Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in December?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73bd5093815136bf72af12fe1a97cffa1a797ecf3fbfa95c11e61131e3494843
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $547,319
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $578,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $547,319 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 14c | 53,750$7,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,442.39 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2e…2434backed Yes | 34c | 53,456$18,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,359.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed No | 79c | 32,905$26,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,801.72 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 67c | 31,106$20,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,307.21 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad45…b8c9backed Yes | 7c | 24,655$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.66 | 93 | 7.5%7 W · 86 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe62d…c34dbacked No | 69c | 22,791$15,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,048.95 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +4.7wins | +0.27per pick | 61cpaid | +38%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6294…33f3backed No | 70c | 22,459$15,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,780.05 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 58c | 5,793$3,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,456.88 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6824…f6e6backed Yes | 10c | 5,757$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.42 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +84%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa00…5340backed Yes | 10c | 4,805$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb95d…7316backed Yes | 41c | 4,687$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…482abacked No | 59c | 4,687$2,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…adeabacked Yes | 1c | 4,484$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 4,239$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Yes | 22c | 3,500$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.11 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 14cpaid | -88.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 27c | 3,446$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.71 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f59…bee8backed Yes | 29c | 3,319$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f4…f246backed No | 71c | 3,319$2,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 3,117$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.58 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed2…6f50backed Yes | 31c | 2,872$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d3…9f91backed No | 69c | 2,798$1,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cba…4184backed Yes | 30c | 2,706$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf9…ce59backed No | 70c | 2,677$1,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bf…8ecebacked Yes | 34c | 2,534$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.4 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 6c | 2,328$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.01 | 212 | 5.7%12 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…fd96backed Yes | 8c | 2,242$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.7 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…cc23backed No | 69c | 2,051$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2b…d64cbacked Yes | 31c | 2,045$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9778…42dfbacked No | 70c | 2,028$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b33…1165backed Yes | 30c | 2,023$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b8…ec46backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…246ebacked No | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x441a…99bfbacked No | 71c | 1,952$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,952$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 120 | 3.3%4 W · 116 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb11d…e60dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,929$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x247e…b146backed No | 69c | 1,851$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf30…3ccfbacked Yes | 31c | 1,842$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcb…81dbbacked No | 70c | 1,840$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d9…05f0backed Yes | 30c | 1,837$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf81b…0cfbbacked No | 71c | 1,746$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b2…58b0backed Yes | 29c | 1,743$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e3…8772backed Yes | 12c | 1,713$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x603c…ac70backed Yes | 8c | 1,705$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.87 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…a569backed No | 70c | 1,665$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e4…49cabacked Yes | 30c | 1,637$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83be…3c17backed Yes | 31c | 1,630$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a0…39b2backed No | 71c | 1,558$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3c…feefbacked Yes | 11c | 1,547$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd5…12b3backed Yes | 29c | 1,541$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 6c | 1,470$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.99 | 146 | 3.4%5 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa13f…3b85backed Yes | 11c | 1,462$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d65…19a2backed Yes | 30c | 1,460$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f53…6f12backed No | 70c | 1,453$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab2…65cfbacked Yes | 12c | 1,450$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 1,450$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x545a…b61abacked Yes | 31c | 1,403$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5892…f672backed Yes | 11c | 1,394$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…b153backed Yes | 12c | 1,355$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe652…d114backed No | 56c | 1,325$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…8a09backed Yes | 12c | 1,279$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…524cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,251$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.96 | 60 | 13.3%8 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…33c1backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 15.5%16 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…9da4backed Yes | 11c | 1,232$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Yes | 59c | 1,232$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.5 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d7…8b78backed Yes | 17c | 1,213$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x131f…2fedbacked Yes | 34c | 1,210$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.06 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58f0…815dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,156$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…b4dabacked Yes | 11c | 1,143$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…52c0backed Yes | 1c | 1,128$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 64 | 7.8%5 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd442…4280backed No | 69c | 1,077$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed No | 68c | 1,061$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.17 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83f5…2e3abacked Yes | 29c | 1,026$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9af2…b14ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…bf0fbacked Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e1…ca39backed No | 71c | 981.92$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…e410backed Yes | 33c | 943.06$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.15 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed No | 72c | 904.51$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.51 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed No | 62c | 858.43$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.85 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed Yes | 9c | 800$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 78 | 1.3%1 W · 77 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 6cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…a92fbacked No | 57c | 800$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf902…df82backed No | 66c | 800$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 3c | 780.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472a…9033backed Yes | 10c | 751.32$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.01 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +34%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3faa…feb4backed Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…6fc8backed Yes | 10c | 700$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…51b4backed No | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee2…c6c1backed Yes | 9c | 666.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf1…b75ebacked Yes | 23c | 535$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf328…abc4backed Yes | 29c | 532.27$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.36 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15de…7ec6backed Yes | 5c | 523$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc93a…6b34backed Yes | 2c | 500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54b…81a7backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x534d…a7d3backed No | 60c | 500$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed No | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8d…d12bbacked Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5766…dd3cbacked No | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.1 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ea…b044backed No | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 4c | 499.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…1fbfbacked No | 77c | 498.29$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…8059backed Yes | 13c | 409.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -54%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in December?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in December?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in December?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in December?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in December?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in December?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in December?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in December?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in December?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in December?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in December?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in December?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in December?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.