TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6a26…8acb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
278
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 57 out of 100; worst NFL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST8631.4%27 W · 59 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 86 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+115.7%+$16.2
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+46.8%+$53.41
Will Dak Prescott win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$28.22
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Mike McCoy be fired by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will DEN/SEA/HOU/LAR win their 2026 NFL Divisional Round games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will BUF/SEA/HOU/LAR win their 2026 NFL Divisional Round games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Mike Tomlin be fired by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+1,900%+$190
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$129.03
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$31.85
Will John Harbaugh be fired by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+488.2%+$97.65
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the NFC South?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$38.4
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the NFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: 49ers (-6.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+108.3%+$16.25
Will the Detroit Lions win the NFC North?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$14.81
Spread: Eagles (-2.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+163.2%+$24.47
Showing 25 of 86 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT7139.4%28 W · 43 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+100.8%+$37.46
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$42.44
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$20.45
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Solana reach $150 in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+354.5%+$117
Will Solana reach $160 in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+112.8%+$31.8
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.6
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50.4
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.82
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$840Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+153.4%+$1,289.03
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$62
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+457.9%+$412.07
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$723Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+133.8%+$966.92
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+107.4%+$182.5
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$51.6
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+104.1%+$114.49
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+121.9%+$270.67
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+228.8%+$249.4
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+222.6%+$68.58
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT4738.3%18 W · 29 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick29cpaid+35.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH FDV above $1.4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$43.77
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+486.7%+$1,872.66
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$8.55
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.42
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.72
Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+817.3%+$355.68
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$27.6
Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.02
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+400%+$44
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+168.9%+$60.82
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+92.3%+$13.85
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Hyperbeat launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+212.5%+$35.47
Will Rabby launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$90.03
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$17.62
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+126.5%+$204.2
Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$807Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$807.5
Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$773Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+266.3%+$2,057.61
Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+380.6%+$255.69
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$608Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$607.85
Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$88.4
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$59.73
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,003Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+174.9%+$1,753.61
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT4422.7%10 W · 34 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-33.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5backed Under 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.62
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.5
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.88
Will Stephen Curry win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.6
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.55
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win more than 62.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Will the San Antonio Spurs win more than 44.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+72.4%+$21
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$210
Will Pascal Siakam Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Will Jalen Williams Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.61
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+129.8%+$94.79
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+204.7%+$114.63
Will Tyrese Haliburton Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.5
Which conference wins NBA Finals?backed East · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.9
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick27cpaid+186.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+81.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+163.2%+$24.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$59.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oregon win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-11.5)backed VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.