%28 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc8…5bf1backed Yes | 2c | 8,334$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.63 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -77%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…a9f2backed Yes | 12c | 8,165$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.02 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd95f…be7bbacked Yes | 3c | 7,748$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…ecf7backed Yes | 7c | 7,174$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.14 | 68 | 20.6%14 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Yes | 1c | 7,086$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 24c | 6,659$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.26 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 37c | 6,587$2,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,455 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad3…bfecbacked Yes | 27c | 6,100$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…9729backed Yes | 33c | 6,006$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 40c | 5,660$2,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,252.5 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 17c | 5,629$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,671.91 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9e…bb02backed Yes | 2c | 5,609$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116f…9210backed Yes | 4c | 5,430$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed Yes | 11c | 5,375$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.55 | 198 | 38.9%77 W · 121 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Yes | 3c | 5,217$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.24 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 155 | 0%0 W · 155 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…188bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,899$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.76 | 186 | 28%52 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x779f…b18dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,850$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -51%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef2…fc44backed Yes | 21c | 4,723$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 27c | 4,604$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.71 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 7c | 4,300$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4526…4693backed Yes | 6c | 4,219$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed No | 67c | 4,205$2,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.8 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Yes | 16c | 4,201$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.95 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5c…2d34backed Yes | 7c | 4,172$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 46c | 4,001$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,834.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 64c | 4,000$2,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.5 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 17c | 3,889$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.07 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…4db5backed Yes | 1c | 3,777$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 3,669$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.32 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 36c | 3,661$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.31 | 129 | 30.2%39 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 3,141$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 213 | 0.5%1 W · 212 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes | 13c | 3,094$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.97 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes | 2c | 3,077$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f02…d5f4backed Yes | 23c | 3,026$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…d0b2backed Yes | 2c | 2,950$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1de2…d932backed Yes | 6c | 2,779$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.8 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Yes | 3c | 2,744$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.62 | 131 | 33.6%44 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Yes | 12c | 2,718$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.37 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 31c | 2,678$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.63 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Yes | 4c | 2,528$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.21 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 19c | 2,500$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Yes | 5c | 2,426$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.79 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf599…f15fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,419$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf037…26eebacked Yes | 6c | 2,358$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e6…0201backed Yes | 2c | 2,350$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a26…8acbbacked Yes | 5c | 2,182$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.27 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe58…4acbbacked Yes | 37c | 2,179$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.79 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b41…82b7backed Yes | 5c | 2,159$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed Yes | 44c | 2,154$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.4 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Yes | 5c | 2,068$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.24 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Yes | 4c | 2,057$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.09 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 3c | 2,053$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.19 | 79 | 5.1%4 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Yes | 8c | 2,052$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.02 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26e4…517abacked Yes | 6c | 2,034$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…c1b2backed Yes | 3c | 2,034$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Yes | 10c | 2,030$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Yes | 9c | 2,000$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 63c | 1,957$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.17 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1f…cb6abacked Yes | 20c | 1,950$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.91 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b6…2f9fbacked Yes | 22c | 1,885$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa285…98e8backed Yes | 1c | 1,885$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x355a…98a6backed Yes | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes | 15c | 1,809$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.8 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Yes | 9c | 1,800$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…7cb1backed Yes | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…0afabacked Yes | 19c | 1,793$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 13c | 1,701$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.09 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…3d69backed Yes | 5c | 1,663$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -74%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1977…32e8backed Yes | 19c | 1,600$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,553$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.36 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Yes | 4c | 1,535$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.83 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yes | 44c | 1,510$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.61 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x405e…c304backed Yes | 1c | 1,489$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c9…3bf8backed Yes | 27c | 1,474$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…fd19backed Yes | 3c | 1,472$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8967…41aebacked Yes | 1c | 1,418$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…3ba7backed Yes | 4c | 1,417$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b0…fcfbbacked Yes | 23c | 1,404$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.18 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe55…cf51backed Yes | 3c | 1,393$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc11…9752backed Yes | 8c | 1,299$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e2…8f10backed Yes | 13c | 1,239$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 79c | 1,234$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.1 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4982…0a72backed Yes | 20c | 1,210$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?this page
- Will Anthony Davis win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Anthony Edwards win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Devin Booker win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Ja Morant win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Jalen Brunson win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Jayson Tatum win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Joel Embiid win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Kevin Durant win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No won
- Will LeBron James win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Luka Doncic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?Yes won
- Will Stephen Curry win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Trae Young win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.