Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in December?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcf76b0c7d90141f078de1a497bc58a93291dda30325e8720cc958a2404fa7f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $730,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $664,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $730,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 11c | 87,313$9,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,864.72 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 7c | 50,728$3,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,666.99 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 24c | 21,136$5,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,107.88 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 1c | 14,662$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.62 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +163.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…d43fbacked No | 62c | 13,000$8,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,957.33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe62d…c34dbacked No | 79c | 11,513$9,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,463.86 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +4.7wins | +0.27per pick | 61cpaid | +38%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc3…edf0backed Yes | 19c | 10,751$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.99 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b75…ad87backed Yes | 19c | 7,904$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeff…a2babacked No | 63c | 6,574$4,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,437.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4a…104fbacked Yes | 24c | 6,250$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked Yes | 2c | 6,000$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 94 | 27.7%26 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…13d1backed No | 50c | 5,591$2,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,802.51 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Yes | 1c | 5,532$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6408…c7aebacked Yes | 11c | 5,504$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.26 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef6c…8cc1backed Yes | 1c | 5,152$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 70c | 5,000$3,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.01 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee92…eaa4backed Yes | 37c | 4,998$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 24c | 4,455$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.62 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 4,287$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.56 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed No | 76c | 4,000$3,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a3…6bd4backed Yes | 15c | 3,863$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.17 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ed…5828backed No | 68c | 3,699$2,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…f9b2backed Yes | 15c | 3,340$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf135…84f4backed No | 62c | 3,250$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf12b…23c8backed Yes | 31c | 3,184$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…5016backed No | 57c | 3,016$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.32 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked No | 76c | 2,829$2,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.54 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…8e98backed Yes | 18c | 2,778$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 2,728$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.53 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b6…6c55backed No | 52c | 2,594$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef85…1bcdbacked Yes | 48c | 2,579$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +140.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9f…df2bbacked No | 52c | 2,541$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Yes | 39c | 2,538$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.57 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6b…ad6dbacked Yes | 48c | 2,515$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…524cbacked Yes | 12c | 2,456$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 60 | 13.3%8 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac9…47c1backed Yes | 48c | 2,402$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd3…074fbacked No | 52c | 2,396$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e89…ab56backed Yes | 35c | 2,345$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa571…270fbacked No | 52c | 2,161$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8c…d7e8backed Yes | 48c | 2,125$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…ddfcbacked No | 66c | 2,093$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa54…a4dfbacked No | 66c | 2,087$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…e5efbacked Yes | 34c | 2,059$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7807…89d3backed Yes | 48c | 2,055$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed No | 55c | 2,028$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.24 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c6…caa4backed No | 65c | 1,959$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300a…4345backed Yes | 35c | 1,952$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,856$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.62 | 120 | 3.3%4 W · 116 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a2…c4eabacked Yes | 35c | 1,829$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f11…85c5backed No | 65c | 1,827$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…5c83backed No | 66c | 1,807$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +148.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…6ec8backed Yes | 34c | 1,794$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…3d8abacked No | 66c | 1,765$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15f…f3aebacked No | 65c | 1,667$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf986…8818backed Yes | 35c | 1,635$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc8…0e75backed No | 65c | 1,632$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…e7b3backed Yes | 19c | 1,621$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb60d…331bbacked No | 74c | 1,514$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 73cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461d…c06fbacked Yes | 26c | 1,514$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f28…d9f1backed No | 74c | 1,514$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27e7…995ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,514$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3c…a4c0backed No | 74c | 1,514$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d55…88fabacked Yes | 26c | 1,514$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb783…c9b7backed Yes | 26c | 1,514$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbba1…d64fbacked No | 74c | 1,514$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…bb0abacked Yes | 6c | 1,510$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.6 | 167 | 29.3%49 W · 118 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…aaf1backed Yes | 19c | 1,502$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x120f…8534backed Yes | 34c | 1,457$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd8…ec3bbacked No | 73c | 1,437$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ac…0ec9backed Yes | 27c | 1,437$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b08…395bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,437$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…7aafbacked Yes | 27c | 1,437$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b64…8f6ebacked No | 73c | 1,437$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc673…175fbacked No | 73c | 1,437$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x394c…1742backed No | 73c | 1,437$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +140.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e3…8772backed No | 73c | 1,437$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a3…b41fbacked Yes | 27c | 1,437$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…b22fbacked Yes | 27c | 1,437$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdea9…b47abacked Yes | 25c | 1,412$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa84…65dcbacked No | 75c | 1,412$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x924f…fdbbbacked Yes | 25c | 1,412$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d81…0a91backed Yes | 25c | 1,412$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…748fbacked No | 75c | 1,412$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0575…01f9backed No | 75c | 1,412$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81ce…c8b8backed Yes | 25c | 1,412$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2f…4945backed Yes | 25c | 1,412$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c9…3b80backed No | 75c | 1,412$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 4c | 1,410$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.69 | 146 | 3.4%5 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x609f…c5a8backed Yes | 9c | 1,409$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce90…4f88backed Yes | 27c | 1,408$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbc…0d3abacked No | 73c | 1,408$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4757…5eaebacked No | 73c | 1,408$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…6c9fbacked Yes | 27c | 1,408$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac49…6e44backed Yes | 27c | 1,408$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f0…815dbacked Yes | 27c | 1,408$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a15…5e14backed No | 73c | 1,408$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…0cedbacked No | 73c | 1,408$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed7…6109backed No | 73c | 1,408$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e1…e920backed Yes | 19c | 1,380$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb751…bd8bbacked Yes | 26c | 1,353$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in December?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in December?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in December?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in December?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in December?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in December?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in December?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in December?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in December?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in December?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in December?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in December?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in December?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.