Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in December?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4b844907cb984a86370dd4b685fbe21d300ea57196530a9c552d6c0307607bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $282,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $291,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $282,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda17…d901backed No | 0c | 25,635$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…9b2ebacked No | 11c | 17,526$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -61%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe62d…c34dbacked Yes | 79c | 14,123$11,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,914.15 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +4.7wins | +0.27per pick | 61cpaid | +38%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed No | 3c | 12,773$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.35 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…1fbfbacked No | 54c | 10,978$5,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,894.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6846…b797backed No | 34c | 10,031$3,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,409.89 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 58c | 9,973$5,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.8 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 33c | 6,193$2,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,074.42 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 62c | 5,751$3,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,164.81 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 67c | 5,707$3,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.75 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x131f…2fedbacked Yes | 78c | 2,520$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.84 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 4c | 2,463$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.91 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 6c | 2,412$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.89 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefda…a176backed No | 51c | 2,039$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0013…3549backed Yes | 56c | 1,965$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…1277backed Yes | 56c | 1,965$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb191…e85bbacked No | 44c | 1,965$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0b3fbacked No | 44c | 1,965$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad39…9c25backed Yes | 56c | 1,965$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae16…40e2backed No | 44c | 1,965$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…d1a0backed Yes | 56c | 1,965$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed2…6f50backed Yes | 56c | 1,965$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x549e…cebebacked No | 44c | 1,965$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…6db7backed No | 44c | 1,965$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d3…9f91backed Yes | 56c | 1,896$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f5…3188backed No | 44c | 1,896$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519b…0b8dbacked No | 44c | 1,896$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…fa68backed No | 44c | 1,896$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…09e6backed No | 44c | 1,896$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa174…8cf8backed Yes | 56c | 1,896$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…fe6ebacked Yes | 56c | 1,896$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41b…44e9backed Yes | 56c | 1,896$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…1d59backed No | 44c | 1,896$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4654…fbf2backed Yes | 56c | 1,896$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1225…2da1backed Yes | 56c | 1,794$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…54abbacked No | 44c | 1,794$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…cd68backed No | 44c | 1,794$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…8db9backed Yes | 56c | 1,794$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe9…0e43backed Yes | 56c | 1,794$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd5…9b06backed No | 44c | 1,794$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a1…72c9backed No | 44c | 1,794$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…188ebacked Yes | 56c | 1,794$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98eb…3d02backed Yes | 56c | 1,794$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…73a2backed No | 44c | 1,794$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d0…f6e5backed Yes | 57c | 1,774$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe01e…04edbacked No | 43c | 1,774$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72bf…7177backed Yes | 57c | 1,774$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55c1…0402backed No | 43c | 1,774$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0173…f570backed No | 43c | 1,774$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa217…ab47backed Yes | 57c | 1,774$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +126.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83f5…2e3abacked No | 43c | 1,774$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cba…4184backed Yes | 57c | 1,774$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…a4e9backed No | 43c | 1,774$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff2…8ab4backed Yes | 57c | 1,774$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6522backed Yes | 57c | 1,755$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e1…ca39backed No | 43c | 1,755$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa7…98a3backed Yes | 57c | 1,755$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cd…ad30backed Yes | 57c | 1,755$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x772c…8635backed No | 43c | 1,755$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc69…064ebacked No | 43c | 1,755$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0a…03f0backed Yes | 57c | 1,755$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf9…ce59backed Yes | 57c | 1,755$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e2…30bebacked No | 43c | 1,755$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x650f…22e6backed No | 43c | 1,755$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Yes | 70c | 1,672$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.68 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 78c | 1,520$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.24 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked No | 12c | 1,443$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.84 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cda…f20cbacked Yes | 63c | 1,415$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +123%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…8554backed No | 30c | 1,338$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.59 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed No | 6c | 1,303$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Yes | 72c | 1,120$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.63 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd772…ceb5backed No | 16c | 1,073$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 6c | 1,000$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 143 | 1.4%2 W · 141 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb718…dde1backed Yes | 58c | 998.12$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0726…369cbacked Yes | 62c | 900$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88df…a457backed Yes | 69c | 795.33$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.32 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Yes | 65c | 766.02$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…6430backed No | 14c | 763.89$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 8c | 745.12$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.61 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked Yes | 58c | 700$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 63c | 644.61$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.19 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38b…8996backed No | 8c | 550$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf11…a6d4backed No | 6c | 487$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6b…3064backed No | 11c | 460$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.28 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca24…3e52backed No | 10c | 451$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51a5…c855backed No | 14c | 433.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed No | 8c | 340$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 107 | 3.7%4 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x957e…5758backed Yes | 60c | 335.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.26 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…b64dbacked Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed No | 50c | 297.37$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x737d…1f6bbacked No | 14c | 291.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -5.6wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…6608backed No | 4c | 240$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked Yes | 59c | 238.22$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.67 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 18c | 221.72$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed No | 7c | 220$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 78 | 1.3%1 W · 77 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 6cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…a1aebacked No | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x534d…a7d3backed No | 45c | 200$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…c68fbacked Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked No | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x114d…661fbacked Yes | 59c | 170$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in December?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in December?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in December?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in December?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in December?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in December?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in December?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in December?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in December?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in December?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in December?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in December?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in December?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.